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#1
08-31-2012, 08:19 AM
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8/31: Saratoga (Day 37; Riskaverse); Del Mar ($432k C/O)
Interest in Steeplechase has justified itself already this season, but Thursday's opener gave new meaning to jumping out to a good start. As discussed with NSA chief Bill Gallo Thursday, the optional claiming opener was wide open and noting that Todd Wyatt's You the Man was very plausible off the 2 year break paid off when he came through at 15-1 ($31) and keyed big exotics. I limited myself to a $1 exacta box of the tabs for a nice $189 bingo, but the tri came back $1,518 ($1) with pacesetter Brave Prospect (12-1) and favorite Rainiero (3-1). Several happy players visited the Barbecue that benefitted from the hopper talk including the wife of a player who said her husband was too shy to visit. Thought I was on my way to a big 'chase double in the Mrs. Jeffords, but Jon Sheppard's Cubist came on late to quash the punt and I ran 2-3-4 behind his homebred mare. Still, the Steeplechase season comes to an end with a couple of good scores.
Heralded Archwarrior made his debut to kick off the flat portion of the day and his win was professional if not flashy. He is a blocky, imposing colt that quickly reminds you of the most recent star son of Arch, Blame. Six furlongs and precosity should not have been expected as hallmarks of this horse and yet he efficiently broke his maiden for Todd Pletcher and Alto Racing. He should be better and better as the distances increase and as he matures. The rest of the day marched along unspectacularly ahead of the 2 good stake races which saw popular Phil Gleaves win the Equalize with the 'other' horse in his entry (Miami Cat) and Chad Brown score in the With Anticipation with AE draw-in Balance the Books. Had Miami Cat run by himself, he would have been 30-1 or more. Entrymate Csaba proved that the main track will be his home moving forward. The carryover sequence finished with a Contessa-Montalvo win which guaranteed my own nightcap whiff. A successful negotiation of the sextet returned $49,288. Hope everyone did well. Twilight card at the Spa as the closing weekend arrives and a double carryover at Del Mar ($432k) is sure to exceed $2,000,000. SARATOGA RACE COURSE POST-SCRATCHES 1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1a My Happy Face 8-5 WON ($2.40) Best Value: #7 Mrs. Bean 8-1 5th Next Best: #5 Dixie Smile 5-1 3rd Exotics Use: #6 Blazing Whip 6-1 4th 2nd: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD) Challenging start to early quad and a fun betting affair as a stand alone.. Best Value: #7 Thomas Hill 12-1 8th Next Best: #8 Cantonic 7-2 WON ($9.80) Exotics Use: #1 Hobbs 3-1 2nd Super Add: #9 Situational Ethics 6-1 4th 3rd: Big Bambu, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD) Quirky little stake with a lot going on for a 7 horse field.. Most Likely: #4 Mildly Offensive 5-2: Jousts Turbulent Descent in morning.. WON ($5.70) Next Best: #6 Kid Kate 3-1: Just 4/4-0-0 over this strip.. 2nd Best Value: #2 Dancinginherfreams 6-1: Turf routing expirement over.. 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Tiz the Argument 3-1: Dutrow clicks 35% with turnbacks.. 5th 4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD) Best Value: #7 Double Tapped 6-1 9th Next Best: #8 Sensationalize 5-1 3rd Exotics Use: #1 Smittenwithkitten 5-2 6th Super Add: #4 Ear D' Rhythm 15-1 5th 5th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD) Incredibly competitive group including 4 coming back 'first off claim'.. Best Value: #8 Irish Lion 10-1 3rd Next Best: #9 Yankee Fourtune 2-1 5th Exotics Use: #5 Red Leader 12-1 8th Super Add: #1 King Ting 3-1 WON ($7.00) <$75 P4 Play: 2: 1-7-8 3: 2-3-4-5-6-7 4: 7-8 5: 1-5-8-9 3x6x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Goodtolook 2-1: Benefit of start under belt.. 2nd Best Value: #4 Noosh's Tale 6-1: Half to Yield Bogey.. 8th Next Best: #5 Pie's First Lady 3-1 3rd Exotics Use: #10 Everydoghashisday 9-5 4th 7th: MSW, 3+, 9f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Joking 3-1 5th Best Value: #4 Invocation 6-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Tiz Yankee 4-1 6th Exotics Use: #3 Cape Glory 7-2 2nd 8th: 4th Riskaverse, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (DD) Best Value: #4 Peace Preserver 8-1 2nd Next Best: #5 Dayatthespa 7-5 WON ($3.00) Exotics Use: #11 Zultanite 10-1 7th Super Add: #9 Heart of Destiny 15-1 6th 9th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T Most Likely: #5 Partly Mocha 5-2 3rd Best Value: #1 Beer is Good 12-1 8th Next Best: #9 Bravo Habibi 5-1 WON ($8.60) Exotics Use: #10 Into the Fray 6-1 4th <$75 P4 Play: 6: 2-4-5-10 7: 4-5 8: 1-4-5-9-11 9: 1-5-9-10 4x2x5x4 = 160 x .50 DEL MAR POST-SCRATCHES 2nd: Cal-MDN CLM, Most Likely: #4 Tiz a Daisy 6-1 3rd Next Best: #1 Salty Forecast 5-1 5th Exotics Use: #11 Rich in Tradition 5-1 7th Super Add: #3 Party in Excess 12-1 4th 3rd: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #8 Madeoftherightstuf 3-1 5th Best Value: #3 Love That Action 8-1 WON ($27.60) Next Best: #7 Mr. Ornery 5-2 6th Exotics Use: #5 Fire in the Wind 15-1 7th 4th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Sharp Bella 3-1 3rd Best Value: #8 Amy's Cashin In 5-1 2nd Next Best: #4 Swiss Bliss 5-1 WON ($6.60) Exotics Use: #6 Tribal Rain 8-1 5th 5th: Cal-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #9 Bella Viaggia 5-2 WON ($4.00) Next Best: #10 Twelve Folds 10-1 4th Best Value: #2 Oscillator 12-1 2nd Exotics Use: #7 Mary Contrary 6-1 8th 6th: 39th El Cajon, 3yo, 1m (DD) Most Likely: #2 Fed Biz 2-1 WON ($4.40) Next Best: #6 Jimmy Creed 5-2 2nd Best Value: #3 Shaun Washington 4-1 4th Exotics Use: #5 Unusual Heatwave 5-2 3rd 7th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5) $85k Super Hi-5 carryover here.. Most Likely: #2 Money Talker 7-2 2nd Next Best: #4 Big Bane Theory 7-2 3rd Exotics Use: #1 Hometown Hero 3-1 10th Best Value: #9 American Tanker 8-1 WON ($24.40) Super Add: #6 Warrior Ridge 9-2 6th <$200 P6 Play: 2: 1-4 3: 8 4: 4-5-8 5: 9-10 6: 2-6 7: 1-2-4 2x1x3x2x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$75 P4 Play: 4: 4-5-6-8 5: 2-9-10 6: 2-3-6 7: 1-2-4-9 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick 4 (4-9-1/2-9) $185.20 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-31-2012 at 10:33 PM. 
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#2
08-31-2012, 11:11 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
08-31-2012, 12:37 PM
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Praying for a carryover through the weekend and a mandatory at Del Mar, I need an excuse to go there while in Cali and the wife isn't buying any yet...
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don't run out of ammo.
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#4
08-31-2012, 03:03 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
08-31-2012, 07:12 PM
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$54k P6 C/O SATURDAY
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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