9/10: Belmont Park ($37k C/O)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Pacelessness adds layer of mystery to this group of mediocrities. After the obvious (2-4-6-7), Porvoo a goofy 30-1 player that is dropping in for tag after being run over her head in various ALW's for ages. Gets weight break and rail and has numerous competitive races..

Most Likely: #2 Eddy's Time 3-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Barbara's Smile 7-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Porvoo 30-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Casey Roo 5-2 2nd


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Everything unfolds depending on what happens with Sweet Sway and Trail Walker up front. If they vie for lead, the stalkers benefit, but if one or the other gets away easy, everything goes up in the air..

Most Likely: #1 Bobby Jo 2-1 WON ($4.10)
Best Value: #4 What the Frost 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Mama Zee Late SCR
Exotics Use: #5 Trail Walker 6-1 2nd


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Not convinced the obvious are the way to go here. Contessa's ADK Posse a half to the good, fast 6x winner Too Tough Jake. May fire at first asking..

Most Likely: #3 Adirondack Posse 5-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Black Friday Rush 12-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Tiz a Chance 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 One Eyed Ray 3-1 WON ($9.50)
Super Add: #4 Boldlee 7-2 6th


7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

If the pace players (5-7-8) gut each other, Castellano can pounce with Finding Candy..

Best Value: #3 Finding Candy 8-1 WON ($13.60)
Next Best: #5 Groomedforvictory 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Herbal Prospector 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Big Town 7-2 6th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (DD)

Best Value: #5 Here He Fitz 12-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Groupthink 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Bluegrass Flash 7-2 WON ($7.70)
Super Add: #3 Here Comes Tommy 5-1 3rd


9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 2yo-F, 5.5f

Most Likely: #8 My Ellierose 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Giant Hearted Lee 3-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Writing 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Captain Munnings 5-1 WON ($11.20)


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 2-4
5: 1
6: 1-3-7
7: 3-5
8: 2-5
9: 8-9

2x1x3x2x2x2 = 48 X $2 = $96


$82 P4 Play:

6: 3-7 (A), 1 (B), 4-5 (C)
7: 3-5 (A), 8 (B), 7 (C)
8: 2-5 (A), 1 (B), 3-4 (C)
9: 8-9 (A), 4-7 (B), 3-5-6-10 (C)


All A's

3,7/3,5/2,5/8,9 = 8.00

A's with One B

1/3,5/2,5/8,9 = 4.00
3,7/8/2,5/8,9 = 4.00
3,7/3,5/1/8,9 = 4.00
3,7/3,5/2,5/4,7 = 8.00

A's with Two B

1/8/2,5/8,9 = 1.00
1/3,5/1/8,9 = 2.00
1/3,5/2,5/4,7 = 4.00
3,7/8/1/8,9 = 2.00
3,7/8/2,5/4,7 = 4.00
3,7/3,5/1/4,7 = 4.00

A's with One C

4,5/3,5/2,5/8,9 = 8.00
3,7/7/2,5/8,9 = 4.00
3,7/3,5/3,4/8,9 = 8.00
3,7/3,5/2,5/3,5,6,10 = 16.00

Total = $82.00


Good luck!
Steve