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  #1  
Old 05-17-2013, 06:16 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Default 5/17: Hi Ho Pimlico! (5th-13th)

Day 1 of the Preakness Weekend and seemingly a wide open card..


PIMLICO RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


NOTE: .50 TRIS, .50 P3/P4's. P5 IS 'JACKPOT' STYLE..


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #8 Fly'n Bayou 9-2 4th
Next Best: #12 Readyshakego 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #14 Beatnick 9-2 7th
Super Add: #5 Locche 8-1 10th


6th: 20th Skipat, F&M-3+, 6f (P3)

Not swallowing 7-5 Dance to Bristol whole off monster effort at Charles Town. Any previous typical effort from her here makes her just one of 4 that can win..

Best Value: #6 Strike the Moon 4-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Dance to Bristol 7-5 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Funnys Approval 9-2 6th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3)

Yikes.. Another 14 horse field and about 7.5 of them look capable. Lock, load and pray your inclusion gets his trip..

Most Likely: #7 Livingston Street 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Paris Is Art 12-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Followmyfootsteps 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Zarroc 15-1 10th


8th: 28th Miss Preakness, 3yo-F, 6f (P5, P3)

Please be aware that this P5 is a jackpot style requiring a single unique winner..

Many here want to be up on the lead and I think you need to find a stalker type that can pick up fading pacesetters. George Weaver's Lighthouse Bay (8-1) fits the bill nicely..

Best Value: #9 Lighthouse Bay 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Tread 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 I'm Mom's Favorite 8-5 WON ($3.80)
Super Add: #10 Jewel of a Cat 12-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 5-8-12-14
6: 2-5-6
7: 1-4-7-8
8: 2-8-9

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


9th: 8th Jim McKay Turf Sprint, 3+, 5f-T (P4, P3)

Night Officer a SCR having won in New York Thursday. Key to making money here is getting Super Chunky (15-1), Ken's Cape 12-1) and/or Spring to the Sky (10-1) into the mix with the big favorites..

Most Likely: #2 Bridgetown 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #8 Super Chunky 15-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Ben's Cat 9-5 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Ken's Cape 12-1 6th


10th: 89th Black-Eyed Susan (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P3)

SCR #1 Manuka Honey & #5 Walkwithapurpose. Question here is whether you believe Emollient is a dirt horse or not. After that, you can reach around and tinker with a price or two including Nicks' Maracuya who could be dangerous if left to her own devices up front. On that topic, Fiftyshadesofhay gets blinkers, adds Rosario and exits a bullet work at CD. Looms a stalk and go presence..

Most Likely: #3 Fiftyshadesofhay 2-1 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #7 Emollient 8-5 6th
Best Value: #6 Maracuya 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Marathon Lady 12-1 2nd


11th: 14th Very One, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P3)

Looks like this goes straight through the Giant's Causeway at KEE where Sweet Cassiopeia, Spun Cap, Sounds of the City and Sensible Lady finished 1-4 within 2+ lengths of each other. Sensible Lady won this a year ago and while she hasn't run back to that effort since, it's notable that she is 2/2 over this course

Best Value: #3 Sensible Lady 6-1 WON ($9.20)
Next Best: #13 Sweet Cassiopeia 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Spun Cap 5-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Sounds of the City 6-1 5th


12th: 43rd Pimlico Special (G3), 3+, 9.5f (Special-Preakness Double, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Last Gunfighter 7-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #3 Brimstone Island 12-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Eighttodasttocatch 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Concealed Identity 15-1 5th


<$50 P4 Play:

9: 2-6-7-8
10: 3-6-7-9
11: 3-4-7-10-11-12-13
12: 7

4x4x7x1 = 112 x .50 = $56

$0.50 Pick 4 (7/3/3/1,7) Paid $47.10


13th: 41st Hilltop, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

The sophomore filly turf division is terrific and this is a great example of the assemblies that have been dotting the calendar with them. There's enough turf in Zenzara's family to make her interesting at a price..

Best Value: #2 Zenzara 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Summer of Love 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Birdlover 5-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Premier Steps 5-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Miss Lucky Sevens 10-1 4th


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 05-17-2013 at 10:49 PM.
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  #2  
Old 05-17-2013, 07:46 AM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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We're on the exact same horses in the 6th, 9th, 10th and 13th.


I'm doomed.



Just kidding!! Good luck!
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  #3  
Old 05-17-2013, 07:55 AM
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atolunch atolunch is offline
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Good luck and here's to a BIG weekend!!

Thanks as always for your tireless efforts and info.

Do you like anything in the two day double?
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  #4  
Old 05-17-2013, 07:59 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek View Post
We're on the exact same horses in the 6th, 9th, 10th and 13th.

I'm doomed.

Just kidding!! Good luck!
Thanks Sighty.. BOL!



More importantly... Do I look fat in these selections?

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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 05-17-2013, 08:04 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by atolunch View Post
Good luck and here's to a BIG weekend!!

Thanks as always for your tireless efforts and info.

Do you like anything in the two day double?
Thanks Larry! Let's knock 'em dead..

Think the Special-Preakness Double could be just silly with highly probable Last Gunfighter-Orb result. Perhaps a token flyer: 3-4-7 with 1-2-4-8-9..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #6  
Old 05-17-2013, 08:04 AM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Thanks Sighty.. BOL!



More importantly... Do I look fat in these selections?

Not if they are winners!
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  #7  
Old 05-17-2013, 08:57 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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GrahamMotion ‏@GrahamMotion 5m: Kitten's Point has been scratched today from the Hilltop Stakes @PimlicoRC Everyone else runs #blackeyedsusanday
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #8  
Old 05-17-2013, 11:28 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Major SCR's from the PIM card: http://www.equibase.com/static/latec...esPIM-USA.html
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #9  
Old 05-17-2013, 12:14 PM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
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Thanks for the heads up about the P5. Don't need to spend money there now.
Good luck today.
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