7/24: Saratoga (Opening Day)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-OC/$-ALW, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Sea Raven appears almost too good here..

Most Likely: #5 Sea Raven 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #1 Royal Posse 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Fox Rules 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Beyond Empire 5-2 3rd


2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Muddled group of state-bred baby girls and despite a lack of pedigree strength, want to take chance with Miah Englehart and sharp-drilling Here Comes Rosie. Violette (Lemon Liquor) and Schettino (Corinthian's Joy) command first time starter ('FTS') respect. Stewart offers Lady's First, a Ghostzapper daughter out stakes winning Lady Giacomo..

Best Value: #6 Here Comes Rosie 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Lemon Liquor 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Lady's First 10-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Corinthian's Joy 12-1 5th


3rd: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

More than half this group of underachievers look eligible with Dacoma and Khaleesi Kat the lone droppers from NY-MSW company. Rafael Hernandez (Dacoma) has emerged from Midwestern obscurity and should win his share of races upstate riding for Wesley Ward. Wild Inthe Streets, Hope's Roar, Flying K C & Weekend Hottie all can win..

Most Likely: #1 Dacoma 5-2 7th
Best Value: #6 Wild Inthe Streets 12-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Khaleesi Kat 6-1 WON ($9.10)
Exotics Use: #3 Hope's Roar 15-1 5th


4th: 97th Schuylerville (G3), 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Positively Royal has impressed in the morning since ordinary career debut win (65 Beyer). May surge forward today..

Most Likely: #7 Positively Royal 2-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Banree 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Areolite 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Decked Out 4-1 3rd


5th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Dee Tee's William'sluckygray a SCR out of this event having cut herself during the van ride from Belmont. Well-matched group seems sure to produce a couple double digit prices in the pay slots..

Most Likely: #2 Daisy a Day 10-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Jennys Creek 4-1 6th
Best Value:#4 Reversiontothemean 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Annie Walker 15-1 7th


P5 Grid:

1: 5 (A), 1 (B), 3-4-8 (C)
2: 1-4-6 (A), 2-9-10 (B), 3-5-7-8 (C)
3: 1 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
4: 7 (A), - (B), 1-3-8 (C)
5: 2-8 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $70


P4 Grid:

2: 1-6 (A), 2-4-9-10 (B), 3-5-7-8 (C)
3: 1-6 (A), 3-7 (B), 2-10-12 (C)
4: 7 (A), - (B), 1-3-8 (C)
5: 2-8 (A), 1-4-6-7 (B), 3-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x1x6 = 72 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $86


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Top 4 as listed below look pretty obvious. Just Wicked has advantage of career debut behind her. Mix and match..

Most Likely: #6 Anna House 2-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Lady Devil 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Just Wicked 5-1 WON ($8.10)
Exotics Use: #5 Welcoming 4-1 5th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Agonizing start to the late P4 as at least 8 of these 12 can win and whole field separated by about 5 lengths. To give an idea of how difficult this group is to separate, in DRF's Selection grid, Dave Litfin (12-5-13), Kenny Peck (10-1-8) and Chuck Keuhhas (3-7-9) have no common horses within their tabs.. a rarity. Demand square prices when building your plays and spread in multis..

Most Likely: #4 Lahinch Classics 10-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 The Tea Cups 8-1 4th
Next Best: #13 Dating Lady Luck 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Trophee 3-1 5th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

'Just' 8 but quite a nice group. Juba & Castellano SCR'D turn back out of G3 Westchester and should sit nice trip up close behind Scatter Joy..

Most Likely: #6 Doc Almon 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Doubledown Again 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Scatter Joy 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Life in Shambles 12-1 6th


9th: 20th Lake George (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD)

Terrific edition of this 3yo filly standard that has produced the likes of Memories of Silver and daughter Winter Memories, Voodoo Dancer and Film Maker in its' 19 year run. Chad Brown attacks here with Mrs McDougal and Sivoliere and outposted Partisan Politics who will have to work out a trip under Castellano..

Most Likely: #12 Partisan Politics 5-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Jellicle Ball 10-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Mississippi Delta 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 All in Fun 8-1 5th


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f

Most Likely: #14 Kowboy Boots 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Ghost Swagger 15-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Big Blue Talent 4-1 WON ($9.10)
Exotics Use: #6 Culprit 7-2 7th


P4 Grid:

7: 1-4-13 (A), 3-10-12 (B), 5-8-9 (C)
8: 6 (A), 3-4 (B), 1-7 (C)
9: 12 (A), 3 (B), 5-7-9 (C)
10: 9-14 (A), 4-6 (B), 2-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $69 (With $1 All A's Play)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

[Kasept]

Celestine has SCR'd from the Lake George..

[Kasept]

$36,444 SCIACCARRYOVER SATURDAY