7/5: Belmont Park ($35k C/O)

[Kasept]

Tremendous day of racing crafted by Martin Panza, Frank Gabriel, Andrew Byrnes and the rest of the NYRA Racing Department. Utilizing the former Jamaica (Derby) and Garden City (Oaks), this concept should be a great new fixture on the summer season at Belmont. $35k P6 C/O adds to the intrigue..


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


TURF 'GOOD'.. RAILS DOWN


1st: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P5, P3, DD)

Interesting and mostly lightly-raced group of gals looking for diploma. Question marks include Shug sending Smuggler daughter Guilty Verdict who hits lawn for first time and gets initial shot of Lasix; Goldberg-Santulli stretchout candidate Pedal Princess; And even Nevin reacquisition Di Lissa. Note Matz' Striking Style makes 2nd start of 3yo year but first back on prefered surface. Candidate to jump up. All 7 can win..

Most Likely: #1 Lady Lavery 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Striking Style 10-1 WON ($18.40)
Next Best: #2 Silverama 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Pedal Princess 9-2 5th


2nd: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Eastwood 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Kingsford Drive 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Confrontation 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #1e Jacobson entry 5-2 4th


3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Don't want to just accept the obvious and short-priced in this rather open-looking set. Pace picture a tad murky, so perhaps trying aggressive riders is the way to go..

Most Likely: #2 Partly Mocha 6-1 WON ($8.30)
Best Value: #7 Lead Singer 8-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Adirondack Dancer 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 American Progress 15-1 8th


4th: 97th Dwyer (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Compact field but interesting race with emergent types involved. Starlight expected big things from Tiz Dark and the confidence appears to have been justified..

Most Likely: #4 Tiz Dark 6-5 5th
Next Best: #1e Rice/Hushion ownership entry 8-5 WON/2nd ($3.40)
Best Value: #3 Ulanbator 6-1 3rd


5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$35k P6 C/O starts here..

Turf sprint for MDN's a trying start to P6 sequence.

Most Likely: #10 Dowse's Beach 5-2 WON ($6.30)
Best Value: #9 Blue Chips Only 8-1 8th
Next Best: #11 A Marked Man 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Latigo Trail 4-1 2nd


@$50 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 2,7 with 4 with 10 - $1.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,3,7 with 4 with 2,7 with 4 with 10 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,2,8 with 2,7 with 4 with 10 - $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 11 with 4 with 10 - $0.50
5 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 2,7 with 1 with 10 - $1.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 2,7 with 4 with 9,11 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,3,7 with 1,2,8 with 2,7 with 4 with 10 - $9.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,3,7 with 4 with 11 with 4 with 10 - $1.50
9 $0.50 pick P5: 2,3,7 with 4 with 2,7 with 1 with 10 - $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 2,3,7 with 4 with 2,7 with 4 with 9,11 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,2,8 with 11 with 4 with 10 - $1.50
12 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,2,8 with 2,7 with 1 with 10 - $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,2,8 with 2,7 with 4 with 9,11 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 11 with 1 with 10 - $0.50
15 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 11 with 4 with 9,11 - $1.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 2,7 with 1 with 9,11 - $2.00

A's with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5,6 with 4 with 2,7 with 4 with 10 - $3.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 5,7 with 2,7 with 4 with 10 - $2.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 2,7 with 3 with 10 - $1.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 2,7 with 4 with 8 - $1.00

Total: $51.00


6th: 7th Belmont Sprint Ch. (G3), 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Former James Marvin comes down from Toga and lures an eclectic cast of dashers that have resumes dotted with 7f success. There is questionable pressure up front, so 'cheaper' speeds Dads Caps and Moonlight Song may be cruising comfortably on top and remember what Dads Caps got away with in the Carter. Favored Central Banker the horse to beat and should get a cozy inside stalking trip. Clearly Now will win at some point obviously. Big Screen moderately interesting if he runs here 2nd/layoff, turf/dirt and cutting back at huge price..

Most Likely: #2 Central Banker 5-2 6th
Best Value: #4 Moonlight Song 12-1 4th-DH
Next Best: #3 Clearly Now 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Big Screen 20-1 8th


7th: 65th Belmont Derby (G1), 3yo, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Wildly diverse group assembled for this reinterpreted Jamaica with International cast of 11 having made last starts at Meydan, Churchill, Belmont, Longchamps, Ascot.. and Penn National. Jamie Osborne, Aidan O'Brien, Gai Waterhouse (!) and Dermot Weld (Oaks player Flying Jib) sending runners gives this concept instant credibility and gravitas. In addition to International challengers Toast of New York, Adelaide, Gailo Chop and Pornichet, credible domestic types Bobby's Kitten and Dance With Fate very much in with chances. Note too lurking presence of Paddy Gallagher's Flamboyant who arrived in New York very early with this event always the target. Damsire Until Sundown is also the sire of Chilean champion and serious stayer Quick Casablanca, so added ground to 10f may be ideal for this potential surprise package that has trained forwardly, was within a nose of Gailo Chop last fall and retains Rosario..

