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  #1  
Old 08-03-2011, 05:47 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Default 8/3: Saratoga (Day 11; Morrissey)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Nice group of solid citizens. Maker has been conspicuously absent from winner circles of late, but perhaps Kathern's Kitten back on the lawn could wake up the barn..

Best Value: #4 Kathern's Kitten 6-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Miss Laa di Da 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Loure 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Inflation Hedge 7-2 4th


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Pletcher debuter Hunt Crossing makes all the sense, but note that during Chad Brown's Tuesday visit to ATR, this Corinthian colt's half brother Bluember came up in conversation. Brown explained that the Bluegrass Cat 3yo, who broke his maiden over the weekend going 1m-70y at Monmouth, needed time to develop, and Corinthian's first 10 runners to hit the track have yet to win in 14 tries. Pletcher barn is transcending those kind of realities of course, and Hunt Crossing is still the most likely baby to win this event. But if you're looking for a reason to go against him, you at least have a possible reason.

Most Likely: #5 Hunt Crossing 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #6 Al Mudeer 5-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Backnbiz 20-1 6th
Super Add: #3 My Wahoo 4-1 3rd


3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Scootles 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Truffles 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Lynnette 7-2 4th
Super Add: #1 Yadira 5-1 WON ($14.60)


4th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Interesting conditions in this event has assembled a cast with lots of possibilities. Should be a dogfight..

Best Value: #8 Broken Trust Fund 8-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Silent Joy 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Miss Addison 8-1 9th
Super Add: #1 Northern Coast 3-1 WON ($6.70)


5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Same Old Wish 3-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Special Action 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Orsonian 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 The Defense Rests 4-1 WON ($9.40)


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 5
3: 1-2-3-4-5-6
4: 1-4-6-7-8-10
5: 1-2-8-9

1x6x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$.50 Pick 4 (5/1/1,5,9,13,14,15,16/1) Paid $112.37


6th: S/HCP, 3+, 9f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Sea Gaze 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Middle Bank 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Frazil 5-2 WON ($4.50)
Super Add: #7 Unbridled Heat 5-1 2nd


7th: CLM/N2L. 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Worth a Buck 6-1? Doubt we getting half that..

Most Likely: #2 Worth a Buck 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Majestic Hope 5-1 WON ($13.00)
Next Best: #6 Mr. Bristol 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Grounded Love 8-1 5th


8th: John Morrissey-NY, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Be Bullish 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #7 Ibboyee 7-5 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #5 Naughty New Yorker 10-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Six Flings 15-1 3rd


9th: CLM, 3YO, 1M-IT (DD, Super)

Don't often bet Matz, but this may be spot to do so finally getting Dehere colt onto surface that may prove out as one he prefers being half to excellent West Coast lawn spawn Haimish Hy (G1 Hollywood Derby)..

Best Value: #6 Argentine Talisman 10-1 WON ($31.40)
Next Best: #8 Top Surprize 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Ivy Connection 8-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Kid Curry 8-1 4th

$1 Pick 3 (7/7/6) Paid $281.00


10th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (Super)

AE's 11, 12 & 13 all have impact potential, so watch for SCR's..

Best Value: #10 Montana Knight 5-1 WON ($4.90)
Next Best: #11 (AE) SCR
Exotics Use: #7 Paul's Ace 6-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Thisonesforruthie 8-1 9th

$1 Pick 3 (7/6/10) Paid $131.25


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-6-7
8: 6-7
9: 4-6-8-9
10: 7-10-11/SCR

3x2x4x3 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (7/7/6/10,11,12,13) Paid $832.50


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-03-2011 at 06:15 PM.
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  #2  
Old 08-03-2011, 11:37 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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SAR SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 08-03-2011, 12:08 PM
Alan07 Alan07 is offline
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Post times being moved up due to wet weather expected later today.
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  #4  
Old 08-03-2011, 03:31 PM
Alan07 Alan07 is offline
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Congrats on the Early Pick 4 score.
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  #5  
Old 08-03-2011, 05:08 PM
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dpkovalesky dpkovalesky is offline
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Great call Steve on Argentine Talisman, made a nice little score on him!
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  #6  
Old 08-03-2011, 05:42 PM
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SuffolkGirl SuffolkGirl is offline
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Nice call on the Matz horse in the 9th.

thanks!
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  #7  
Old 08-03-2011, 06:09 PM
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atolunch atolunch is offline
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Another amazing day!

Congrats and thanks as always, both P4's!!!
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  #8  
Old 08-03-2011, 06:11 PM
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MaTH716 MaTH716 is offline
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Great job today Steve!
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  #9  
Old 08-03-2011, 06:19 PM
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herkhorse herkhorse is offline
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nice day Steve!
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  #10  
Old 08-03-2011, 06:24 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Alan, DP, Michelle, Larry, Matt, Herk..

THX very much! The day got better and better and there were some bets made that I don't often make.. Glad some got pieces, and hope all did well~!

Came home earlier but am going back to Toga to meet Tina and the Sciaccas at Winslow's!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #11  
Old 08-03-2011, 06:30 PM
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There he is.
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  #12  
Old 08-03-2011, 06:37 PM
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declansharbor declansharbor is offline
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Great call on the Matz charge Steve and superb ticket structuring throughout the card. Congrats.
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  #13  
Old 08-03-2011, 08:17 PM
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clyde clyde is offline
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Stevie.........................




I forgot what I was talking about.

Maybe later.
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  #14  
Old 08-03-2011, 08:22 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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The Saratoga Slayer strikes again! Outstanding job, Steve!
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  #15  
Old 08-03-2011, 09:40 PM
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ninetoone ninetoone is offline
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Awesome job Steve.
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  #16  
Old 08-03-2011, 10:01 PM
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Great work today, Steve!
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  #17  
Old 08-03-2011, 11:54 PM
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Ronnie Ronnie is offline
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You got better as the day went on. WOW!
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  #18  
Old 08-04-2011, 04:44 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Coach, Mike, Mort, Dan, Nick, 9, Ronnie..

Thanks.. !
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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