3/5: Aqueduct (5th-12th); Santa Anita (1st-11th)

[Kasept]

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Here Comes Tommy SCR'D in sharp winter form and should sit excellent trip stalking up close from inside; Freddie G, OK anyway breaking MDN in Feb., can improve on barn switch and cutting back 300 yards; Ogremeister logical but outposted and may not press as much removing hood; Summer Place to Be makes 3yo debut here and would be competitive or more with natural improvement from juvy to soph..

Best Value: #8 Freddie G 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Wild Finish 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Summer Place to Be 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Ogermeister 2-1 5th


6th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Well matched group with what looks to be an honest pace. 4yo Catron has missed chunks of time but reasonable as fave if right; Hard-hitting 7yo Golden Itiz, now Valente/Jacobson, familiar to West Coast players as Siegel Family campaigner and a good fit at square price..

Most Likely: #11 Catron 2-1 4th
Best Value: #12 Golden Itiz 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Snake Pit 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Sliver and Onions 6-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Ithastobegeorge 30-1 6th


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

It may have been entirely slop-aided, but effort by Goodtolook two back would blitz this group; Pat Kelly runs them into shape and winter-campaigned Testosterone has a development pattern that can produce a forward move at a big price. Curious assembly and I think it will behoove to try some odd inclusions..

Most Likely: #3 Goodtolook 7-2 7th
Best Value: #8 Testosterone 15-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Sea to Sky 5-1 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Onecatschance 30-1 2nd


8th: 54th Bay Shore (G3), 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Very tricky read on this sophomore sprint standard with 'cheap' speed types (Oliver Zip, Loki's Vengeance, Favorite Tale) lining up against 'classy' stakes experienced turnbacks (Financial Mogul, Coup de Grace, Kobe's Back). ALW winners Charleymillionaire & The Admiral add to the intrigue in graded black type debuts. Jay Privman warned ATR listeners early on that Kobe's Back would be a disaster going long, but he's been excellent at the specialty seven-eighths trip. Sadler's record out of town dreadful, but style of trip/effort from San Vincente would be highly effective here. Financial Mogul another who made it clear he wants one turn middle distance and price square. Oliver Zip has been too good this winter not to respect at 10-1. I think Coup de Grace is mediocre but barn excels at the cut back and with time..

Most Likely: #8 Kobe's Back 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Financial Mogul 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Oliver Zip 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Coup de Grace 4-1 WON ($16.20)


9th: 119th Gazelle (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Hard to see how My Miss Sophia doesn't get away with murder on the front end..

Most Likely: #4 My Miss Sophia 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #6 Bird Maker 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Sweet Reason 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Got Lucky 3-1 2nd


10th: 90th Wood Memorial (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Unabashedly rooting for Social Inclusion and 85yo Manny Azpurua but an already demanding assignment came up with added burden off difficult post. There's no shortage of pace-interested parties to go with him here too including Schivarelli, Uncle Sigh and possibly Kristo. Undefeated Samraat has already established the ability to sit behind leaders and he and 10-1 Harpoon figure to enjoy garden spot voyages..

Most Likely: #8 Samraat 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Harpoon 8-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Uncle Sigh 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Social Inclusion 2-1 3rd


11th: 114th Carter H. (G1), 3+, 7f (DD)

Outstanding co-feature with 2 ML faves that are no better than the next 3 or even 4 choices. Strapping Groom figures to get an ideal position behind the race's lone true speed in Dad'z Caps. Central Banker and Clearly Now make 4yo debuts and are both an appealing 5-1..

Most Likely: #5 Strapping Groom 4-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Central Banker 5-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Clearly Now 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Sahara Sky 2-1 2nd


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3,8 with 4 with 4,8 with 1,5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 4 with 4,8 with 1,5 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 4 with 10,11 with 1,5 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 4 with 4,8 with 2 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 4 with 10,11 with 1,5 - $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 4 with 4,8 with 2 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 4 with 10,11 with 2 - $2.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,6,7 with 4 with 4,8 with 1,5 - $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2,3,6 with 4,8 with 1,5 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 4 with 2,3,5,6,7,9 with 1,5 - $12.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 4 with 4,8 with 6 - $2.00

Total: $60.00


12th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f

Best Value: #7 Greg's Intuition 6-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Captain Serious 4-1 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Salisbury Knight 2-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Stenson 8-1 4th


<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,8 with 1,5 with 7 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,6 with 4,8 with 1,5 with 7 - $6.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 10,11 with 1,5 with 7 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,8 with 2 with 7 - $1.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,8 with 1,5 with 3,6,9 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,6 with 10,11 with 1,5 with 7 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,6 with 4,8 with 2 with 7 - $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,6 with 4,8 with 1,5 with 3,6,9 - $18.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 10,11 with 2 with 7 - $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 10,11 with 1,5 with 3,6,9 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,8 with 2 with 3,6,9 - $3.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 4,8 with 1,5 with 7 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2,3,5,6,7 with 1,5 with 7 - $5.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,8 with 3,6 with 7 - $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,8 with 1,5 with 8 - $2.00

Total: $65.00



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Good group to start great card. Mister Wonka a half to Papa Clem..

Most Likely: #2 Reno Rebel 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #3 J Serino 12-1 10th
Next Best: #6 Yard Line 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Missing Groom 6-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Vegas Strip 6-1 3rd


2nd: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (P4, P3)

Storm Fighter 2nd off layoff and comebacker was OK versus open company. Returns to Cal-bred company here and will look to take them start to finish..