Most Likely: #4 Adelaide 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Flamboyant 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Gailo Chop 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Toast of New York 3-1 6th
Super Add: #6 SCR


8th: 128th Suburban H. (G2), 4+, 10f (P3, DD)

Solid if unglamorous edition of this historic New York standard..

Most Likely: #6 Romansh 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Micromanage 9-2 7th
Next Best: #5 Last Gunfighter 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Zivo 20-1 WON ($29.40)
Super Add: #4 Norumbega 6-1 8th


9th: 36th Belmont Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 10f-IT (DD)

As in the boys' edition, the Euros appear clear favorites with domestic interest Room Service looking like a real threat off brilliant American Oaks win in California..

Most Likely: #7 Xcellence 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Goldy Espony 10-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Room Service 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Flying Jib 5-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Minorette 12-1 WON ($14.60)


10th: NY-ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #6 Point Roll 5-2 9th
Next Best: #12 Hidden Vow 7-2 7th
Best Value: #10 Adams Note 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Mobridge 8-1 WON ($13.20)


<$130 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 9,11 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 3,4,8 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $6.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 5 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $2.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 1 with 7 with 6 - $2.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 1,2 with 6 - $4.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 12 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

8 $2.00 pick P6: 9,11 with 3,4,8 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $12.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 9,11 with 2 with 5 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 9,11 with 2 with 4 with 1 with 7 with 6 - $4.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 9,11 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 1,2 with 6 - $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 9,11 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 12 - $4.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 3,4,8 with 5 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $6.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 3,4,8 with 4 with 1 with 7 with 6 - $6.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 3,4,8 with 4 with 6 with 1,2 with 6 - $12.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 3,4,8 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 12 - $6.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 5 with 1 with 7 with 6 - $2.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 5 with 6 with 1,2 with 6 - $4.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 5 with 6 with 7 with 12 - $2.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 1 with 1,2 with 6 - $4.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 1 with 7 with 12 - $2.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 1,2 with 12 - $4.00

A's with One C

23 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $2.00
24 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 5,7,9 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $6.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 1,6,7 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $6.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 5 with 7 with 6 - $2.00
27 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 5,6,9 with 6 - $6.00
28 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 2,7,10 - $6.00

Total: $130.00


$55 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,6 with 1,7 with 6 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,6,7 with 1,6 with 1,7 with 6 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,5 with 1,7 with 6 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,6 with 2 with 6 - $1.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,6 with 1,7 with 12 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,6,7 with 4,5 with 1,7 with 6 - $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,6,7 with 1,6 with 2 with 6 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,6,7 with 1,6 with 1,7 with 12 - $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,5 with 2 with 6 - $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,5 with 1,7 with 12 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,6 with 2 with 12 - $1.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8,9 with 1,6 with 1,7 with 6 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 3 with 1,7 with 6 - $1.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,6 with 5,6,9 with 6 - $3.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,6 with 1,7 with 2,7,10 - $6.00

Total: $55.00


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

BEL SCR/CHG'S

[dagolfer33]

Good luck today Steve. I'm heading to the Smoky Mnts for some R&R, and the last 2 times I did exactly that you hit a big pk6 and a couple of nice pk4s.

[Kasept]

$177k 3-day Belmont C/O Sunday!

[tanner12oz]

Pick 4 will pays are insane

[ScottJ]

Went to Belmont yesterday with my wife and we brought a crew of "newbies" with us to experience the racetrack - could not have asked for a better weather day.

First, Panza/Kay and team did a terrific job in pulling together an "experience" to fill the Belmont Stakes to Saratoga gap. More than 11,000 attended with a free mystery voucher (preregister, wife and I were 2x$5.00 while one in our group received a $50.00 free roll) and free t-shirt on offer. Given the $5.00 admission, it would seem that the spinners are way down and that attendance count looked legit based on the backyard action alone.

There were more than enough tellers for wagers (line were 8-10 deep on the first floor with five minutes to post) and the backyard roughly 2-3 deep.

The food trucks in the backyard were plentiful (about 15-20) of all different types and varieties. Most importantly, the cost was certainly reasonable with most lunch items in the $5.00 (excellent grilled cheese with tomato) to $12.00 (seafood) range.

Much to my surprise, some of our group members came loaded for action and were playing $20-$30 per race as we headed towards the stakes action. Playing with exactas, triples, and straight wagers for the most part while I was playing horizontally.

Ironically on the wagering front, the number pickers seemed to do better than I did with two days of handicapping and watching video ahead of time. Isn't that always the case? :-)

That said, Sea Queen crushed my hopes of a major $1000+ score in the ninth race - goodness knows, I thought I was "going to Hawaii" when the field turned for home.

None the less, a great idea by NYRA to build another big Belmont day on the calendar with some new fans coming along for the ride.

[Kasept]

Scott.. Very cool that you went with a group. THX for the report.

From every vantage point, it's clear this concept and execution was a monster hit.