6/18: Belmont Park ($34k C/O); Churchill Downs (7th-12th)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$34k P6 C/O starts here..

Feels like at least a half dozen are capable of winning this if it stays on the lawn..

Best Value: #2 Titus Catienus 5-1 11th
Next Best: #7 More Than Lucky 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #12 Windaful 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 Stan's Got Talent 8-1 8th


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Fight for V L T's 3-1 WON ($7.70)
Best Value: #11 Karakorum On Black 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Iron Lou 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 I Got Swagger 20-1 6th


7th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Buddy Red 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Carmel Bay 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Gotta Go Round 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Broadway Philly 8-1 4th


8th: 37th Hill Prince (G3), 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Colonial's odd decision to open Turf Cup to elders made this event a prime beneficiary. Good, good race with well-matched set of 9 and little to seperate them. Trip[ and predilection for yielding turf should determine outcome, and would guess those trying to rally will be compromised by the conditions..

Best Value: #2 Longhunter 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Fastest Magician 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Chinglish 4-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Street Game 12-1 WON ($18.20)


9th: 43rd Ogden Phipps (G1), F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

May be just six, but it's going to be a jockey's chess match out there.

Most Likely: #5 Late SCR
Next Best: #3 Awesome Maria 7-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #6 Payton d'Oro 8-1 2nd


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Hopeful Boy 7-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #6 Payout 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Golden Temple 4-1 DNF
Super Add: #3 Swinging at Siro's 8-1 2nd


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 2-7-8-12
6: 4-6 (10-11)
7: 8-10-11
8: 2
9: 2-3-5-6
10: 9

4x2x3x1x4x1 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 8-10-11
8: 2-4-6-8
9: 2-3-5-6
10: 6-9

3x4x4x2 = $96 x .50 = $48



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 2yo, 5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Two year old colts including #10 Whinston, a $625k Stonestreet sales-topper at Barrett's acquired weeks before Jess Jackson's passing. D. Wayne unveils #2 Chalybeate Springs, a Dynaformer bay out of the brilliant Chaposa Springs who counted the '95 Test, '96 Princess Rooney and Ballerina among her 14 wins from 23 starts..

Most Likely: #10 Whinston 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Brown Eyed Jozi 6-1 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Chalybeate Springs 8-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Cane Swagger 15-1 9th


8th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Dr Ballenger 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #12 Karma Shield 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #13 Orsonian 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Santo Gato 7-2 5th


9th: 36th Jefferson Cup (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Oliver S. (Wed. at Indiana Downs) runners Live in Joy, Swagger Jack and Great Mills SCR, as does Dream Warrior..

Most Likely: #4 Banned 7-5 WON ($2.60)
Best Value: #2 Redboard 15-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Perregaux 5-1 3rd


10th: 14th Matt Winn (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Joe Vann does NOT come out in favor of next week's Iowa Derby ar PrM; Chalice ran 2nd in that Oliver S. Wednesday and exits field..

Most Likely: #3 Wilburn 3-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Scotus 4-1 WON ($18.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Infratini 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Joe Vann 7-2 3rd


11th: 42nd Regret (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Excited 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Kathmanblu 7-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Bizzy Caroline 6-1 WON ($10.20)
Super Add: #4 Holidaysatthefarm 8-1 -


12th: 30th Stephen Foster (G1), 3+, 9f (Super, Super Hi-5)

May not be star-packed, but certainly chock ful o' stakes horses and a fun betting affair. May have gone in his direction anyway, but with rain at the Downs and a wet track very likely, hard to pass up Fawkes' Duke of Mischief at anything close to the 6-1 ML..

Best Value: #9 Duke of Mischief 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Crown of Thorns 4-1 7thth
Exotics Use: #3 Apart 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Giant Oak 7-2 5th
Hi-5 Play: #6 Regal Ransom 6-1 11th


<$50 P5 Play:

8: 1-4-12-13
9: 2-4-6
10: 3
11: 1-5-6
12: 2-9

4x3x1x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 2-4-6
10: 3
11: 1-4-5-6
12: 2-3-6-9-10-11

3x1x4x6 = $72 ($36 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve