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#1
04-12-2014, 07:35 AM
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4/12: Keeneland (7th-12th); Oaklawn (8th-11th)
KEENELAND
POST-SCRATCHES 7th: 28th Commonwealth (G3), 4+, 7f (P5, P3, DD) Competitive group with many surface and distance switches on view. ML offers plenty of bonus tote options as faves like Laugh Track and Longhunter (3/0-0-0 on KEE main) don't have to win.. Best Value: #3 Dimension 8-1 2nd Next Best: #9 Occasional View 6-1 WON ($11.00) Exotics Use: #11 Piquant 12-1 7th Super Add: #4 Spring to the Sky 20-1 10th 8th: 18th Shakertown (G3), 4+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Whole field is separated by about 3 lengths. Gantry better on dirt than turf and I'll play against Havelock within the race.. Most Likely: #11 Ancil 8-1 12th- Best Value: #1 Channel Marker 15-1 10th Next Best: #9 Hogy 5-1 4th Exotics Use: #8 Go Blue or Go Home 6-1 5th 9th: 13th Madison (G1), F&M-4+, 7f ((P4, P3, DD) Not a Judy the Beauty fan really, but hard to argue as the likely winner here being perfect (3/3) on this surface and well suited style-wise for scenario.. Most Likely: #4 Judy the Beauty 8-5 WON ($3.20) Best Value: #5 Wildcat Lily 12-1 8th Next Best: #2 Apropos 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Heir Kitty 15-1 4th 10th: 26th Jenny Wiley (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD) Chad Brown barn seemingly ignited and would be very surprising if Stephanie's Kitten wasn't prepared for best effort immediately. Plenty of quality throughout though.. Most Likely: #2 Stephanie's Kitten 5-2 8th Best Value: #8 Discreet Marq 6-1 2nd Next Best: #10 Centre Court 3-1 5th Exotics Use: #6 Fitful Skies 8-1 9th 11th: 90th Blue Grass (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD) Last poly version of this race and it should be wildly entertaining. Noteworthy that last four runnings have seen winner (Java's War, Dullahan, Brilliant Speed, Stately Victor) and at least one other super participant come from back half of field after 6f. No combination you employ will be too outlandish here.. Most Likely: #12 Vinceremos 8-1 14th Best Value: #2 Extrasexyhippzter 15-1 11th Next Best: #8 Dance With Fate 12-1 WON ($14.80) Exotics Use: #14 Gala Award 5-1 6th <$75 P5 Play: All A Entries 1 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 11 with 4 with 2 with 2,12 - $2.00 A's with One B 2 $0.50 pick P5: 4,11 with 11 with 4 with 2 with 2,12 - $2.00 3 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 1,8,9 with 4 with 2 with 2,12 - $6.00 4 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 11 with 4 with 8 with 2,12 - $2.00 5 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 11 with 4 with 2 with 8,14 - $2.00 A's with Two B's 6 $0.50 pick P5: 4,11 with 1,8,9 with 4 with 2 with 2,12 - $6.00 7 $0.50 pick P5: 4,11 with 11 with 4 with 8 with 2,12 - $2.00 8 $0.50 pick P5: 4,11 with 11 with 4 with 2 with 8,14 - $2.00 9 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 1,8,9 with 4 with 8 with 2,12 - $6.00 10 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 1,8,9 with 4 with 2 with 8,14 - $6.00 11 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 11 with 4 with 8 with 8,14 - $2.00 A's with One C 12 $0.50 pick P5: 1,5,7 with 11 with 4 with 2 with 2,12 - $3.00 13 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 6,10,13 with 4 with 2 with 2,12 - $6.00 14 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 11 with 2,3,5,6,7,8,9 with 2 with 2,12 - $14.00 15 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 11 with 4 with 1,5,6,9 with 2,12 - $8.00 16 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 11 with 4 with 2 with 1,3,4,5,11,13 - $6.00 Total: $75.00 <$60 P4 Play: All A Entries 1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,11 with 4,5 with 2 with 2,12 - $4.00 A's with One B 2 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9 with 4,5 with 2 with 2,12 - $4.00 3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,11 with 2,3 with 2 with 2,12 - $4.00 4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,11 with 4,5 with 2 with 8 - $2.00 A's with Two B's 5 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9 with 2,3 with 2 with 2,12 - $4.00 6 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9 with 4,5 with 2 with 8 - $2.00 7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,11 with 2,3 with 2 with 8 - $2.00 A's with One C 8 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10,13 with 4,5 with 2 with 2,12 - $6.00 9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,11 with 6,7,9 with 2 with 2,12 - $6.00 10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,11 with 4,5 with 1,6,8,9,10 with 2,12 - $20.00 11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,11 with 4,5 with 2 with 11,13,14 - $6.00 Total: $60.00 12th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 9f-T (Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #6 Perfect Timber 4-1 8th Next Best: #11 North Star Boy 6-1 3rd Best Value: #9 Al's Uncle 50-1 6th Exotics Use: #5 Bravodino 7-2 2nd Super/Hi-5: #1 Marine Patrol 8-1 WON ($9.80) <$50 P4 Play: All A Entries 1 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2 with 2,12 with 6,11 - $2.00 A's with One B 2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,5,9 with 2 with 2,12 with 6,11 - $8.00 3 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2 with 13,14 with 6,11 - $2.00 4 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2 with 2,12 with 9 - $1.00 A's with Two B's 5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,5,9 with 2 with 13,14 with 6,11 - $8.00 6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,5,9 with 2 with 2,12 with 9 - $4.00 7 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2 with 13,14 with 9 - $1.00 A's with One C 8 $0.50 pick P4: 6,7 with 2 with 2,12 with 6,11 - $4.00 9 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,5,6,8,9,10 with 2,12 with 6,11 - $12.00 10 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2 with 1,3,5,8,11 with 6,11 - $5.00 11 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2 with 2,12 with 1,5,10 - $3.00 Total: $50.00 OAKLAWN PARK POST-SCRATCHES 8th: 17th Northern Spur, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3) Most Likely: #1 Six Spot 9-2 4th Best Value: #8 Fabulous Kid 12-1 3rd Next Best: #2 Bourbonize 4-1 WON ($14.20) Exotics Use: #6 Sheltowee's Boy 9-2 5th 9th: 12th Instant Racing, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3) Most Likely: #2 Jojo Warrior 2-1 2nd Next Best: #1 Adrianne G 5-2 3rd Best Value: #7 Midnight Eclipse 10-1 7th Exotics Use: #5 Sweetmary's Success 7-2 4th 10th: 58th Oaklawn H. (G2), 4+, 9f (P3) Golden Lad emergent, will get first run on speed and is the one Will Take Will have to reach in stretch.. Best Value: #6 Golden Lad 4-1 5th Next Best: #2 Will Take Charge 1-1 WON ($2.80) Exotics Use: #4 Carve 12-1 3rd Super Add: #7 Prayer for Relief 12-1 4th 11th: 78th Arkansas Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD) Even with SCR of Knock Em Flat, there is no shortage of early lick involved here. Stalking Tapiture and closing Commissioner/Conquest Titan should have open door. All participants except Tapiture desperate for Derby ducats and it's hard to know who to marginalize. Should be a terrific end to the Oaklawn season.. Most Likely: #3 Tapiture 9-5 4th Best Value: #4 Ride On Curlin 12-1 2nd Next Best: #8 Bayern 2-1 3rd Exotics Use: #6 Commisioner 8-1 6th <$60 P4 Play: All A Entries 1 $1.00 pick P4: 1 with 2 with 2,6 with 3,4,8 - $6.00 A's with One B 2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6,8 with 2 with 2,6 with 3,4,8 - $9.00 3 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,7 with 2,6 with 3,4,8 - $6.00 4 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2 with 2,6 with 6 - $1.00 A's with Two B's 5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6,8 with 1,7 with 2,6 with 3,4,8 - $18.00 6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6,8 with 2 with 2,6 with 6 - $3.00 7 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,7 with 2,6 with 6 - $2.00 A's with One C 8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,7,9 with 2 with 2,6 with 3,4,8 - $12.00 9 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2 with 2,6 with 7,9 - $2.00 Total: $59.00 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 04-12-2014 at 08:49 PM. 
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#2
04-12-2014, 10:03 AM
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KEE SCR/CHG'S
Check for SCR's again after 12:00/12:30 as there frequently are late adjustments, especially on Stake cards..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
04-12-2014, 12:36 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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