Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-11-2014, 09:47 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 10/11: Keeneland (6th-10th)

You've heard me talk about Andy Harrington/National Turf many times, but I'm going to do another plug here. Friday's Santa Anita nightcap was a rag tag MDN CLM affair with an obvious favorite in Freakin Amazing and little other clear contenders. It was a spot that cried out for a price inclusion and reaching for a hint or two from Harrington's workout notes was vital. Eddie Freeman's Native Heart was making a 2nd start, an area the trainer excels, and his 10/1 drill produced this Harrington comment: May be better than debut going the last 1/4 in 24.3 under some late wraps. Rounding forward. -- Grade: B-.

Freeman's strong 21% 2nd/start and that encouraging Harrington blurb was all you really need when looking for an offbeat option. Native Heart proceeded to run a courageous race at 55-1, only yielding in the last few jumps to the highly likely favorite. The exacta paid $150 and the tri $1,136 with the 2nd choice running third. National Turf costs $10 for Harrington's view of 80% of a card's workouts and you can't play Southern California seriously without it.

Hope everyone did well Friday. Big multi-day carryovers at Belmont and Santa Anita today, but I'm on the road for a wedding and only have Keeneland ideas today..


KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N3X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Stays on turf being called 'soft'.. Bitty Kitty!

Most Likely: ##11 Keening 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Liz Pendens 10-1 6th
Next Best: #13 Modernstone 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Bitty Kitty 4-1 WON ($10.20)
Super Add: #8 Fine Assay 15-1 12th


7th: ALW/N2L, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Sarah Sis 4-1 WON ($9.80)
Best Value: #6 Know It All Anna 5-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Nagzilla 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Rachel's Ready 12-1 9th


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Divine Beauty 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Devious d'Oro 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Street Girl 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Brown Eyed Mary 7-2 6th


9th: 31st Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Ball Dancing 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sistas Stroll 12-1 3rd-DH
Next Best: #2 Minorette 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Crown Queen 4-1 WON ($7.20)


10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Holiday Twist 3-1 7th
Next Best: #12 Tiz Sexy Now 8-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #11 Silverpocketsfull 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Get Set Go 12-1 5th


P5 Grid:

6: 4-11 (A), 6-13 (B), 3-8-12 (C)
7: 1-6 (A), 8 (B), 4-7 (C)
8: 7 (A), 8 (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 6 (A), 1-2 (B), 8 (C)
10: 4 (A), 11-12 (B), 2-7-10 (C)


P4 Grid:

7: 1-6-8 (A), 7 (B), 4 (C)
8: 7 (A), 8 (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 6 (A), 1-2 (B), 8 (C)
10: 4 (A), 11-12 (B), 2-7-10 (C)


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 10-12-2014 at 09:23 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-11-2014, 11:23 AM
casp0555's Avatar
casp0555 casp0555 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Humble,Texas
Posts: 18,884
Default

David Grening ‏@DRFGrening 3m3 minutes ago
Sloppy at BEL w/ only race 8 on yld turf. 38 scratches, 63 runners. Only 38 runners in pick-6 w/ $138K carry.
__________________
"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-11-2014, 11:39 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

KEE SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 03:31 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.