6/16: Belmont (7th-10th); Colonial (4th-7th); Churchill (1st-8th)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Notmyfirstime 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #6 Dylan Dangerous 15-1 8th
Next Best: #9 B Shanny 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 D' Sauvage 10-1 6th


8th: 38th Hill Prince (G3), 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Summer Front 7-2 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #9 Howe Great 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Spring to the Sky 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Mr. Handsome 12-1 8th


9th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #3 Schillerette 10-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Satin Sheets 7-5 10th
Exotics Use: #1 Elusive Rumor 4-1 WON ($8.10)
Super Add: #11 Late SCR


10th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f T

Best Value: #3 Stone Maker 15-1 11th
Next Best: #7 Carey Princess 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Sherry Bay G. 9-5 WON ($3.90)
Super Add: #11 Mattie's Warrior 15-1 9th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 5-6-9
8: 1-5-6-9
9: 1-3-10
10: 3-7-8-11

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (2,5/1,11,12,13,14/1/8,12,13) Paid $33.25



COLONIAL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: S/HCP, 3+, 9.5f-T (P4, DD)

Best Value: #2 Cajun Bayou 20-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Sir Rabbit 9-2 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Private Tale 8-5 10th
Super Add: #4 Share Out 5-1 3rd


5th: 12th DaHoss, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Slews Answer 2-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Sleepless Knight 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Concealed Identity 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #4 Lentanor 5-1 5th


6th: 14th Ned Evans All Along (G3), F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 La Pernelle 7-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Another Smokey 20-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Pachattack 9-5 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Snow Top Mountain 5-1 WON ($15.40)


7th: 8th Colonial Cup, 3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Air Support 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Forte Dei Marmi 10-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Turbo Compressor 2-1 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Rahystrada 5-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

4: 1-2-4-5-9
5: 3-9
6: 3-4-5
7: 1-2-4-5-7

5x2x3x5 = 150 = $75



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Condurre 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #4 Laope 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Start the Party 5-1 6th
Exotics Use:: #2 Count the Gold 10-1 5th


2nd: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Emmy Rules 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Woodford Lady 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Dancin' Lil 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Holiday Soiree 5-2 WON ($7.20)


3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Astrology 8-5 6th
Best Value: #6 Crystal Moment 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Achaemenes 6-1 WON ($19.40)
Exotics Use: #5 It Happened Again 3-1 5th


4th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Incredibly deep and contentious. I make 8 possible for laurels..

Most Likely: #7 Run a Risk 9-2 6th
Best Value: #1 Maid of Heaven 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Dos Lunas 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Sisterhood 4-1 8th


<$75 P4 Play:

1: 3-4-8
2: 3-4-6
3: 1-3-5-6
4: 1-7-8-10

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


5th: 15th Matt Winn (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Using all 5 in multis..

Most Likely: #3 Right to Vote 5-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Macho Macho 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Master Rick 3-1 5th


6th: 43rd Regret (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

One of the best races of the day. Wide open..

Best Value: #4 Treasured Up 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Centre Court 7-2 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Left a Message 8-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Funny Proposition 8-1 8th


<$50 P4 Play:

3: 1-6
4: 1-7
5: 1-2-3-4-5
6: 2-4-7-9-11

2x2x5x5 = 100 x .50 = $50


7th: 37th Fleur de Lis (G2), F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Sterling Madame 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Royal Delta 4-5 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Afleeting Lady 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 St. John's River 3-1 3rd


8th: 31st Stephen Foster (G1), 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Wise Dan 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #8 Alternation 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Ron the Greek 6-1 WON ($20.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Fort Larned 5-1 8th


<$100 P4 Play:

5: 1-2-3-4-5
6: 2-3-4-5-7-8-9-10-11
7: 1-2-3-5
8: 1

5x9x4x1 = 180 x .50 = $90


Good luck!
Steve

[cal828]

Steve, in the Stephen Foster, I think Fort Larned is actually the 3.

[Kasept]

BEL SCR/CHG'S

CD SCR/CHG'S

CNL SCR/CHG'S