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  #1  
Old 03-05-2011, 10:51 PM
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keithting keithting is offline
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Question Payoff in a Graded Stake

Is today's result in the Santa Anita Hdcp the largest Trifecta and Superfecta payoffs ever in a Graded Stake?

Most likely largest payoffs in a Grade I stake.....
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Old 03-05-2011, 10:59 PM
Port Conway Lane Port Conway Lane is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by keithting View Post
Is today's result in the Santa Anita Hdcp the largest Trifecta and Superfecta payoffs ever in a Graded Stake?

Most likely largest payoffs in a Grade I stake.....
2005 Derby is the biggeat I can remember.
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  #3  
Old 03-05-2011, 11:09 PM
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keithting keithting is offline
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Yes, I forgot that Closing Argument was also a huge longshot and went off at 70-1. I never think of him as going off at those long odds......
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Old 03-05-2011, 11:20 PM
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justindew justindew is offline
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Originally Posted by keithting View Post
Yes, I forgot that Closing Argument was also a huge longshot and went off at 70-1. I never think of him as going off at those long odds......
The fact that Closing Argument was 70-1 in 2005 and Balktalk was like 20-1 last year shows how dramatically Derby wagering has changed in recent years.
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  #5  
Old 03-05-2011, 11:51 PM
PatCummings PatCummings is offline
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Originally Posted by keithting View Post
Is today's result in the Santa Anita Hdcp the largest Trifecta and Superfecta payoffs ever in a Graded Stake?

Most likely largest payoffs in a Grade I stake.....
Last year's Derby super paid $101,000 for $1. Today wasn't even close.
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  #6  
Old 03-05-2011, 11:54 PM
PatCummings PatCummings is offline
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Originally Posted by justindew View Post
The fact that Closing Argument was 70-1 in 2005 and Balktalk was like 20-1 last year shows how dramatically Derby wagering has changed in recent years.
Win odds in the Derby are a complete waste of time and effort, they do nothing to show you how a horse is actually valued any more.

Make Music For Me was 30-1 in the win pool this year, second longest shot in the 20-horse field, but was more like 100-1 when you saw his impact on the superfecta, even to finish fourth. Tri paid $1100+ for a buck, super paid $101,000+. All the value is in the exotic pools, which fortunately, the $2 buck chucks never pay any attention to. If he got up for third, it probably would've paid four or five times more on the super, and about 10-15 times in the trifecta.
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  #7  
Old 03-06-2011, 09:01 AM
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keithting keithting is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PatCummings View Post
Win odds in the Derby are a complete waste of time and effort, they do nothing to show you how a horse is actually valued any more.

Make Music For Me was 30-1 in the win pool this year, second longest shot in the 20-horse field, but was more like 100-1 when you saw his impact on the superfecta, even to finish fourth. Tri paid $1100+ for a buck, super paid $101,000+. All the value is in the exotic pools, which fortunately, the $2 buck chucks never pay any attention to. If he got up for third, it probably would've paid four or five times more on the super, and about 10-15 times in the trifecta.
Thanks for the perspective.

I look forward to this year's Derby for another big exotics opportunity !!
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  #8  
Old 03-06-2011, 09:45 AM
cal828 cal828 is offline
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Originally Posted by keithting View Post
Thanks for the perspective.

I look forward to this year's Derby for another big exotics opportunity !!
Me too. Even a dime super would have paid 10k.
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  #9  
Old 03-06-2011, 11:48 AM
ranger5830 ranger5830 is offline
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I would think the record for a G1 race other than the derby would have to be the '99 BC Classic when Cat Thief beat Budroyale, Golden Missile and Chester House and led to a $2 tri of $39,000 and a $1 superfecta of over $692,000.
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