Overlays that got away??

RockHardTen1985 · #1 02-19-2011, 02:07 PM

Not meant to be any sort of a redboard thread. Who do you remember as an overlay that should not have been. Doesn't matter if you liked the horse or not on that day. Obviously everything is easier to look at in hindsight.

One Ill always remember is Volponi. That was the first year I really started getting ready to bet a card a month in advance. Trying to find someone to make my illegal bets for me. Looking at PP's days out. Never could make him. Looking back now he could have easily been in the 15-1 to 20-1 range vs that group.

Travis Stone · #2 02-19-2011, 02:14 PM

Blame. He won, but in hindsight, he was worth way more than what I bet on him. Of course, hindsight is 20/20.

Indian Charlie · #3 02-19-2011, 02:49 PM

Thirty Slews in the BC Sprint in the NY pools.

35/1 or so.

Dumb Nyers!

miraja2 · #4 02-19-2011, 03:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

That was the first year I really started getting ready to bet a card a month in advance.

asudevil · #5 02-19-2011, 10:46 PM

Anees. 1999 BC Juvy.

RockHardTen1985 · #6 02-20-2011, 12:18 AM

I think Midnight Lutes second BC win at Santa Anita is. I remember telling my friend all week I though he would be even money or 4-5 just because of Baffert and how he was simply much better then Street Boss. I think he was 5-2 or 2-1. Not a crazy one, but still....

golfer · #7 02-20-2011, 07:03 AM

In my opinion there is a very fine line between overlays and dead on the board, and you only know for sure which is which AFTER the race.

GPK · #8 02-20-2011, 08:07 AM

Bridgetown paying $8.20 yesterday was pretty generous, IMO.

Hickory Hill Hoff · #9 02-20-2011, 08:32 AM

Barbaro in the Derby.........KNS in her 3rd victory @ Arlington, made my '09 Spa meet!

oh yeah, they didn't get away..........

cakes44 · #10 02-20-2011, 03:05 PM

Nearly every winning horse in at the 2007 BC. Every thing I lost at that year's cup was because I dismissed common sense horses and tried to get cute and find the huge score.

RockHardTen1985 · #11 02-20-2011, 08:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff

Barbaro in the Derby.........KNS in her 3rd victory @ Arlington, made my '09 Spa meet!

oh yeah, they didn't get away..........

I agree about Barbaro. I narrowed that race down to him and another horse. I wont say the name its pathetic.

Indian Charlie · #12 02-20-2011, 08:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I agree about Barbaro. I narrowed that race down to him and another horse. I wont say the name its pathetic.

SNS?

RockHardTen1985 · #13 02-20-2011, 08:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

SNS?

Hell no. I hated him.
Its worse then that, MUCH MUCH WORSE.

MaTH716 · #14 02-20-2011, 10:15 PM

Invasor in the BC

RockHardTen1985 · #15 02-20-2011, 10:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716

Invasor in the BC

Disagree.
He was the price he should have been. People who bet him should thank Javier.

NTamm1215 · #16 02-20-2011, 10:46 PM

I thought Singletary had a huge shot in the 2004 Breeders' Cup and was working as a mutuel clerk at Lone Star. I was busy explaining to people who bought high priced seats in that section what an exacta is as he crossed the wire at 16-1.

I will forever be of the opinion that Furthest Land was one of the best overlays in the history of the Breeders' Cup. These were the horses that went off at shorter prices than him in the 2009 Dirt Mile (he went off 21-1):

Mr. Sidney (20-1)
Neko Bay (13-1)
Chocolate Candy (13-1)
Pyro (8-1)
Bullsbay (6-1)
Midshipman (3-1)
Mastercraftsman (7/5)

VOL JACK · #17 02-20-2011, 10:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

I thought Singletary had a huge shot in the 2004 Breeders' Cup and was working as a mutuel clerk at Lone Star. I was busy explaining to people who bought high priced seats in that section what an exacta is as he crossed the wire at 16-1.

I will forever be of the opinion that Furthest Land was one of the best overlays in the history of the Breeders' Cup. These were the horses that went off at shorter prices than him in the 2009 Dirt Mile (he went off 21-1):

Mr. Sidney (20-1)
Neko Bay (13-1)
Chocolate Candy (13-1)
Pyro (8-1)
Bullsbay (6-1)
Midshipman (3-1)
Mastercraftsman (7/5)

I agree.
I was astonished how people just disregarded his KY Cup Classic win in the race before at TWP.
I think he ran a 107 Beyer on the Poly there.
All he had to do was repeat that race.

It didn't hurt he had the greatest trip of all time in the BC Pro-ride Mile.

cal828 · #18 02-20-2011, 11:04 PM

Sarava(can't remember exact odds in the Belmont 70-1?) Thundergulch(25-1 in the Derby, I think)
Still kicking myself over these two.

The Bid · #19 02-20-2011, 11:36 PM

Slambino today at GSP

JJP · #20 02-20-2011, 11:49 PM

Monarchos paying $29 in the Derby in a race that had an insane amount of early speed. While Point Given ultimately proved he was the best 3YO of 2001, he was way overbet at CD off his perfect trip win at SA.