9/3: Saratoga ~ Day 38 (Woodward; Spinaway)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

These misfit affairs usually end sequences. Having it at start of P5 helps as board may give clues as to who's live. Clear contenders, yes, but no shortage of upset candidates too..

Best Value: #5 Rescue Cat SCR
Next Best: #10 Sanifiera 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Palladian Bridge 6-1 2nd-DQ'd to 5th
Super Add: #9 Sea Pebble 7-2 5th-Up to 4th on DQ


2nd: S/ALW, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Shuffle Up SCR
Next Best: #8 Roll Tide Roll 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Gentrify 6-1 WON ($29.00)
Super Add: #1 Money Changer 7-2 3rd


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Frostmourne 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #7 Piazza Del Campo 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Starstruck Kitten SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Menacing Dennis SCR


4th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Next Best: #4 South Sea 9-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Altito 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Oxford Circus 5-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Westwood 7-2 2nd


5th: Saranac (G3), 3yo, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Isotherm 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Call Provision 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Inspector Lynley 8-1 WON ($16.00)
Super Add: #5 Ray's the Bar 9-2 4th


P5 Grid:

1: 5-7-10 (A), 3-9-11 (B), - (C)
2: 5-8 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-7-9 (C)
3: 5 (A), - (B), 1-3-4-7 (C)
4: 4-6-8 (A), - (B), 3-7-9-10 (C)
5: 3-6 (A), - (B), 1-2-4-5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x1x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 3-5-8 (A), 1-2-9 (B), 4-6-7 (C)
3: 5 (A), - (B), 1-3-4-7 (C)
4: 4-6-8 (A), - (B), 3-7-9-10 (C)
5: 1-3-6 (A), 2-4-5-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x3x7 = 126 x .50 = $63
All A’s: 3x1x3x3 = $27 ($13.50 for .50)


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Changewilldoyagood 6-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Hesinfront 20-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Ice Cutter 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Nonna's Boy 5-1 WON ($12.60)
Super Add: #4 Eh Cumpari 20-1 8th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Kahramani 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Casse's Story 4-1 WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #6 Mohican 5-1 10th
Super Add: #2 You're to Blame 8-1 2nd


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Insane, impossible group to start the P5..

Most Likely: #9 New York Chrome 5-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Boalt Hall 10-1 11th
Next Best: #10 Neolithic 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #13 Ekhlass 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Gray Sky 12-1 6th


9th: Spinaway (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Cherry Lodge 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Runway Doll 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Fun 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Sweet Loretta 7-2 WON-DH ($4.90)


10th: Woodward (G1), 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Frosted 1-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Bradester 6-1 8th
Best Value: #1 Shaman Ghost 12-1 WON ($20.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Samraat 10-1 9th


11th: Glens Falls (G3), F&M-3+, 11f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Guapaza 3-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Itsonlyactingdad 9-2 7th
Next Best: #6 Suffused 4-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Arles 10-1 2nd


12th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #4 Annals of Time 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Hockey School 5-1 WON ($13.80)
Best Value: #5 Forever in Love 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Intensity 8-1 4th


P5 Grid:

8: 2-9-10 (A), 1-12-13 (B), 4-5-11 (C)
9: 5 (A), - (B), 1-3-4 (C)
10: 3 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)
11: 3-6-8 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
12: 2-4-5 (A), 1-3 (B), 8-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x1x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 3x1x1x3x3 = 27 x .50 = $13.50


P4 Grid:

9: 3-5 (A), 4 (B), 1-2-6-7 (C)
10: 3 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)
11: 3-6-8 (A), 4-5-10 (B), 1-2-7-9 (C)
12: 2-3-4-5 (A), 1-8-9-10 (B), 6-7-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x6x8 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x3x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve