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#1
03-30-2012, 09:58 PM
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World Cup card not really in my wheelhouse, but with the Carnival coverage ATR has offered these last few winters with Pat Cummings and Dick Powell, it's been fun to take shots on the big morning. Will play some rolling P3's, exacta boxes and/or tri keys (.50 available) for action ahead of the big day.
MEYDAN POST-SCRATCHES 2nd: Godolphin Mile (G2), 1m (P3, DD, Super) Top tab seems one of the night's most likely winners on best.. Most Likely: #4 African Story 7-2 WON ($3.20) Best Value: #9 Red Jazz 20-1 3rd Next Best: #11 Do It All 4-1 12th Exotics Use: #3 Sandagiyr 6-1 8th 3rd: Dubai Gold Cup (G3), 2m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) Abandoned due to fall of Fox Hunt (RIP); Re-run after World Cup.. 4th: UAE Derby (G2), 9.5f (P3, DD, Super) Feels like a middling renewal of this.. Best Value: #6 Mickdaam 8-1 4th Next Best: #13 Wrote 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #14 Helmet 10-1 12th Super Add: #4 Balada Sale 8-1 6th 5th: Al Quoz Sprint (G1), 5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Some healthy prices on the US line taking action in Europe.. Best Value: #2 Addictive Dream 20-1 15th Next Best: #6 Joy and Fun 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #10 Ortensia 8-1 WON ($7.20) Super Add: #5 Nocturnal Affair 20-1 6th 6th: Golden Shaheen (G1), 6f (P3, DD, Super) American speed stands up well in this annually.. Most Likely: #1 Rocket Man 9-2 2nd Best Value: #3 Giant Ryan 8-1 5th Next Best: #7 The Factor 3-1 6th Exotics Use: #5 Krypton Factor 10-1 WON ($18.80) $1 Exacta (5-1) Paid $31.70 7th: Duty Free (G1), 9f-T (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #10 Mutahasee 10-1 2nd Next Best: #4 Ambitious Dragon 4-1 7th Exotics Use: #11 Cityscape 12-1 WON ($24.60) Super Add: #7 Dark Shadow 10-1 9th $1 Pick 3 (10,11/5/11) Paid $1,166.40 $1 Exacta (11-10) Paid $99.10 8th: Sheema Classic (G1), 12f-T (DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Cirrus des Aigles 3-1 WON ($9.00) Best Value: #3 Beaten Up 20-1 6th Next Best: #9 St. Nicholas Abbey 2-1 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Songcraft 8-1 8th $2 Pick 3 (5/11/8) Paid $700.10 $1 Exacta (8-9) Paid $12.70 9th: World Cup (G1), 10f (Super) Fun assembly of international players and Mott stacks up as clever with as anyone here with BC Distaff mare that should sit ideal trip under Lezcano. I'm very interested in the solid, under radar German-bred Zazou at a juicy number too. Shamardal offspring clicking on synthetics at 23% while Peslier and successful Chantilly prep further enhance appeal on 19/7-1-4 millionaire 5yo.. Most Likely: #7 Royal Delta 8-1 9th Best Value: #3 Zazou 15-1 5th Next Best: #4 So You Think 5-1 4th Exotics Use: #14 Game On Dude 3-1 12th **3rd: Dubai Gold Cup (G3), 2m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #10 Opinion Poll 3-1 WON (N/A) Next Best: #11 Fox Hunt (Fell; Euthanized) Best Value: #12 Zanzamar 20-1 3rd Exotics Use: #8 Mikhail Glinka 8-1 9th GULFSTREAM PARK POST-SCRATCHES 1st: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Simba's Story 5-2 3rd Next Best: #8 Wiki 3-1 2nd Best Value: #1 Watch Me Go 15-1 6th Exotics Use: #6 Andersonstate 12-1 4th 2nd: 3rd Sir Shackleton, 4+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) SCR Zero Rate Policy & Soaring Stocks who are running in New Orleans.. Most Likely: #8 Jersey Town 3-1 2nd Best Value: #7 Nathan's H Q 12-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Will's Wildcat 4-1 4th Exotics Use: #5 Action Andy 5-1 5th 3rd: 35th Rampart (G3), F&M-4+, 9f (P3, DD, Super) In easy a stake spot for a major horse as you'll ever see.. Most Likely: #5 AWESOME MARIA 3-5 WON ($2.20) Next Best: #3 Lacie Slew 6-1 4th Exotics Use: #1 Belovda 3-1 2nd 4th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-T/48' (P3, DD, Super) As discussed with Welsch on ATR Weekend Preview, Kanagaro and Za Approval have esge on field. Get a Grip and Exclusive Strike are the useful prices to play with.. Most Likely: #6 Za Approval 5-2 WON ($4.20) Next Best: #5 Kanagaro 3-1 2nd Best Value: #1 Get a Grip 15-1 10th Exotics Use: #8 Exclusive Strike 5-1 3rd 5th: 27th Skip Away (G3), 4+, 9.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Exiting the Donn, Where's Sterling is supposed to beat these. Note Dixie Emperor's 3 stiff drills at Calder since turf stake fiasco.. Most Likely: #1 Where's Sterling 5-2 4th Best Value: #6 Dixie Emperor 12-1 7th Next Best: #8 Self Control 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #4 Alma d'Oro 3-1 2nd <$50 P4 Play: 2: 1-2-5-6-7-8 3: 5 4: 5-6 5: 1-4-6-8 6x1x2x4 = $48 ($24 for .50) 6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T/48' (P3, DD, Super) Very little to go on but breeding and trainer stats with 7 firsters and 3 2nd timers.. Best Value: #2 Fast Falcon 15-1 6th Next Best: #10 Upkeep 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Circularity 20-1 7th Super Add: #5 Distortionist 6-1 4th 7th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Tons of pedigree on display here including Spin Out (1/2 to Friendly Island), Present Course (1/2 to Telling), Ez Effort (1/2 to Uh Oh Bango), Fort Booneborough (1/2 to Twilight Road), North Ocean (Out of Beautiful Pleasure), Bocelli (1/2 to Stay Thirsty/Andromeda's Hero).. Most Likely: #2 Ez Effort 3-1 WON ($2.60) Best Value: #4 Street Thug 6-1 2nd Next Best: #3 Present Course 6-1 5th Exotics Use: #8 Fort Boonesborough 8-1 4th 8th: 63rd Appleton (G3), 4+, 1m-T/48' (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Trend 5-1 2nd Best Value: #6 Decisive Moment 15-1 6th Next Best: #4 Brilliant Speed 5-2 5th Exotics Use: #2 Corporate Jungle 4-1 WON ($6.00) <$50 P4 Play: 5: 1-4-6-8 6: 1-2-3-5-8-10 7: 2 8: 2-4-6-8 4x6x1x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 9th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 9f-T/108' (P5, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #10 Easy Crossing 5-2 WON ($4.00) Best Value: #11 Joy of the Toy 5-1 6th Next Best: #6 Bellefire 10-1 8th Exotics Use: #3 North of Never 12-1 4th 10th: 44th Gulfstream Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Yara no fluke but Grace Hall and Zo Impressive still feel more imposing.. Most Likely: #2 Zo Impressive 3-1 2nd Next Best: #5 Grace Hall 2-1 WON ($4.40) Best Value: #1 Yara 6-1 5th Exotics Use: #7 And Why Not 4-1 6th 11th: 63rd FloridaDerby (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super) Not much mystery to this with Union Rags and El Padrino notches above and Take Charge Indy looking to erase doubts about readiness due to Byrne's quirky handling.. Most Likely: #6 Union Rags 6-5 3rd Next Best: #8 El Padrino 2-1 4th Exotics Use: #3 Take Charge Indy 5-1 WON ($17.40) Best Value: #4 Neck 'n Neck 20-1 5th 12th: 51st Orchid (G3), F&M-4+, 12f-T/48' (DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Hit It Rich 3-1 WON ($7.40) Next Best: #9 Keertana 5-2 3rd Best Value: #4 Woodford Belle 12-1 4th Exotics Use: #2 Aqsaam 4-1 2nd 13th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T/108' (Super, Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #5 Imhotep 3-1 WON ($) Best Value: #6 Torment 8-1 3rd Next Best: #11 Bold Forest 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #3 Liquid Luck 10-1 6th <$75 P5 Play: 9: 10-11 10: 1-2-5 11: 3-6-8 12: 2-4-8-9 13: 5-6 2x3x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick 5 (10/5/3/8/1,5,9) Paid $331.75 $0.50 Pick 5 (10/5/3/8/1,5,9) Paid $5.35 (CONSO) X 9 = $48.15 <$75 P4 Play: 10: 1-2-5-7 11: 3-6-8 12: 2-4-8-9 13: 5-6-11 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick 4 (5/3/8/1,5,9) Paid $129.40 AQUEDUCT POST-SCRATCHES 5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) $28k C/O starts here.. Notable SCR of favorite #7 Indigene Charm which opens up opportunity for #11 L. C. Sleepy (4-1) to draw in.. Best Value: #5 Special Action 5-1 WON ($8.50) Next Best: #11 L. C. Sleepy 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #2 Sorry No Refunds 3-1 9th Super Add: #9 Crea's Law 4-1 8th 6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Best hop is the drop and there's plenty to choose from here. Could throw wrench in P6 plays with half the field possible.. Most Likely: #6 Bobity Boo 5-2 5th Best Value: #13 Sweet Hot