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#1
06-06-2015, 03:09 AM
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Belmont Saturday June 6
Three early morning plays at Epsom...Race 4: #12 Monumental Man and #20 Smoothtalkinrascal, and Race 7: #10 Iseemist.
Had a great day both at Epsom and Belmont on Friday. Hopefully that was just the start...! Race 1: #1 Stanford #3 Japan Race 2: #5 Gridley Here: 2 for 2 at 8.5f at Belmont, both with Rosario. Needed his comeback run. 4yo gives weight but has the experience at a price. #2 Wisecracker: Will somewhat try to beat him as he did seem to slightly prefer the two turns. #8 Smart Transition: Given an awful ride in his route debut, but followed that up by smashing a field, albeit weak, including some older runners. Don't know if he'll win out East for Shirreffs but at the very least can't ignore underneath. #4 Tiz Shea D Race 3: #6 Classy Class: Always thought the horse had ability but admittedly was wrong in thinking he had stamina. Put up a big number sprinting on debut and won his only other one-turn race (last out). #3 Competitive Edge: Should win but in reality not really tested and therefore hard to take a short price. #4 Two Weeks Off #1 Ready for Rye Race 4: #3 Brickyard Kitten: Just missed but put up dazzling final splits in barn and turf sprint debut. 22 2/5 and 11 1/5. Will only gain from that experience. #11 Spring to the Sky: Had the lead at the 6f pole but faded first off the layoff. 107 flat winner over the course last year. Would be more confident if Bruce had had a better start to the meet. #10 Channel Marker: Couldn't really close any better at Churchill. Flew home at Keeneland after getting a solid route prep. Will be coming again. #4 Ageless: Mare has the ability and Leparoux lands here. Wide open and will go deeper... Race 5: #5 Princess Violet: Trounced by Untapable last year, but that was only her fourth career start and she wasn't very comfortable early on. Gets an 8lbs swing on Wedding Toast, and 8lbs less than Untapable, and I like the 6f move last week. #4 Untapable: Don't know if she's been as good this year and this might be another time to try and beat her. #2 Wedding Toast #3 House Rules Race 6: #4 Wealth to Me: Ultra-consistent runner has already proven he has stamina and has an affinity for this surface. #5 Effinex: Better than ever as a 4yo. Just wonder if the 12f is too much. #12 Cary Street: Got an unbelievably perfect set-up at SA, but showed in Parx win that the distance isn't a concern. Followed that So. Cal win by dropping too far back last at Hawthorne. Ignore the turf try in seasonal debut. #8 V. E. Day Race 7: #10 Light the City: Only poor race was the Grade 2 sprint try. Remember thinking she had talent after her debut. #6 Curalina: Cruised against lesser on KY Oaks day. Unproven but might belong. #12 Danzatrice: Blew right past By the Moon in the Parx Oaks, but has shown she can sprint as well. #9 Promise Me Silver: Thought she might have been slowing down late last out but as the runner-up started to get somewhat close she powered up again into the gallop out. Race 8: #7 J Wonder: Not disgraced in Classics as a 3yo and is just rounding into her form cycle. #9 Tepin: Might be left alone on the lead again. #10 Photo Call: Might not be aided by the pace but it will still be faster than last out. #1 Lady Lara: Will be running on late. 12-1 ML vs 3-1 last out. Race 9: #10 Kobe's Back: Expect the pace to be hot, and unlike Honor Code he's shown he can run a quick sprint time. Eurton and Stevens have seemingly gotten the best out of him. #9 Honor Code: Much prefers the one-turn. Just wonder if the cloud he'll be coming from just might be too far back. #4 Tonalist: Generally has a legitimate excuse when he runs "poorly". Big threat to make it 5 for 5 at Belmont if he doesn't regress. #7 Bayern: Ran terribly in 4yo debut, but hard to ignore his run here on this day last year. Have been on the fence with #5 Tamarkuz and ultimately decided to leave him out. Wasn't beating anything in the preps and even though he was slow out in the Godolphin Mile I thought the second placed runner ran a much better race. Would actually have used that one had he been entered. Race 10: #5 Big Blue Kitten: 7yo with near 50% win rate showed he still has tons of quality. #6 Legendary: Saville has struggled this season but this one got two strong preps in and loves this turf course. #7 Slumber: A bit too one-paced at Churchill but is generally thereabouts. #2 Twilight Eclipse: Don't really rate him as a win chance with the bigger weight but is consistently in the money. Race 11: #6 Frosted: My Derby pick ran great given the shape of the race. Crucially returns home as prior Big Sandy form has held up in this over the years. #3 Madefromlucky: Have always thought he'll appreciate this type of distance. Showed he can handle the Belmont surface. #4 Frammento: Clunk up type doesn't look the part on paper but Zito has won this with bombs before... #1 Mubtaahij: Have always questioned his true ability but at the very least he will relish this longer trip. Race 12: #7 Taghleeb #9 Coltimus Prime #6 Flashlight Race 13: #4 Life in Shambles #10 Social Inclusion #2 Warrior's Crown #6 Easy to Say $0.60 Pick Five Race 1: 1, 3 Race 2: 2, 5 Race 3: 3, 6 Race 4: 3, 4, 6, 10, 11 Race 5: 2, 4, 5 $72.00 $0.60 Early Pick Four Race 2: 2, 5, 8 Race 3: 3, 6 Race 4: 3, 4, 6, 10, 11 Race 5: 2, 4, 5 $54.00 Cover: 2, 5/4/3, 4, 10, 11/4, 5 $9.60 $63.60 total $0.60 G1 Pick Four Race 8: 1, 2, 3, 4, 7, 8, 9, 10 Race 9: 4, 7, 9, 10 Race 10: 5, 6, 7 Race 11: 6 $57.60 Cover spreading out more in the Belmont: 7, 9, 10/4, 9, 10/5, 6/1, 3, 4, 5 $43.20 $100.80 total $0.60 Late Pick Four Race 10: 5, 6, 7 Race 11: 3, 4, 6 Race 12: 7, 9 Race 13: 2, 4, 6, 10 $43.20 Good luck! Last edited by Kitan : 06-06-2015 at 11:26 AM. 
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#2
06-06-2015, 09:30 PM
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Quote:
Congrats to the champ. Last edited by Kitan : 06-06-2015 at 10:06 PM.
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