Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 01-20-2014, 07:43 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 1/20: Aqueduct ($23k C/O); Santa Anita ($94k C/O)

Came away from Saturday feeling like an opportunity was missed as hits at Aqueduct ($96) and Santa Anita ($142) and puny GP conso ($10) fell $35 short of squaring the total investments on multis. Having $19.20 Star Channel and $37.40 Charlie A as "C's" on the Gulfstream P5 was two too many, as one needed to be an "A" or both "B's" to catch the $1,323 P5 and/or $378 P4 prizes. Hope everyone did well. MLK Holiday Monday provides some terrific racing and carryovers at both Aqueduct (Jimmy Winkfield) and Santa Anita (San Pedro). The Smarty Jones anchors the Oaklawn card.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 4+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

No surprises here as the favorites stand out. Distorted Dream (6-1) offers a little value and will be in front early, but note Frame adds blinkers for the stretchout and could prompt or duel..

Most Likely: #5 King of Broadway 8-5 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #1 Winter Games 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Frame 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Distorted Dream 6-1 5th


5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (G/S, P3, DD)

Esler barn going very well but Taylor Jagger appears a vulnerable 5-2 favorite in a well matched field. Levine sends Andy Berg's $8k Chicago discovery Silver Crush whose recent races more than good enough for this. Mess in a Dress returns to claiming ranks and her races for $20-25k fit well. Could get loose under bug girl Rice who has been holding her own. Note also Araya's 2nd runner, C C's Pride, owns win at PEN 10/18 that would impact here. Tough spot in challenging P6..

Most Likely: #4 Silver Crush 3-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Mess in a Dress 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Seven Dreams 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Coast of Sangria 6-1 2nd


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Another hotbed of possibilities with slightly shaky fave in last out (96 hours ago) MDN-breaker Lunar Surge. Belle Gallatney goes first off the claim by Rodriguez..

Most Likely: #5 Belle Gallantey 4-1 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #2 Sally's Dream 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Lunar Surge 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Kara's Match Point 8-1 3rd


7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Dawly 7-2 WON ($9.70)
Best Value: #5 Irsaal 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Sliver and Onions 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Two Is to Many 4-1 8th


8th: 30th Jimmy Winkfield, 3yo, 6f (DD)

Fun edition of this MLK Day standard honoring the remarkable Winkfield. If you've not read 'Wink' by the equally fascinating Ed Hotaling, (who passed away last year), order it today: http://www.amazon.com/Wink-Incredibl...0223457&sr=1-2

Most Likely: #6 Hot Heir Skier 5-2 WON ($7.50)
Next Best: #3 Oliver Zip 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Cavu 5-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Charleymillionaire 5-1 3rd


9th: MCLM/$16k, 3yo, 6f

Most Likely: #4 Shylock 2-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Gabriel's Flame 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Cuckoo House 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Television Too 8-1 4th


<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $2.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 6 with 4 - $8.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 3 with 4 - $4.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 7 -$4.00

A's with Two B's

8 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $16.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 6 with 4 - $16.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 3 with 4 - $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 7 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 6 with 4 -$16.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 1 with 3 with 4 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 7 - $8.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 1 with 2,5 with 6 with 4 - $4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 1 with 1 with 3 with 4 - $2.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 1 with 1 with 6 with 7 - $2.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 3 with 4 - $8.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 6 with 7 - $8.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 3 with 7 - $4.00

A's with One C

23 $2.00 pick P6: 6 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $4.00
24 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 1,8 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $8.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 3 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $2.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 5 with 4 - $4.00
27 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 8 - $4.00

Total: $176.00


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 4 - $6.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 4 - $12.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 4,5 with 4 - $6.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 7 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,2,5 with 4,5 with 4 - $6.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 7 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 4,5 with 7 - $3.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 4 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6,7 with 3,6 with 4 - $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 1 with 4 - $1.50
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 8 - $3.00

Total: $58.50



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Bury Pacer 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Big Medicine Man 5-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Cronut 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 On Draft 8-1 7th


5th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P3)

Best Value: #2 Half Dome Dude 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Sammy's a Runnin' 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Senator Bob 7-2 5th
Super Add: #9 Dunmore East 6-1 WON ($11.60)


6th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

4-11 are the likelies, 1-2-12 the interesting prices..

