8/31: Saratoga (Day 34; $44k C/O); Del Mar ($341k C/O)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Veiled Prophet 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Alcomatch 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Scorper 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Hammock 10-1 WON ($17.00)


2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Moreforyourmoney 8-5 3rd
Next Best: #2 King and Crusader 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Two Left Shoes 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Texas Josh 8-1 4th


3rd: Lady Tak, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Just 5 but supremely well-matched. If you single Moreforyourmoney above, you can go all here..

Most Likely: #4 Kid Kate 2-1 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #1 Katy Now 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Christine Daae 3-1 5th


4th: MSW, F&M-3, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 D'oro Princess 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Empress of Gold 2-1 WON ($5.10)
Exotics Use: #6 Force of Nature 8-1 5th


5th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Spa City Lover 5-2 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #9 Inner Truth 8-1 7th
Next Best: #5 In a Mellow Tone 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 By M K 5-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-6-7
3: 1-2-4-5
4: 2-4-5-6
5: 5-9-10

3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


6th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Saints Alive 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Pegasus Tommy D. 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Count Catamount 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Super Add: #5 Free Brave 4-1 5th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Mr. Style 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #2 Officer Prado 3-1 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #9 SCR
Super Add: #4 Late SCR


8th: 7th P. G. Johnson, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Alaura Michele 9-2 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #1 Crazy Party 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Putthebabiesdown 6-1 4th
Super Add: #5 New Wave 10-1 2nd


9th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Risky Rachel 4-1 WON ($7.50)
Next Best: #8 Yawkey Way 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Gato Nero 8-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Enniskillen 20-1 5th


10th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD, Super)

Another unwelcome turf sprint stop on the P6 line. Moon Struck Nemi is another of the individual horses that has made this a very good meet for me, when winning at nearly 14-1. He's also Ronny Werner's lone success at the stand. Not sure if he can repeat while moving up, but he's worth including. Angel Penna is winless with 6 starters at the Spa, a situation that Dominant Currency could rectify here. Tough, tough group to separate..

Most Likely: #1 Illusion of Speed 4-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Moon Struck Nemi 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Dominant Currency 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Babai Baby 9-2 5th


11th: MDN CLM-NY, 2yo, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #7 Deferlong 10-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Rico Capote 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Shane Roars 8-1 4th
Super Add: #4 The Snickers Kid 12-1 3rd


<$200 P6 Play:

6: 2-3-7
7: 5
8: 1-3
9: 5-8
10: 1-3-6-7
11: 3-7

3x1x2x2x4x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-3-7
9: 5-8
10: 1-2-3-6-7-8-9-11
11: 3-7-10

3x2x8x3 = 144 x .50 = $72



DEL MAR


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6,

Best Value: #8 Kvetch 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Ansede 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 English Puddin 8-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Anna You're Up 5-1 8th


4th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 U. C. Merced Two 8-1 WON ($25.40)
Next Best: #4 Purse Lava 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Don Elias M. 6-1 2nd-DH
Super Add: #14 Mossad 6-1 11th


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Fulbridled's Sis 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Subpoena the Dress 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #9 Indiara 5-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Folk Dancer 6-1 7th


6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 West Ruler 5-2 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #1 Miss Zooter 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Alaska Miss 9-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Catchy Tune 4-1 7th


7th: 19th Generous Portion-CA, 2yo-F, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Lookin for Jonesy 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Starlight Magic 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Heleonor Rugby 5-1 WON ($14.00)
Super Add: #4 Willa B Awesome 12-1 5th


8th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Ello Guv 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Truco Latino 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Ava's Paradise 10-1 7th
Super Add: #10 American Warrior 8-1 10th
Hi-5 Play: #9 Mudville Nine 4-1 WON ($14.00)


<$200 P6 Play:

3: 8-9
4: 5
5: 4-8-9-10
6: 1-6
7: 3-5
8: 2-5-7

2x1x4x2x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 4-8-9-10
6: 1-4-6
7: 1-3-4-5
8: 2-5-7

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

[asudevil]

SB taking a stab at the surf.....love it!!!

[guido75]

Asudevil, where does that quote come from, get busy living or get busy dying come from??

[declansharbor]

Originally Posted by guido75

Asudevil, where does that quote come from, get busy living or get busy dying come from??

Shawshenk

[Dahoss]

Maria's Own just went from 5/2 to 3/4 in one flash in the 4th. Weird....

[Dahoss]

Next flash she is back up to 2-1. Tote malfunction or a scratched bet?

[GPK]

Am I the only one that likes Vinda in the 10th?

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by GPK

Am I the only one that likes Vinda in the 10th?

I thought she had a chance but the inactivity off a nice win and the 2 aluminum pads again temper my enthusiasm. It's also a lot harder to be a one-run dead last closer at 5.5 on the turf at Sar than it is at 6fs at Belmont.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

I thought she had a chance but the inactivity off a nice win and the 2 aluminum pads again temper my enthusiasm. It's also a lot harder to be a one-run dead last closer at 5.5 on the turf at Sar than it is at 6fs at Belmont.

I don't know, Nick. I'm not completely sold on the fact that she is a one-run dead last closer. I think if she breaks well today, Solis can have her just off the first flight. From there, I think its a matter of is she good enough. If I can get her ML odds or higher at post time, I'm gonna make a win bet on her and possibly play around with her underneath a couple horses in an exacta.

She's not the worst stab on the card today if she is the right odds.

[Kasept]

Well.. there goes the P6 at DMR! Wow.. Put in a simple $48 play for action, and the $48 winner knocks plenty of us out! Gary Young, as good a clocker/horse agent and as a big a player as there is out there, said on ATR today that it was 50-50 to carry into Thursday...

August 31 6:05 PM
Del Mar Thoroughbred Club 3
2.00 P6 (PWHL)

8, 9 / 5 / 4, 9, 10 / 4 / 3, 5 / 5, 7

$48.00

[GPK]

Originally Posted by GPK

I don't know, Nick. I'm not completely sold on the fact that she is a one-run dead last closer. I think if she breaks well today, Solis can have her just off the first flight. From there, I think its a matter of is she good enough. If I can get her ML odds or higher at post time, I'm gonna make a win bet on her and possibly play around with her underneath a couple horses in an exacta.

She's not the worst stab on the card today if she is the right odds.

[Kasept]

I don't know whether to laugh or cry..

[hockey2315]

Just watched Starlight Magic's race. . . pretty interesting. Do we think she gets bet way down or are there too many horses in there to take money and keep her at double digits?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Just watched Starlight Magic's race. . . pretty interesting. Do we think she gets bet way down or are there too many horses in there to take money and keep her at double digits?

Young talked about her and the trouble. Probably comes down some, but the 1, 2, 4, 5, 8 all have appeal. Fun race.

[Rudeboyelvis]

2nd choice in the P3 Will Pay.... Getting crushed to almost co-favoritism with 6 min to post... either a bad line or the worst kept secret in the world

[Kasept]

1, 8, 11, 12 to get carry to go to Thursday.. Looks like 5 takes whole pool ($1.2MM).

[Alan07]

Originally Posted by Kasept

1, 8, 11, 12 to get carry to go to Thursday.. Looks like 5 takes whole pool ($1.2MM).

It won't carry. Can't see how those have any shot, maybe the 12. But I have no clue who that jock is.

[Rudeboyelvis]

2 is a sneaky play here - half to Atomic Rain and not much to beat - Good Luck Steve

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

2 is a sneaky play here - half to Atomic Rain and not much to beat - Good Luck Steve

Thx Dan!