11/11: Aqueduct ($168k C/O)

[Kasept]

Got thoroughly thumped Wednesday in return to New York, but Double P6 Carryover was elusive for everyone else as well creating a $169k pot for Thursday in the sextet. Sequence is slippery again though, with three wide open turf routes part of the skien...


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Smart Maneuver 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Storm Island 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Hyper 10-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Extinction 12-1 9th


5th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 D' Oratory 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Frazzie 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Poppy Day 6-1 WON ($14.20)
Super Add: #6 Oatkadestinyschild 6-1 6th


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Alivie 4-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Song of Broadway 3-1 WON ($8.70)
Exotics Use: #6 Pelican Lake 7-2 5th
Super Add: #2 Sultrysilver 9-2 2nd


7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Very difficult group to decipher..

Most Likely: #3 Wardelle 3-1 12th
Next Best: #6 Bella Attrice 9-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Blue Hill Bay 15-1 9th
Super Add: #12 Catty Madeline 8-1 3rd


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Tapped Out Bruno 3-1 8th
Best Value: #5 Goodbyeandgoodluck 15-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Whateverittakes 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 One Turn Eddie 2-1 WON ($5.60)


9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #5 Roar of the Kitty 15-1 7th
Next Best: #12 Upper Gulch 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Cat Be Nimble 3-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Lemon Tiger 4-1 WON

<$200 P6 Play::

4: 2-10
5: 1-2
6: 8-9
7: 3-4-6
8: 1
9: 5-7-8-12

2x2x2x3x1x4 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play::

6: 6-8-9
7: 3-4-6
8: 1-5
9: 5-7-8-12

3x3x2x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[MaTH716]

Steve in the 9th I took a long look at Roar of the Kitty also, my question to you is does the very limited workout pattern concern you? Also do you have any opinions on the 6 Lady Kafca? I find her kind of interesting at a price. Second off the layoff. She's 4 running against mostly 3 year olds and you would think that she will be able to get a good stalking trip in a race that doesn't seem to have that much speed in it. I think Manning is a shrew trainer (I know his numbers haven't been great this year) and Marquez is coming in for the day to ride a 25k claimer. All that makes me think that she has a chance of hitting the board.

[Kasept]

AQU SCR/CHG'S

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by MaTH716

Steve in the 9th I took a long look at Roar of the Kitty also, my question to you is does the very limited workout pattern concern you? Also do you have any opinions on the 6 Lady Kafca? I find her kind of interesting at a price. Second off the layoff. She's 4 running against mostly 3 year olds and you would think that she will be able to get a good stalking trip in a race that doesn't seem to have that much speed in it. I think Manning is a shrew trainer (I know his numbers haven't been great this year) and Marquez is coming in for the day to ride a 25k claimer. All that makes me think that she has a chance of hitting the board.

Matt,

Saw the isolated works, but I'll trust Pecararo in this spot. With so little seperating faves from 'shots, I just feel compelled to reach out for prices in these races. Upper Gulch may end up the key horse if she gets overlooked.

If Lady Kafca is 75% of what she was in the summer of '09, she'd figure prominantly here. But it's hard to put her ahead of the logicals (Cat, Lemon) or the more esoteric (Kitty, Upper Gulch). Marquez would come in to ride a water buffalo if asked. No offense..

BOL!!

[MaTH716]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Matt,

Saw the isolated works, but I'll trust Pecararo in this spot. With so little seperating faves from 'shots, I just feel compelled to reach out for prices in these races. Upper Gulch may end up the key horse if she gets overlooked.

If Lady Kafca is 75% of what she was in the summer of '09, she'd figure prominantly here. But it's hard to put her ahead of the logicals (Cat, Lemon) or the more esoteric (Kitty, Upper Gulch). Marquez would come in to ride a water buffalo if asked. No offense..

BOL!!

Thank you Steve, Good Luck.
I actually find the Marquez comennt hysterical.

[MaTH716]

I never play pick 6's, but this would have been my ticket if I played and maybe found a partner or two
12 (probably a terrible opinion to single in a 25k mdn race from the 12 hole)
1,2,6
2,4,8,9
3,6
1,6
6,7,8,13

[Kasept]

Did that really just happen in the 4th? Horse wasn't utterly impossible.. but was certainly implausable.

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by MaTH716

I never play pick 6's, but this would have been my ticket if I played and maybe found a partner or two
12 (probably a terrible opinion to single in a 25k mdn race from the 12 hole)
1,2,6
2,4,8,9
3,6
1,6
6,7,8,13

Did you read the story in the TDN about the group that hit the 6 BC day?

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

unreal ..sour grapes by me i wouldent have had him next week..

[MaTH716]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

Did you read the story in the TDN about the group that hit the 6 BC day?

No, what was it about?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

Did you read the story in the TDN about the group that hit the 6 BC day?

No! Not yet..

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by MaTH716

No, what was it about?

5 people, $100/ea - hit for $800,000. Their only single was Goldikova and were alive to Blame, Z and Lucky. Had Z been on the other side of the photo, it would have paid $160,000ish I think.

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by Kasept

No! Not yet..

Doesn't everyone read the TDN with their morning coffee?

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Did that really just happen in the 4th? Horse wasn't utterly impossible.. but was certainly implausable.

I wasn't close to liking this horse

[Kasept]

CARRYOVER! 4th day... More than $415k...