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  #1  
Old 02-07-2013, 07:27 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,503
Default 2/7: Aqueduct ($38k C/O); Gulfstream Park ($60k P5 C/O)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-MSW, 4+, 1m-70y (P6, P3, DD)

$38k P6 C/O starts here..'

Not sure why Potus is even money here. He is a deserving favorite but hardly overwhelming. This is plenty competitive with Bob and Jim and Papa Tom both owning races two back that are as good or better than Potus' last. And Van Tassel is a half to Ichabad Crane and eligible to enjoy stretching back out..

Most Likely: #4 Potus 1-1 (A) 4th
Best Value: #5 Bob and Jim 5-1 (A) 8th
Next Best: #7 Papa Tom 5-2 (A) WON ($8.90)
Exotics Use: #6 Van Tassel 12-1 (C) 7th


5th: OC/S-ALW, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Vee's Accolade 2-1 (A) 4th
Next Best: #2 Chasing Moonlight 3-1 (B) 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Classic R and B 4-1 (C) 6th
Super Add: #4 Ancient Rome 7-2 (C) 2nd


6th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Towering 2-1 (A) DNF-Pulled Up
Next Best: #4 Wanstead 5-2 (B) WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #8 Raffie's Factor 10-1 (C) 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Troubleinrivercity 7-2 (C) 5th


7th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Nick Canani one of those guys that only puts blinkers on when he knows it will mean something. 7 W's with last 13 additions of hood according to DRF Trainer Stats ..

Best Value: #8 Pure Afleet 10-1 (A) 8th
Next Best: #1 High Inflation 5-2 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Chartier 5-1 (C) 2nd
Super Add: #7 Fuhrika 20-1 (X) 6th


8th: NY-OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (DD)

As discussed with Andy Serling Tuesday, no shortage of pace lined up here which should give Ground Force every chance. B Shanny goes first time as a gelding for cutback whiz Hushion. Good race..

Most Likely: #1 B Shanny 3-1 (A) WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #4 Ground Force 8-1 (A) 6th
Next Best: #6 Won Great Classic 7-2 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Isn'tlovejustgrand 5-1 (B) 4th


9th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f

Favored Mizzen Donald gets featherweighted (111#), dropping 9# since being claimed last by Rice. Likely winner but there's something squirelly about this event..

Most Likely: #9 Mizzen Donald 2-1 (A) WON ($4.30)
Next Best: #7 Skiddles n' Bob 3-1 (B) 2nd
Best Value: #2 Miss Libby 15-1 (C) 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Night Brigade 5-1 (C) 3rd


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 4-5-7
5: 6
6: 2
7: 1-6-8
8: 1-4-5-6
9: 7-9

3x1x1x3x4x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-4-8
7: 1-6-8
8: 1-4-5-6
9: 2-3-7-9

3x3x4x4 = $144 x .50 = $72



GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM/N2L, D&M-4+, 8.5f-T/108' (P6, P3, DD)

$1.5MM Rainbow P6 Jackpot starts here..

Most Likely: #8 Don't Cry for Me 3-1 WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #3 Dixie Dear 6-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Pelipa 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Halo's Gate 12-1 4th


6th: MDN CLM, 4+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

$60k P5 C/O starts here..

Some ugly bunch of coconuts. Whover gets the lead here may simply keep going..

Best Value: #7 Major Score 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Bear's Spirit 2-1 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Vector 5-1 10th
Super Add: #12 Anonymous Donor 4-1 8th


7th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-T/48' (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Scavezzaro 15-1 12th
Next Best: #5 Didn't Take It 4-1 11th
Exotics Use: #1 Gunman 3-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Smoking the Field 20-1 10th


8th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Miss Moonshine 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Love Train 5-1 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Femme Fatale 3-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Midnight Q 12-1 7th


9th: OC/N3X, F&M-4+, 1m-T/48' (DD)

Terrific set..

Best Value: #3 Baffle Me 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Warm Hugs 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Pianist 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Super Add: #7 Eagle Hall 6-1 3rd


10th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-T/108' (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Picou 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Live in Joy 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Flamin' Hot 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #15 Hariolus 6-1 WON ($15.80)
Super/Hi-5: #12 Let's Do It 10-1 6th


<$30 P6 Play:

5: 3-8
6: 1-7
7: 1-2-5-8
8: 2-3
9: 2-3-4
10: 4-5-7

2x2x4x2x3x3 = 288 x .10 = $28.80


<$75 P5 Play:

6: 1-7
7: 1-2-5-8
8: 2-3
9: 2-3-4
10: 4-5-7

2x4x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-4-5-8
8: 2-3
9: 2-3-4-5-7
10: 4-5-7

5x2x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $75


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 02-07-2013 at 05:18 PM.
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  #2  
Old 02-07-2013, 10:20 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default

GP SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 02-07-2013, 11:08 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default

AQU SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #4  
Old 02-07-2013, 11:49 AM
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atolunch atolunch is offline
Oaklawn
 
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Posts: 2,219
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Steve,

Please check the 7th at Aq, I think you want the #6 (Chartier) in your P4,not #7 as listed.

Thanks as always and best of luck today!
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  #5  
Old 02-07-2013, 12:24 PM
Vegaskid Vegaskid is offline
Sunshine Park
 
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Posts: 93
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No love for Absolute Crackers today??

I was thinking of singling her. Now I must rethink.

Thanks Kasept for your work, and as always, BOL!!
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  #6  
Old 02-07-2013, 04:04 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by atolunch View Post
Steve,

Please check the 7th at Aq, I think you want the #6 (Chartier) in your P4,not #7 as listed. Thanks as always and best of luck today!
THX Tom..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #7  
Old 02-07-2013, 04:05 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Vegaskid View Post
No love for Absolute Crackers today??

I was thinking of singling her. Now I must rethink.

Thanks Kasept for your work, and as always, BOL!!
She's OK. Don't be shy. Tough group.

THX and G/L!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #8  
Old 02-07-2013, 04:06 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default

AQU: 1-2-4-11 produce DBL C/O..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #9  
Old 02-07-2013, 04:22 PM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 1,303
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vegaskid View Post
No love for Absolute Crackers today??

I was thinking of singling her. Now I must rethink.

Thanks Kasept for your work, and as always, BOL!!
Real tough group. Welch has Ab. Crackers on top but neither Steve or Bogey have in top 4. Bogey has Alaura Michele as his best bet but Steve doesn't have her at all. What you would call a wide open race.
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  #10  
Old 02-07-2013, 04:51 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ADJMK View Post
Real tough group. Welch has Ab. Crackers on top but neither Steve or Bogey have in top 4. Bogey has Alaura Michele as his best bet but Steve doesn't have her at all. What you would call a wide open race.
Best Value: #3 Baffle Me 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Warm Hugs 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Pianist 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Super Add: #7 Eagle Hall 6-1 3rd
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #11  
Old 02-07-2013, 05:09 PM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
Randwyck
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ADJMK View Post
Real tough group. Welch has Ab. Crackers on top but neither Steve or Bogey have in top 4. Bogey has Alaura Michele as his best bet but Steve doesn't have her at all. What you would call a wide open race.
Or you could just box Steve's picks and get the super.
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  #12  
Old 02-07-2013, 05:19 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ADJMK View Post
Or you could just box Steve's picks and get the super.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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