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Old 10-15-2010, 12:31 PM
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Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 10/15: Oak Tree at Hollywood ($54k C/O)

Sorry to be so late getting this together but had a busy morning. Chalk and 2 quirky horses Thursday led to an $11.5k P6 payoff at Belmont, a fair number given the sequence. Similar kind of carryover opp at Hollywood this afternoon too, with $54k to start. Note the $27k Hi-5 C/O in the 8th too... Hope you enjoyed a busy week on ATR andare looking forward to yet another good weekend of racing!


OAK TREE AT HOLLYWOOD


POST-SCRATCHES


Fun sequence for $54k C/O, plus a $27k carry in the Super Hi-5!


3rd: S/ALW, 2yo-F, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Darling Ciana 5-2 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #5 SCR
Exotics Use: #1 Table for One 9-2 4th


4th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f-T (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 A Lil Dumaani 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Maui Mark 12-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Amazombie 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Super Add: #3 Booted 8-1 8th


5th: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Indian Firewater 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Saint Paul 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Nextdoorneighbor 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 SCR


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Terrific MDN event with some 2nd/3rd timers that can improve and a couple firsters that may have to be respected; Spot will challenge P6 budgets..

Most Likely: #2 Candid Ride 7-2 9th
Best Value: #8 River's Mambo 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Zazu 4-1 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #10 Miss Radiance 8-1 8th


7th: CAL-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Tiz Argent 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #6 Lodi Red 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Warren's Tony R. 20-1 10th
Super Add: #10 Accelerant 8-1 9th


8th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Darling Disarray 5-2 5th
Best Value: #10 Miss Buxley 6-1 WON ($17.20)
Next Best: #13 She'sawontontomato 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Confectionist 8-1 7th
Hi-5 Play: #9 Pacific Coast Girl 8-1 9th


<$150 P6 Play:

3: 7
4: 2-3-8-9
5: 2-7-8
6: 2-8
7: 5-6-7
8: 4

1x4x3x2x3x1 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 2-7-8
6: 2-5-8-10
7: 5-6-7-10
8: 4-10-13

3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-15-2010 at 08:22 PM.
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Old 10-15-2010, 03:29 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
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HOL SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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