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#1
10-28-2018, 10:23 AM
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BC STAT FILES: Baffert's modest success returning runners to Cup..
Interesting Baffert/Breeders' Cup factoid with West Coast making a 2nd start in this year's Classic after last year's 3rd and Abel Tasman returning in the Distaff after her 2017 2nd at Del Mar..
Among horses he has brought back to the Cup a consecutive year, whether running in the same race or a different one, only Midnight Lute has won, repeating in the Sprint in 2008. Plenty of them ran well obviously ~ notably the Juveniles moving to mature divisions ~ but Game On Dude went the wrong way after his 2nd behind Drosselmeyer in '11 and Fed Biz was never competitive in his 3 Dirt Mile tries. Arrogate (C, 1st, 2016) Arrogate (C, 5th, 2017) Captain Steve (J, 11th, 1999) Captain Steve (C, 3rd, 2000) Drefong (S, 1st, 2016) Drefong (S, 6th, 2017) Fed Biz (DM, 8th, 2012) Fed Biz (DM, 6th, 2013) Fed Biz (DM, 7th, 2014) Game On Dude (C, 2nd, 2011) Game On Dude (C, 7th, 2012) Game On Dude (C, 9th, 2013) Indian Blessing (JF, 1st, 2007) Indian Blessing (FMS, 2nd, 2008) Lookin At Lucky (J, 2nd, 2009) Lookin At Lucky (C, 4th, 2010) Midnight Lute (S, 1st, 2007) Midnight Lute (S, 1st, 2008) Secret Circle (JS, 1st, 2011) Secret Circle (S, 1st, 2013) Secret Circle (S, 2nd, 2014) Silverbulletday (JF, 1st, 1998) Silverbulletday (D, 6th, 1999) Thirty Slews (S, 1st, 1992) Thirty Slews (S, 4th, 1993) Abel Tasman (D, 2nd, 2017) West Coast (C, 3rd, 2017)
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 10-28-2018 at 12:20 PM. 
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#2
11-05-2018, 05:33 AM
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Quote:
Abel Tasman (D, 11th, 2018) West Coast (C, 3rd, 2017) West Coast (C, 7th, 2018)
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
11-05-2018, 02:04 PM
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This is probably true of any top trainer that has a contingent of horses every year in the BC. It can't be easy to have a horse in top form for the same race 12 months apart, especially if run at a different track.
It's why repeat victories are special achievements (even in major stakes outside the BC). Lure and Goldikova technically would fit the bill, too. In the end, it's not really a "trainer stat", it's an individual horse stat...and it's fairly easy to predict that a horse in top form won't be, when running in the same race exactly 12 months later. The phenomenon occurs even with a relatively unsuccessful BC trainer like John Sadler. In 2016, Sadler-trained Stellar Wind (4th, Distaff) and Accelerate (3rd, Dirt Mile) ran modestly well. In 2017, both ran dead last in their respective races. