7/21: Saratoga (Day 3-Sanford)

[Kasept]

Super first Saturday of the meet overall with a just-miss 2nd run from Toy Cannon mid-card the personal highlight. Failed to take advantage of the biggest wagering opportuinities on the day, as I obstinately left Therapy (4th) and Road Agent (11th) off tickets derailing some quality multi hits. The $179 (1st-3rd) early P3, the $67 Tycoon Cat-Toy Cannon exacta and the top to bottom exotics sweep with Crackerjack Jones were the balance sheet benefitters. Hope everyone did well. Cooler morning finally and an OK Sunday card on tap..


SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

State bred babies and not a lot of clues other than the obvious..

Most Likely: #2 Fox Rox 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Double Gold 3-1 WON ($7.10)
Best Value: #4 Sing the Dream 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Empire Dreams 5-1 4th


2nd: MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Nice group of older maiden, several bred for lawn are trying lawn for first time including Town Extension, All That and Rapscallion. Likely need to include 6-7 to assure passage to 2nd leg of quad..

Best Value: #1 First Beach 5-1 9th
Next Best: #5 All That 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Red Vine 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Town Extension 12-1 4th


3rd: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Deep & contentious unless School Spirit can reprise last at CD..

Best Value: #10 Derby Watch 8-1 10th
Next Best: #5 Thinking of Girls 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 School Spirit 3-1 7th
Super Add: #11 Define 6-1 5th


4th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Faves look tough but Neith (8-1) could wait out potential pace battle and pick 'em up late..

Most Likely: #6 Uno Dou 7-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #5 Pow Wow Wow 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Neith 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Belle Gallantey 15-1 4th


5th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Tater the horse to beat but after that, it gets murky and quirky..

Most Likely: #3 Tater Downs 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Street Fight 12-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Wild Billum 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Myhorseofcourse 12-1 9th


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-3-4-5-7
3: 4-5-6-10-11
4: 4-5-6
5: 3

6x5x3x1 = 90 x .50 = $45


6th: MCLM/$25k, 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Rag tag bunch including pair of easily eligible and hungry hoppers from Jack Fisher (Opening Day's Short Shrift) and one from Arch Kingsley Jr..

Most Likely: #2 Vinny Goodtimes 1-1 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #10 Rugged Rascal 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Ryvit 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Shortcoming 15-1 3rd


7th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Several obvious candidates, but think Legally Bay will be glossed over being from Finger Lakes connections. Tries grass for the first time and dam Try N Sue was a Sir Harry Lewis stalwart and half sister of turf earner Haggs Castle. Worthwhile flyer at boxcars..

Best Value: #6 Legally Bay 20-1 11th
Next Best: #3 As Well 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Atlantic's Smile 2-1 5th
Super Use: #4 Chow Fun 10-1 4th


8th: Fiddlers Patriot, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Excellent cast of accomplished turf sprinters. Tightend Touchdown OK enough favorite but only one of perhaps 6 'logical' winners. Not a play-against per se, but no multi-race single either..

Most Likely: #8 Longhunter 4-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Spring to the Sky 12-1 9th-Eased
Next Best: #11 Great Attack 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Tightend Touchdown 2nd


9th: 99th Sanford (G2), 2yo, 6f (DD)

Schuylerville girls put on a great show opening day and exacta pair from Bashford Manor plus slick Pletcher/Starlight debut winner All in Blue make the boy's edition intriguing. Perfect and potentially special Debt Ceiling tabbed as 2nd choice on the line and may have plenty yet to show. Nothing says Wired Bryan, Jake's Magic Hat or Southern Blessing couldn't improve 2nd out and impact this either. SCR Yes Liz who ran Friday..

Most Likely: #3 Debt Ceiling 5-2 6th
Best Value: #5 Jake's Magic Hat 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 All in Blue 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Hollywood Talent 6-1 3rd


10th: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f

SCR Saltamontes who flopped in FL stake yesterday. Impossibly deep group of 14 to close out the day with any combination as likely as the next. Swing from your heels..

Most Likely: #5 Make the Moment 8-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 All Mine Tonight 12-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Run a Dubb Dubb 20-1 11th
Exotics Use: #2 Julesco 15-1 12th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-6-8
8: 8
9: 1-2-3-4-5-6
10: 1-2-3-5-7-9-10-11

3x1x6x8 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve