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#1
08-01-2013, 08:15 AM
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8/1: Saratoga (Day 12-Smithwick, Morrissey)
Was happy that I kept the investment small in Del Mar's Wednesday carryover, as the sequence was turned on its' ear by Gary Sherlock's $74.20 Passing Game. The wire job winner could only be found on 3 tickets that were worth $352k each when even money fave Athina Lee hung on in the nightcap. 5-1 Hotradamus and 6-1 Graduation winner California Chrome added to the skein's difficulty factor. At Saratoga, the day turned out as straightforward as advertised and keeping the capping simple paid off with a solid early P4 hit and assorted minor awards. Hope everyone did well. Two jump races at the Spa today including the G1 Smithwick as well as the state bred Morrissey featuring another Saratoga Snacks-Saginaw matchup..
SARATOGA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: OC/C, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD) Difficult set to separate.. Most Likely: #10 Staying On 6-1 7th Next Best: #3 All Together 8-1 WON ($12.20) Exotics Use: #4 Albany Road 8-1 2nd Super Add: #5 Labonte 8-1 DNF-Lost rider 2nd: A. P. Smithwick (NSA-G1), 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD) Superb match of star hoppers Demonstrative and Divine Fortune.. Most Likely: #1e Sheppard entry 9-5 2nd/3rd Best Value: #6 Mr. Hot Stuff 10-1 WON ($12.00) Next Best: #3 Meganisi 15-1 7th 3rd: MCLM/$50k, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Political Farce 7-2 6th Best Value: #2 Dedicated Deal 8-1 5th Next Best: #1 Apex 2-1 2nd 4th: NY-MSW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD) Well-matched group.. Most Likely: #5 Native Singer 5-2 2nd Best Value: #7 Bernardo 10-1 4th Next Best: #1 Thnxtomyuncle 3-1 6th Exotics Use: #3 Privatize 10-1 5th 5th: MCLM/$35k, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Buckwheat 7-2 3rd Next Best: #8 Rapid Burn 5-2 WON ($5.70) Best Value: #4 Trusted Choice 6-1 2nd Exotics Use: #10 Carjon Carjon 15-1 8th 6th: 10th John Morrissey-NY, 3+, 6,5f (P6, P3, DD) Coach Parcells can start Hall of Fame induction weekend well if Saratoga Snacks can win in return to Spa prepping for Forego test at end of meet. 20x winner Saginaw 5/2-0-0 upstate and may not be as sharp as in '12 but is 100% racehorse and always puts out. Mine Over Matter has habit of picking up pieces of hot pace events.. Most Likely: #2 Saratoga Snacks 7-5 3rd Next Best: #3 Saginaw 9-5 WON ($7.40) Best Value: #4 Mine Over Matter 8-1 2nd <$50 P4 Play: 3: 1-2-3-4-6-7 (All) 4: 1-3-5-7 5: 1-8 6: 2-3 6x4x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48 7th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Vindication Now 4th Next Best: #1 Kingsford Drive 5th Exotics Use: #8 Gamblin Fever WON-DH ($6.80) 8th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Will be interesting to see how many get taken out of this race.. Most Likely: #1e Rodriguez entry 5-2 2nd/3rd Best Value: #10 Romancing the Gold 10-1 5th Next Best: #11 De Price 20-1 6th Exotics Use: #5 Demon's Deputy 30-1 4th 9th:OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Free as a Bird 3-1 2nd Best Value: #4 Scenario Analysis 6-1 4th Next Best: #5 Rock My Heart 5-2 7th Exotics Use: #6 Moonwalk 8-1 3rd 10th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (DD) This looks super competitive with jump up performances possible from unlikely sources.. Most Likely: #1 Crafty Push 4-1 3rd Best Value: #4 Midnightinpositano 15-1 4th Next Best: #5 Little Gabby Girl 3-1 5th Exotics Use: #10 Shalala 15-1 7th 11th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T Most Likely: #9 Jess Not Jesse 2-1 WON ($5.40) Best Value: #6 Beer Is Good 6-1 3rd Next Best: #1 Awakino Cat 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Valediction 8-1 5th <$25 or <$75 P4 Play: 8: 1-10 (2-4-5-11) 9: 3-4-5-6 10: 1-4-5-6-9-10 11: 9 2x4x6x1 = 48 x .50 = $24 6x4x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-02-2013 at 05:57 AM. 
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#2
08-01-2013, 10:00 AM
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Cough necessitates DEMONSTRATIVE scratch from NSA-G1 Smithwick. Valentine says he will re-focus 6yo MG1W to NY Turf Writers Cup defense...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
08-01-2013, 11:20 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
08-01-2013, 06:33 PM
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$53k P6 C/O FRIDAY
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#7
08-02-2013, 05:34 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-02-2013 at 05:56 AM.
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