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  #1  
Old 11-30-2011, 12:32 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Default 11/30: Aqueduct ($31k C/O)

AQUEDUCT


PRE-SCRATCHES


4TH & 6TH OFF THE TURF; 8TH REMAINS ON 'SOFT' LAWN


4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Stanford Dolly 8-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Famous Rose 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #13 Judicial Leader 4-1 WON ($12.20)


5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value:#6 King Rock 12-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Our Brave Warrior 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Anew 6-5 7th
Super Add: #3 American Classic 8-1 ($23.20)


6th: CLM, 3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Only 1-3-6-10 from original entrants and 12-13-14 from MTO's run. As Andy Serling mentioned on ATR Tuesday, Grausmark's Take Down Two was going to be as attractive as the MTO's if it came off the grass..

Most Likely: #6 Take Down Two 4th
Next Best: #14 High Stakes Player WON ($9.80)
Exotics Use: #13 Stud Muffin 2nd


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

What's so special about Honey Mou for us to take 9-5 on her?

Best Value: #3 Simple Exchange 10-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Justleavemealone 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Beautifulnightmare 4-1 WON ($8.30)
Super Add: #1 Readygetsgold 8-1 3rd


8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Soft turf a mitigating factor here..

Best Value: #9 Abilio 5-1 WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #4 One Note Samba 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 War Hoot 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Glacier Bay 8-1 7th


9th: CLM, 3+, 1m (Super)

Before singling the favorite here, recall Serling's Formulator stat from Tuesday that Linda Rice enters the '11 winter meet 1 for 30+ going turf to AQU Inner (#8 Storm Island/3-1)..

Best Value: #4 Jitalian 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Prince Dubai 7-2 WON ($8.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Storm Island 3-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Merlin Bay 12-1 9th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 7-12
5: 2-5-6
6: 6
7: 3-7
8: 4-9
9: 4-6-8

2x3x1x2x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 6-13-14
7: 1-3-4-7
8: 1-4-9
9: 4-5-6-8

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (14/4/9/6) Paid $290.00


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 11-30-2011 at 05:38 PM.
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  #2  
Old 11-30-2011, 04:21 PM
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Steve nice work on pick 4!!
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  #3  
Old 11-30-2011, 04:22 PM
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Nice late Pick 4 Steve............especially liked the call on Abilio in the 8th.
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Old 11-30-2011, 06:29 PM
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Steve, nice going on the PK4!!
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Old 11-30-2011, 06:53 PM
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Good Job Steve!
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Old 11-30-2011, 07:35 PM
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Steve Byk
 
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Thx guys. Was good to get out on the P4/P6. As discussed on ATR with Andy Tuesday, sequence was quirky and opening of inner track added to confusion. And how about Andy's Formulator stat on Linda Rice in the nightcap? Now 1/34..
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 12-01-2011 at 07:23 AM.
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