Toddy 10-1 2nd Next Best: #2 Speckledbird 7-2 WON ($6.60) Exotics Use: #4 Life's Measure 6-1 7th 7th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Happy to get Dee Tee City Zip colt My Pal of Pals turf season underway here, though shorter distances on the Belmont/Saratoga lawns the best spots for him. Should be forwardly placed and will take them as far as he can.. Most Likely: #8 Cientifico 4-1 WON ($17.60) Best Value: #1 Suspicious U 6-1 5th Next Best: #7 Pearl of Wisdom 2-1 7th Exotics Use: #4 My Pal of Pals 15-1 3rd 8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Flo's Greatness 5-2 3rd Next Best: #2 Recurring Dream 4-1 WON ($8.00) Best Value: #10 Readytodefer 6-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Russian Ally 8-1 7th 9th: Plugged Nickle, F&M-4+, 1m (DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Great Gracie Dane 5-2 6th Next Best: #4 Opus A 2-1 3rd Best Value: #3 Empress of Gold 5-1 5th Exotics Use: #6 One Last Dance 5-1 4th 10th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super) Best Value: #5 Kissinginthedark 8-1 Next Best: #2 Karakorum Magic 3-1 WON ($3.80) Exotics Use: #9 Skinnydipper 4-1 Super Add: #10 Carrot Thief 6-1 2nd <$150 P6 Play: 5: 5-11 6: 2-6-13 7: 1-8 8: 7 9: 1-4 10: 2-5-9 2x3x2x1x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$50 P4 Play: 7: 1-8 8: 2-4-7-10 9: 1-4 10: 2-5-9 2x4x2x3 = $48 ($24 for .50) Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 03-31-2012 at 09:14 PM. 
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#3
03-30-2012, 10:34 PM
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I came up with ADDICTIVE DREAM (#2) in the 5th too!!!!
 
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction" http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
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#4
03-31-2012, 12:04 AM
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Right with you Steve on Zazou. Bet him back and forth to the board in Hong Kong at 50-1 and when he took the lead in the lane thought I was going to cash. Cheap thrill as he could only hang on for 3rd but I got to give him another shot.
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#5
03-31-2012, 09:05 AM
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Why is this African Story bet down to 4/5 thats insane
Guess thats why
__________________
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p4ySSg4QG8g
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#6
03-31-2012, 09:13 AM
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seemed about right.
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#7
03-31-2012, 09:24 AM
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Ive always liked this Joshua Tree. Im not sure he can beat Opinion Pool, but Im going to try. Fox Hunt may be a touch outside his premium trip at 2 miles
African Story looked good
__________________
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p4ySSg4QG8g
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#8
03-31-2012, 11:52 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#10
03-31-2012, 02:13 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#11
03-31-2012, 07:28 PM
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Steve, nice job including Take Charge Indy in the PK5/PK4 - Congrats
Borel shines again as the others over analysis the race and pace scenario.
__________________
Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them
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#12
03-31-2012, 07:29 PM
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Very nice finish at Gulfstream today Steve. More $$$ for tommorrow.
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#14
03-31-2012, 09:10 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#15
03-31-2012, 09:12 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#16
03-31-2012, 09:58 PM
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Yep,nice carryover at Santa Anita to shoot for tommorrow.
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#18
04-01-2012, 06:50 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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