12/31: Gulfstream (8th-12th); Santa Anita (1st-9th)

[Kasept]

A good year of horse play comes to an end! Excellent action all over the country and Tina and I will spend the afternoon at Aqueduct for My Pal of Pals run in the 4th. Warm wishes for a safe and happy New Year's Eve and healthy, prosperous 2012!


GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 11f-T/24' (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Syros 4-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Papaw Bodie 10-1 WON ($15.60)
Next Best: #9 Adirondack Summer 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Newsdad 6-1 3rd


9th: MSW, 2yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

No real surprises in hear at a glance. Question is what to do with Pletcher firster by Tiznow -- #10 Willy Elliot (10-1)..

Best Value: #7 Input 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Moon Traveler 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Big Screen 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Super Add: #11 Battle Hardened 4-1 2nd


10th: OC/N3X, 8.5f-T/84' (P3, DD, Super)

Terrific group..

Best Value: #4 Laureate Conductor 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Bad Debt 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Pinckney Hill 6-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Cause of Freedom 10-1 10th


11th: 59th Mr. Prospector (G3), 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Indiano 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Zero Rate Policy 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Capt. Candyman Can 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Apriority 4-1 WON ($7.20)


12th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7.5f-T/24' (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #10 Miner's Tune 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Brampton 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Catch That Kitten 8-1
Super Add: #9 Ithinkihadthatone 6-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #12 Proudroad to Glory 5-1 WON ($12.70)


<$75 P5 Play:

8: 5-7-9
9: 7
10: 4-8
11: 1-2-3-4-7
12: 4-9-11-10-12

3x1x2x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 4-6-7
10: 4-8
11: 1-2-3-4-7
12: 4-9-11-10-12

3x2x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, PL Pick All, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Amelia Rose 5-2 7th
Best Value: #6 Game Charmer 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Tiabelle 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Goldentouch of Gin 8-1 4th


2nd: CLM, 3+, 1m=T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Some hard-knocking, classy $30k players lined up here with the 6 elders in the set having earned more than $2 million combined..

Most Likely: #7 Crossing the Line 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Violon Sacre 5-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Stoneside 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Matto Mondo 7-2 WON ($14.40)


3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Last chance for win at 2 for these fillies and several here have dams that caught my eye. Lobshot is o/o the excellent Chspiski that tore up Calder stakes 10 years ago for Ron Spatz; Hidinginplainsight's dam Hot Storm was a very nice stakes sprinter for Dallas Stewart 2004-07 amassing $840k in 10 wins and multiple GS placings; Bright Gal dropped Lemon Hero and won 10 times as a top notch turf dasher when trained by Mary Eppler..

Most Likely: #2 My Sweet Candy 3-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Hidinginplainsight 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Princess Arabella 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Lobshot 5-1 3rd


4th: CLM, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Call Me Kelly 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #9 Bwana Me Gone 7-2 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Del Siete Leguas 8-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Pop the Cork 15-1 7th


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Oy.. Maidens down the hill. Brutally tough to decipher. Pedigree notes include The Roan Ranger, half to Steve Klesaris/Bruce Levine solid citizen Coli Bear and Gurnick, half to U R All That I Am who won many stakes for Hollendorfer..

Most Likely: #8 Chickie Charms 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #11 Spit Ball 8-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Unusual Heatwave 6-1 WON ($12.80)
Exotics Use: #2 The Roan Ranger 8-1 3rd


<$75 P5/P4 Play:

1: 3
2: 4-5-7
3: 2-4-5-7
4: 6-9
5: 2-7-8-9-11-12

1x3x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Quintons Destiny 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Delta Fix 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Gothics Peak 9-2 9th
Super Add: #6 Dubber 8-1 7th


7th: 17th Eddie Logan, 2yo, 1,-T (P3, DD, Super)

Daddy Nose Best (9-5) is OK but hardly feels imposing in here. This race smells fishy..

Best Value: #3 Smart Ellis 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Daddy Nose Best 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Chips All In 9-2 WON ($25.20)
Super Add: #5 Stoney Fleece 5-2 3rd
Also Include: #1 Sheer Talent 8-1 2nd


8th: 39th La Brea (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (DD, Super)

Last G1 of the year and the only filly that can beat Turbulent Descent is May Day Rose whose Railbird effort in May would suffice. Dangerous if allowed any kind of easy lead..

Most Likely: #2 Turbulent Descent 6-5 6th
Best Value: #3 May Day Rose 8-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Teddy's Promise 6-1 WON ($35.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Home Sweet Aspen 9-2 4th


9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

$29k Super Hi-5 carryover here..

Best Value: #1 Leaving New York 8-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Capital Account 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Shrug 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 McKenzies Way 12-1 7th
Hi-5 Play: #13 Batti Man 8-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-6-7-9
7: 1-3-4-5-6-8
8: 2
9: 1-3-5-6-8-13

4x6x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$20 Backup P4 with May Day Rose:

6: 1-7
7: 1-3-4-5-6-8
8: 3
9: 1-3-6

2x6x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

GP SCR/CHG'S

[tmpg2000]

Thanks Steve

Have a safe happy New Year