5/27: Belmont (7th-10th); Churchill (7th-11th); Santa Anita (4th-9th)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Classy top tabs both by War Front with license to succeed returning to lawn. Fleet Week a half to SW turfer Mr. Ryder and Game Factor a defensive use as OK fave. Rubilinda (6-1) by Frankel and from C. Brown a mystery player..

Most Likely: #9 Vigor 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Battle Joined 9-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Fleet Week 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Game Factor Late SCR


8th: 4th Paradise Creek, 3yo, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Big Handsome obviously the horse to beat and Kitten's Cat a personal fave that keeps good company. Small Bear a half to lawn-loving Stella Rose (full to a turf winner Fiaker as well) and a price player with run back to last. Derek's Smile should get lead but will have company from the outside pair..

Most Likely: #8 Big Handsome 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #5 Small Bear 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Kitten's Cat 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Derek's Smile 7-2 7th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Brown's Eloquent Riddle cuts back and gets class relief; Nocturnal Mission won at first asking in 3-horse photo for Mott and saw placing foes Cosi Bella (Brown) and Hexameter (Terranova) win next out with 81 and 77 Beyers; Sheplaysthefield graduated from tricky inside post last time at KEE for Lynch and could be this good off 6 weeks rest; Bow Town Cat caught fire in Florida for Patty Reynolds and takes off hood after expiurement went array; Fancy Riggio homebred Sky Gesture (Tiznow/Overandabeauty) makes 3yo debut for Violette and can factor with natural juvy to soph improvement; $400k Linda Rice/Sheila Rosenblum Speightstown Downtown Mama another first out winner, but fact it came at Laurel in mud gives some pause. Fascinating group that has plenty of 2nd half of season upside..

Most Likely: #3 Eloquent Riddle 5-2 5th
Next Best: #8 Nocturnal Mission 6-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Bow Town Cat 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Sheplaysthefield 7-2 2nd


10th: NY-MSW, 3+, 1m-T

Deep, nicely-matched group of NYB turf routers with most barely distinguishable. Pirate's Treasure SCR'D a murky choice, but Gemologist hitting at 19% with first turfers and Jerkens trainee figures to get a good, up close stalking trip inside under Luz. Danza Kuduro debuted at Gulfstream 3 weeks ago where he went around evenly from the inside post. May like outside open air box with Saez. Watch for SCR's as AE's 13/14 very much part of picture. Bats Cleanup showed improvement from 2 to 3 in seasonal bow opening week. Ned Graham brings bargain buy Conquest Falcon back from Fair Hill after credible debut..

Best Value: #11 Danza Kuduro 12-1 6th
Next Best: #13 Dab 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Bats Cleanup 20-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Conquest Falcon 8-1 11th


P4 Grid:

7: 5-7-9 (A), 4-10 (B), - (C)
8: 5-8 (A), - (B), 1-4-7 (C)
9: 3-8 (A), 7 (B), 1-2-5 (C)
10: 11-13 (A), 3-6-7 (B), 2-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Make Amends 8-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Awestruck 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Marcy Darcy 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Never Hungover 15-1 6th


8th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Desert Poem 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Remember the Alimo 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 I'm With Miller 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Little Irishdancer 4-1 WON ($6.00)


9th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Very competitive group.. Ivy Bell (9-2) came right back in 4yo debut to level of 3yo finale. Anticipated forward move makes her good key player at nice number..

Most Likely: #5 Ivy Bell 9-2 WON ($8.00)
Next Best: #6 Care 5-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Sweet Halory 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Deedeezee 5-1 10th


10th: Winning Colors (G3), F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

As discussed Friday with Marty McGee, Covey Trace (30-1) is the value key if you're acquiescing the top slot to Finley'sluckycharm..

Most Likely: #6 Finley'sluckycharm 3-5 WON ($2,40)
Best Value: #3 Covey Trace 30-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Athena 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Ramona's Wildcat 20-1 7th


11th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m (Hi-5)

Best Value: #9 Burntwood 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Enduring Honor 7-2 WON ($9.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Speedy A.P. 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Gladtobehere 3-1 6th
Hi-5 Play: #2 Silver Wraith 10-1 4th


P5 Grid:

7: 4-6 (A), 5 (B), 1-2-8-9 (C)
8: 1-4-8 (A), - (B), 5-10 (C)
9: 5-6 (A), 1-11 (B), 4-7 (C)
10: 6 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)
11: 5-9 (A), 3-7 (B), 2-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

8: 1-4-8 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
9: 5-6 (A), 1-11 (B), 4-7 (C)
10: 6 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)
11: 5-7-9 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x1x5 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A's: 3x2x1x3 = $18 ($9 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (5,12/2,5,10/6,8/5) Paid $54.20



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Wild gathering of sassy MDN's including Sonneteer who may find the company as tough as the stakes fields he's been facing. Acker may be a big horse for Mandella & Wertheimers; $360k Thorpe d'Oro a full to Plum Pretty; $500k Honor and Courage, half to Unzip Me, is long overdue; Krikorian homebred Hollywood Strike is out of personal fave Hollywood Story and another that should have graduated by now; 2nd timer Placido wants a route, but ran well going short. Adds hood..

Best Value: #4 Acker 7-2 8th
Next Best: #2 Honor and Courage 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Sonneteer 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Thorpe d'Oro 12-1 2nd


5th: 51st Gamely (G1), F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

As much as you have to love Lady Eli, Avenge, potentially better as a mare than filly, will be on a loose lead and is no cream puff..

Most Likely: #1 Avenge 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Lady Eli 4-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #5 Mokat 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Goodyearforroses 4-1 2nd


6th: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Bolita Boyz 6-1 10th
Next Best: #9 Taman Guard 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Texas Two Step 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #10 Saint Dermot 12-1 4th


7th: 50th Monrovia (G2), F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Enola Gray 5-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Illuminant 9-5 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #9 Anita Partner 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Juno 6-1 4th


8th: 78th Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)

American Freedom made this voyage in the Travers and is clearly the 'now' horse. He's going to get bet down considerably though and Accelerate SCR'd has a lot of the identical qualities and will be longer.. Cupid and Midnight Storm figure to spar up front..

Most Likely: #1 American Freedom 4-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Follow Me Crev 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Midnight Storm 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Cupid 6-1 WON ($16.00)


9th: MSW, 3+, 9f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Awesome Heights 12-1 10th
Next Best: #10 Oregon 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Lucky Soul 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Ample Sufficiency 6-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #1 Ziconic 3-1 9th


P4 Grid:

6: 7-9 (A), 4-10 (B), 5-8 (C)
7: 4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-2 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-5-10 (A), - (B), 1-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

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