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#1
08-05-2011, 07:06 AM
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8/5: Saratoga (Day 13; John's Call; $70k C/O)
Sizable number of scratches took some of the starch out of the Thursday Spa slate, a 10 race card that may have been the least intriguing of the meet thus far to begin with. But there were no shortage of surprising and/or well-priced winners spiking the action, and the $100,000 guaranteed P6 resulted in a $70k carryover into Friday. Some may have noticed that after initially posting a $144 P6 suggestion early Thursday morning, I adandoned the idea in the post-scratch edition of the tabs. I'm glad I did as it would have been a futile gesture.
Don't have too many pithy summary ideas to relate, though it might be worth noting that both Graham Motion (Humadea/8th) and Lisa Lewis (Fast Time/10th) sent out winners as first time starters Thursday in fields where every other combatant had racing experience. In 2yo races, you regularly want to lean toward runners that have had a race, but in groups of older horses seeking diplomas, the new faces are generally preferable to the 'career maiden' types. At the windows, the best notion of the day came in the second of the two jump races where Baltic Shore (6-1) lost a photo to Royal Rossi (4-1) with Worried Man (14-1) just behind them. The tri brought back a liberal $290.50, but it was more or less downhill from there. Hope you did OK! SARATOGA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #7 Game Token 5-1 4th Next Best: #5 Jackson N Humboldt 7-2 DNF Exotics Use: #2 Wise Stop 3-1 2nd Super Add: #3 Dahlgren Chapel 4-1 WON ($7.30) 2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #8 Alydarla 8-1 2nd Next Best: #3 Heather's Feather 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #6 Shesa Sweet Talker 9-2 5th Super Add: #1 Bluegrassislegal 6-1 7th 3rd: Madame Jumel, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Sweet N Sour Nina 7-2 3rd Best Value: #3 Bubble Gum 5-1 5th Exotics Use: #1 Arena Elvira 3-1 WON ($5.70) Super Add: #5 Always in My Heart 4-1 7th 4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) $70k P6 C/O starts here.. Most Likely: #5 Sisterhood 4-1 5th Best Value: #8 Dorothy's Spirit 6-1 4th Exotics Use: #2 Coral Glade 7-2 10th Super Add: #3 Inny Minnie 9-2 2nd 5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Vee 8-5 2nd Best Value: #4 Dracup 12-1 9th Exotics Use: #8 My Donna Jean 10-1 7th Super Add: #9 St. Lucy 6-1 6th <$75 P4 Play: 2: 3-8 3: 1-3-4-5 4: 2-3-5-8-10-11 5: 4-7-8 2x4x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 6th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Cool Operator 5-2 9th Best Value: #7 Tom's Heritage 5-1 10th Exotics Use: #3 Rocky Fortune 5-1 2nd Super Add: #10 Hook and Lateral 4-1 4th 7th: John's Call-R, 3+, 13f-T (P3, DD, Super) Very nice assembly of turf routers... In one of those little interesting raceday sidenotes, Kindergarten Kid (Dynaformer) has his 2yo sister Assateague (Stormy Atlantic) debuting in the 6th.. Best Value: #9 Dark Cove 5-1 6th Next Best: #6 Simmard 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #11 Center Divider 6-1 2nd Super Add: #7 Sanagas 12-1 WON ($13.80) 8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD, Super) Love these state bred turf routes. Trip will be everything here, and don't be afraid to use anyone about whom you have an inkling in exotics.. Best Value: #1 Medieval Sword 12-1 5th Next Best: #6 Runaway Jim 9-2 WON ($10.00) Exotics Use: #9 Gamblin Fever 6-1 10th Super Add: #10 Seattle Mission 3-1 2nd 9th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (Super) Most Likely: #10 Little Dale 6-1 2nd Best Value: #1 Sportswriter 10-1 WON ($14.40) Exotics Use: #7 Skorton 5-1 6th Super Add: #9 Synthesizer 10-1 8th <$200 P5 P6 Play: 4: 2-5-8 5: 7 6: 1-7 7: 1-4-6-7-9-11 8: 1-6 9: 10 3x1x2x6x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 1-3-7-10 7: 1-4-6-7-9-11 8: 1-6 9: 1-7-10 4x6x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-06-2011 at 04:59 AM. 
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#2
08-05-2011, 12:17 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
08-05-2011, 12:25 PM
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Thanks Steve for your hard work & picks. My selections are pretty much the same as you. Just a matter as always of ticket structure.
If people have time they should watch the replay especially the head-on of the 7 in the 6th race. Rough trip doesn't adequately describe Tom's H's adventure.
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#6
08-06-2011, 01:22 AM
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<$75 P4 Play:
6: 1-3-7-10 7: 1-4-6-7-9-11 8: 1-6 9: 1-7-10 4x6x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve $2 Pick 4 (2-7-6-1) 4 Correct Paid: $5,649.00 What a tough beat Steve. The 3 loses in the last jump in the 6th. It probably would have paid the same too. Last edited by Kasept : 08-06-2011 at 04:59 AM.
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#7
08-06-2011, 05:06 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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