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#1
07-27-2018, 08:15 AM
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7/27: Saratoga (5th-10th)
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES 5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Charlie McCoy 3-1: Nevin bred this improving late-starting 3yo.. 2nd Next Best: #6 Call Me a Star SCR'D: Firing at PRX since spring freshening.. Best Value: #8 Bluegrass Express 20-1: Turns back to preferred trip.. 3rd Exotics Use: #11 Candy Zip 12-1: Making 3yo debut for Rivelli.. 7th SCR Sub: #10 Freud's Affair 15-1 4th 6th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-OFF/TURF (NYRA Bets P5, P3, DD) If J. Ortiz is allowed to get away with murder up front on Conquest Hardcandy, there's going to be a problem. Will count on Saez to apply pressure with Out of Trouble. Broken Border has been running the exact same race repeatedly for 18 months. Belle of the Spa improved like a 3yo to 4yo should. Take note that that Bruce Levine has moved Vortex Road nicely off Jorge Navarro. She would have been some fabulous claim for $7.5 or 8k last November.. OFF/TURF: 1-3 WON ($5.10)-4 7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-OFF/TURF (P4, P3, DD) OFF/TURF: 3 WON ($4.80)-11-1 8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD) This is an ALW of authentic quality.. Most Likely: #4 Uncle Mojo 5-2 2nd Best Value: #1 Sir Ballantine 5-1 4th Next Best: #8 Virtual Machine 9-2 5th Exotics Use: #5 Papa Shot 8-1 3rd 9th: Curlin, 3yo, 9f (DD) Does Hofburg 'have to win'? No, especially since there isn't pace to close in to. But he obviously has a class edge and may simply overwhelm this group. American Lincoln & Nicodemus are the new faces with upside and Madison's Luna will lead them in to the turn for home.. Most Likely: #1 Hofburg 1-2 WON ($2.50) Best Value: #5 American Lincoln 12-1 4th Next Best: #2 Madison's Luna 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #4 Nicodemus 10-1 2nd 10th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3+, 6.5f This happens to be a group of far-from-hopeless NYB fillies. Very bettable with 5-6 major players. Zecha could cap a huge day for Flying P & Levine (Vortex Road, Flowers for Lisa earlier).. Most Likely: #3 Zecha 8-1 5th Best Value: #6 Third Card Down 10-1 7th Next Best: #9 Aly's All Out 6-1 13th Exotics Use: #11 Wappinger 7-2 3rd P5 Grid: 6: 1-3-4-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 3-11 (A), - (B), 1-6-10 (C) 8: 1-4 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C) 9: 1 (A), 5 (B), - (C) 10: 3-6 (A), 9 (B), 1-4-11 (C) Simple (A+B): 5x2x2x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60 All A's: 5x2x2x1x2 = 40 x .50 = $20 P4 Grid: 7: 1-3-6-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 1-4 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C) 9: 1 (A), 5 (B), - (C) 10: 3-6-9-11 (A), 1-4-10-15 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 5x2x2x8 = 160 x .50 = $80 All A's: 5x2x1x4 = 40 x .50 = $20 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 07-28-2018 at 05:44 AM. 
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#2
07-27-2018, 11:27 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
07-27-2018, 03:36 PM
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Now OFF/TURF in 6th/7th..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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