Most Likely: #1 Storm Fighter 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Next Best: #4 I Run for Fun 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Poshsky 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Pulpit's Express 4-1 6th


3rd: 3rd Echo Eddie-CA, 3yo, 6.5f (P3)

Gary Young leaned toward Machowsky for this and in hard to separate group, that's enough to tip the scales for me. Favorite #9 Pray Hard missed the cut below, but needs some coverage in multis..

Most Likely: #4 Gangnam Guy 4-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Whine for Wine 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Oh Daddy Oh 4-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Life Is a Joy 9-2 2nd


4th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Brutally tough set coming down the hill with firsters Sammy Mandeville and Designated (half to MGSW Idiot Proof)showing potential..

Most Likely: #5 Footstepsinbronze 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Act 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Green Tag 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Snuggley Bear 4-1 2nd


5th: 75th Santa Anita Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3)

Ria Antonia returns to site of BC Juvy Filly win and is working smartly for spot that should set up nicely for stalk and pounce attack..

Most Likely: #3 Ria Antonia 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Arethusa 4-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Artemis 6-1 6th
Super Add #1 Fashion Plate 5-2 WON ($6.20)


<$50 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 1,4 with 4 with 5,12 with 3 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 4 with 5,12 with 3 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 6,8,9 with 5,12 with 3 - $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 4 with 1,2,3,6 with 3 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 6,8,9 with 5,12 with 3 - $6.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 4 with 1,2,3,6 with 3 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 6,8,9 with 1,2,3,6 with 3 - $12.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 4 with 5,12 with 3 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 4 with 7,11 with 3 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 4 with 5,12 with 1,5,6 - $6.00

Total: $48.00


<$60 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P5: 2 with 1,4 with 4 with 5 with 3 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 1,4 with 4 with 5 with 3 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 3,7,10 with 4 with 5 with 3 - $1.50
4 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,4 with 2,6 with 5 with 3 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,4 with 4 with 1,2,3,6,12 with 3 - $5.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 3,7,10 with 4 with 5 with 3 - $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 1,4 with 2,6 with 5 with 3 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 1,4 with 4 with 1,2,3,6,12 with 3
$10.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 3,7,10 with 2,6 with 5 with 3 - $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 3,7,10 with 4 with 1,2,3,6,12 with 3 - $7.50
11 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,4 with 2,6 with 1,2,3,6,12 with 3 - $10.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 1,4 with 4 with 5 with 3 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 8 with 4 with 5 with 3 - $0.50
14 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,4 with 8,9 with 5 with 3 - $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,4 with 4 with 7,11 with 3 - $2.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,4 with 4 with 5 with 1,5,6 - $3.00

Total: $59.50


6th: 3rd Evening Jewel-CA, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3)

Most Likely: #6 Rovenna 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #1 Norastone 12-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Chati's On Top 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Princess Genevieve 8-1 5th


7th: 34th Providencia (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (

Top pair from the China Doll are the keys to this but there are a host quality missees involved, most notably Margot Machance who was excellent in her domestic debut. Top three seem interchangeable, so I'll play it by price..

Best Value: #7 Margot Machance 9-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Nashoba's Gold 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Diversy Harbor 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #2 Practising 8-1 6th


8th: 77th Santa Anita Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (P4, P3)

This is an interesting edition of this race with what looks to be several of the best of the season's 3yo's together in one spot. But note Hoppertunity and California Chrome are Kentucky Derby certified already while Candy Boy and Schoolofhardrocks are looking to make their cases on the points scale. Doubt Stevens lets Sadler and Co. down with Candy Boy who runs like a horse desirous of the 9f and beyond..

Most Likely: #6 Candy Boy 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 California Chrome 6-5 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use:: #3 Hoppertunity 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Schoolofhardrocks 10-1 8th


9th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-T (P3)

Spread race as faves are vulnerable..

Most Likely: #2 Advisory 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sir Macho 10-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Tommy O 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Dance Humor 6-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Patriot's Rule 12-1 WON ($40.00)


10th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (DD)

Another deep, difficult set..

Best Value: #3 Too Fast to Pass 8-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Explain 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Seeking the Sherif 4-1 WON ($9.80)
Super Add: #1 Toledo Eddie 4-1 8th


11th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #12 Kerrilynn 6-1 WON ($10.60)
Next Best: #10 Joeandbetty'sbaby 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Indygo F M A 6-1 4th
Super Add: #7 I'm Tops 4-1 12th
Hi-5 Play: #9 Warren's Internet 20-1 10th


<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2 with 3,4 with 10,12 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 2 with 3,4 with 10,12 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 1,5,10 with 3,4 with 10,12 - $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2 with 1,6 with 10,12 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2 with 3,4 with 2 - $1.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 1,5,10 with 3,4 with 10,12 - $12.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 2 with 1,6 with 10,12 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 2 with 3,4 with 2 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 1,5,10 with 1,6 with 10,12 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 1,5,10 with 3,4 with - $3.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2 with 1,6 with 2 - $1.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 2 with 3,4 with 10,12 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 3,6,7,8,9,11 with 3,4 with 10,12 - $12.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2 with 7,8,9,10 with 10,12 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2 with 3,4 with 7,9 - $2.00

Total: $65.00


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

AQU SCR/CHG'S

5th: 3
6th: 10
7th: 1a-7-9
10th: 1

[Kasept]

SA SCR/CHG'S

[Alabama Stakes]

you are dominant on the left coast. Scary good.

Could you tell us a little about that chestnut who won the Santa Anita derby ? He looks like a red Sunday Silence