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Old 01-02-2011, 08:22 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,549
Default 1/2: Santa Anita ($120k P6, $38k Hi-5 C/O's)

Sluggish start to the year early on, coming up empty at Aqueduct before finding the end zone at Calder. Late stakes P3 of $90+ and $485 Stage Door Betty trifecta ($1) carried the day, more than making up for the P4 miscues. Thought I had something going at Santa Anita topping the first half of the late quad, but leaving my man Proctor off the Daytona tickets quashed the attempt. Hope you did OK Saturday!

Good card and big $120k P6 carryover, ($38k Hi-5 nightcap pot as well), make Santa Anita the easy choice for today's punting, though weather watch part of the picture. "ATR" back live Monday morning to start its' 7th year...


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


$120k P6 carryover at Arcadia today, but weather threatens turf action (2nd, 4th, 6th) with an afternoon storm expected. Rick Hammerle carded the featured Monrovia as that 2nd in attempt to beat the guestimated arrival of 'inclemency'. See Weather Underground for latest..


2nd: 44th Monrovia (G3), F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Like Saturday's Daytona, a nice way to start the downhill course action for the season, this time for the distaffers. Headliners Evening Jewel and Unzip Me are two of my own favorite horses in training, and both return here from respective 3rds in the Breeders' Cup. Brad Free explains the status of both for today (Jewel goes turf or dirt in prep for Sunshine Millions Distaff; Unzip only runs if it stays on lawn) in his race DRF stake preview..

Most Likely: #2 Evening Jewel 5-2 5th
Best Value: #3 La Nez 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Unzip Me 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Super Add: #1 Broken Dreams 6-1 2nd

OFF THE TURF: 2-6-8-5


4th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$120k P6 Carryover starts here..

Most Likely: #3 Blue Jay Attack 3-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Pack Your Bags 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Red Defense 5-2 WON ($7.00)
Super Add: #9 Detroit Donnie 20-1 8th


5th: CLM, 4yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Brutal group with many steep droppers and most away from dirt a good while..

Most Likely: #8 Primed 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Sipnzin 12-1 7th
Next Best: #5 She's Not Lion 7-2 5th
Super Add: #10 Island Shine 15-1 8th


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Anniversary Girl 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Hot Ticket 15-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Mrs. Rosa 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #3 Lula Talullah 3-1 6th


7th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Point Attended 4-1 7th
Best Value: #10 Positive Force 9-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Rummysecret War 7-2 WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #7 The Whammer 8-1 5th


8th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 McMurtry 3-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Accelerant 7-2 WON ($8.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Valiant Effort 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Pop'shands Are Hot 5-1 5th


9th: MDN CLM, 4+, 1m (Super, Super High 5)

$38,221 Hi-5 Carryover..

Best Value: #11 Captain Beau 6-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Call the River 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Matamor 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Trueno 8-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #3 Viva Macho 4-1 5th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 3-7
5: 7-8
6: 7
7: 1-4-10
8: 2-4-6
9: 6-11

2x2x1x3x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-7
7: 1-4-10
8: 2-4-6
9: 2-4-6-11

2x3x3x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 01-02-2011 at 07:14 PM.
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Old 01-02-2011, 12:08 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,549
Default

SA SCR/CHG'S

Fast & Firm right now...

CURRENT WEATHER CONDITIONS
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 01-02-2011, 04:38 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,549
Default

Turf will be 'good' for the 6th..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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