Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 01-28-2011, 07:53 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default 1/28: Gulfstream (5th-9th)

GULFSTREAM


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 5f-Outer Turf (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Dee's Rose 3-1 8th
Best Value: #2 Yes It's Valid 6-1 WON ($13.80)
Next Best: #6 Natalicat 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 She'sa Tough Tiger 6-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (2-6) Paid $115.00
$1 Trifecta (2-6-1) Paid $444.50



6th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

This assembly is an awful start to a late sequence at a major track. Watch board for clues because ML likely will mean even less than usual with this bad group..

Best Value: #8 Ace Pilot 6-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Valid Ocean Pass 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Rockin Robbie 8-1 WON ($20.80)
Super Add: #4 Joltin' Joe 12-1 5th

$1 Exacta (10-11) Paid $51.90


7th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-Outer Turf (P3, DD, Super)

5-1 on Pervis? Will be closer to 2-1..

Best Value: #5 Newsdad 6-1 WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #3 Pervis 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Br. Alexander 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Walker's Landing 6-1 7th

$1 P3 (2-10-5) Paid $633.80


8th: CLM, 4+, 5f-Inner Turf (DD, Super)

Super competitive turf dash here..

Most Likely: #12 Major Momentum 5-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Took It From Him 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Ashtonofun 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Beer Stein 6-1 10th


9th: CLM, 4+, 9f (Super)

Best Value: #9 Hey Byrn 10-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Just Like Biscuit 6-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Dual Forecast 12-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Seattle Zipper 12-1 8th


<$50 P5 Play:

5: 2-4
6: 8-11
7: 3-5
8: 6-12
9: 1-4-6-7-8-9

2x2x2x2x6 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 8-11
7: 2-3-4-5-7-10
8: 6-12
9: 1-4-6-7-8-9

2x6x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 01-29-2011 at 09:40 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 01-28-2011, 08:59 AM
turf fan turf fan is offline
Morris Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 139
Default

Why 2-1 on Pervis? Rogue Romance came back to win a G3, but this is a tough heat. He's doing well, but even I will not play my horse at that short price. Newsdad looks to be the horse to beat, even though Clement had a firster win yesterday at the same distance. The upsetter could be Fad, very well bread for the turf and Tagg has a history of scoring now and then with big prices.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 01-28-2011, 09:51 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,935
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by turf fan View Post
Why 2-1 on Pervis? Rogue Romance came back to win a G3, but this is a tough heat. He's doing well, but even I will not play my horse at that short price. Newsdad looks to be the horse to beat, even though Clement had a firster win yesterday at the same distance. The upsetter could be Fad, very well bread for the turf and Tagg has a history of scoring now and then with big prices.

Steve is throwing his hat into the ring for the GP morning line position.

You guys think the line is bad now.......
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 01-28-2011, 10:21 AM
Mike's Avatar
Mike Mike is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,308
Default

GP 3rd: Bad Debt
GP 4th: Won Great Damsel
GP 5th: Rose Diamond
GP 6th: exacta box Ace Pilot/Valid Ocean Pass

Last edited by Mike : 01-28-2011 at 12:52 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 01-28-2011, 10:35 AM
declansharbor's Avatar
declansharbor declansharbor is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Exit 30
Posts: 6,357
Default

Steve,

Jus wondering, but why only go 2 deep in a race that you peg as a super competitve dash? Keep up the great work and thanks again for all your insight!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital"

- Nathan Israel
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 01-28-2011, 12:08 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by declansharbor View Post
Steve,

Jus wondering, but why only go 2 deep in a race that you peg as a super competitve dash? Keep up the great work and thanks again for all your insight!
Mike,

To me, turf sprints are regularly just crapshoots. I like to try to take a stand when possible, especially given that there are a couple other races in this sequence that need coverage with chances to produce prices. The problem with turf sprints are that you can spread and STILL get beat, so I say stay narrow and live or die.

G/L today!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 01-28-2011, 03:31 PM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,762
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
GULFSTREAM


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 5f-Outer Turf (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Dee's Rose 3-1 -
Best Value: #2 Yes It's Valid 6-1 WON ($13.80)
Next Best: #6 Natalicat 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 She'sa Tough Tiger 6-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (2-6) Paid $115.00
$1 Trifecta (2-6-1) Paid $444.50

Very Nice Hit... 115 Exacta is sweet.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 01-28-2011, 03:40 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by turf fan View Post
Why 2-1 on Pervis? Rogue Romance came back to win a G3, but this is a tough heat. He's doing well, but even I will not play my horse at that short price. Newsdad looks to be the horse to beat, even though Clement had a firster win yesterday at the same distance. The upsetter could be Fad, very well bread for the turf and Tagg has a history of scoring now and then with big prices.
Steve,

Sorry I didn't get back earlier. Looks like 4-1/9-2... Best of luck here!!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 01-28-2011, 03:40 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
Steve is throwing his hat into the ring for the GP morning line position.

You guys think the line is bad now.......
Becareful Steve is in a bad mood.You wouldnt want him to yell at you too
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 01-28-2011, 03:41 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
Very Nice Hit... 115 Exacta is sweet.
THX! The tri was nuts too thanks to the fave running out!

Didn't get exactly what I wanted or needed out of that 6th though..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 01-28-2011, 03:42 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
Becareful Steve is in a bad mood.You wouldnt want him to yell at you too















All right.. I'm sorry.











(I'm not ever allowed to be out of sorts?)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 01-28-2011, 03:47 PM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,762
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
THX! The tri was nuts too thanks to the fave running out!

Didn't get exactly what I wanted or needed out of that 6th though..
You hit another nice exacta in the 6th
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 01-28-2011, 03:53 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
You hit another nice exacta in the 6th
Yeah but leaving the 10 off killed my bigger P5/P4 plays.

All I have are P3's here to the 3-5 and then one with them through to the 6-12. That's it...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 01-28-2011, 04:03 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

Holy schit... P3 is over $600!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 01-28-2011, 04:14 PM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,762
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Holy schit... P3 is over $600!
Nice again....
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 01-28-2011, 04:23 PM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,558
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Holy schit... P3 is over $600!
Gotta love that. Gulfstream keeps paying big!!
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:03 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.