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  #1  
Old 07-03-2012, 10:05 PM
green gazelle green gazelle is offline
Yearling
 
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 7
Default How did you find your BV pick Clear Pasaj?

Sorry for being a newbie here, this is my first post, but I located this forum after trying to figure out how to ask "my guru", Mr. Byk, how he possibly got the #8 Clear Pasaj as his BV pick for the first leg of the pick 4 at Belmont last Sunday? I was very happy with myself to have figured out the 7, Erin Enchanted, who got me the pick 4 in an excrutating head bob. I just couldn't believe in the Clear Pasaj pick, but it would have been a monster exacta to have played the 7-8. Long story short, what possible clues did you have to unlock Clear Pasaj? I can't find her even after the race!

Thanks for everything, you are the best!

Green Gazelle
Thistledown town
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  #2  
Old 07-03-2012, 10:44 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,487
Default

GG,

Essentially, I thought Clear Pasaj deserved attention getting a first try on dirt. At the big price, her turf sprint tries established her as a viable player and with any improvement on the main, I thought she had an outside chance to win.

Welcome. No apology necessary for starting out. Thanks for the kind post.

Steve
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  #3  
Old 07-06-2012, 07:07 PM
green gazelle green gazelle is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 7
Default Clear Pasaj step up on dirt

Steve,

Thanks for the reply, I appreciate the pointer.

I thought a little about the turf to dirt angle, but felt like there was too far for her to step up. Now that I have an Xpress bet account, I tend to rely on the Equibase figures mostly, and often use Brisnet as well, with the occasional Thorograph.

Do you have a general guideline you tend to use to say how much of a bump a horse can get going first to dirt or first to turf? A 5 to 10% increase over what their pattern might otherwise lead to?

Thanks again, have a great weekend At the Races!

J Green
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