Most Likely: #11 Dixieland Blues 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Insideondoutside 7-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Relentless Heat 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Distort This 8-1 7th


7th: Cal-MSW, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Yana 3-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Capers N Wine 7-2 10th
Best Value: #5 More Complexity 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #14 Warrenspoweroflove 6-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Wonderful Lie 12-1 WON ($36.40)


8th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Pulpit's Express 7-2 8th
Best Value: #5 Candy's Sunrise 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Mr. Ornery 8-1 WON ($15.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Pulla Train 6-1 12th


9th: MCLM/$30k, 3yo-F, 7f (Super Hi-5)

Ugly end to the sequences..

Most Likely: #7 Yesterday Sings 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Perched 9-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Mean Emma Jean 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Katy's Plum 7-2 6th
Super Add: #12 Singinthelast 4-1 7th


<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $4.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 5,11 with 7 with 7 - $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 4,5 with 7 - $8.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 8 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 11 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4 with 5,11 with 7 with 7 - $4.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 4,5 with 7 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 8 - $2.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 5,11 with 7 with 7 - $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 3 with 4,5 with 7 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 3 with 7 with 8 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 5,11 with 4,5 with 7 - $16.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 5,11 with 7 with 8 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 4,5 with 8 - $8.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 7,9 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 7 -$4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 1,3,9 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $12.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 1,2,12 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $12.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 9,14 with 7 with 7 - $8.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 13 with 7 - $4.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 2,9,12 - $12.00

Total: $146.00


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $12.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 5,11 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 4 with 7,8 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 5,7 with 2,9 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 5,11 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3 with 4 with 7,8 - $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3 with 5,7 with 2,9 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 5,11 with 4 with 7,8 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 5,11 with 5,7 with 2,9 - $8.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 4 with 2,9 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6,12 with 3 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 9,14 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 9,11,12 with 7,8 - $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 5,7 with 6,12 - $4.00

Total: $73.00



Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 01-23-2014 at 01:05 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 01-20-2014, 10:35 AM
nwaryas's Avatar
nwaryas nwaryas is offline
Pimlico
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 64
Default

Steve won't even handicap the Oaklawn stake race today.
__________________
Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing. - Vince Lombardi
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 01-20-2014, 11:00 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by nwaryas View Post
Steve won't even handicap the Oaklawn stake race today.
LOL.. I think it's a pretty straightforward Nick. Don't have anything clever to offer beyond the obvious.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 01-20-2014, 11:03 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

AQU SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 01-20-2014, 11:09 AM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default

any thoughts on the super bowl, boss ?
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 01-20-2014, 11:28 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
any thoughts on the super bowl, boss ?
Less than those on the Smarty Jones.. Am a NFC guy though and will root for the 'Hawks..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 01-20-2014, 12:04 PM
LAP_520 LAP_520 is offline
Delaware Park
 
Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 177
Default

Thanks Steve ! Good Luck today.


AQUEDUCT
9th: MCLM/$16k, 3yo, 6f

Most Likely: #2 Shylock 2-1 The correct number is #4
Next Best: #7 Gabriel's Flame 3-1
Exotics Use: #8 Cuckoo House 7-2
Super Add: #1 Television Too 8-1
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 01-20-2014, 12:06 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by LAP_520 View Post
Thanks Steve ! Good Luck today.


AQUEDUCT
9th: MCLM/$16k, 3yo, 6f

Most Likely: #2 Shylock 2-1 The correct number is #4
Next Best: #7 Gabriel's Flame 3-1
Exotics Use: #8 Cuckoo House 7-2
Super Add: #1 Television Too 8-1
LAP..

THX! Fixed... Best of luck!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 01-20-2014, 03:30 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

SA SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 01-20-2014, 07:14 PM
herkhorse's Avatar
herkhorse herkhorse is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Gonesville
Posts: 11,422
Default

double carry at SA
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 01-20-2014, 07:14 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

$419k DBL C/O Thurs. @santaanitapark..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:39 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.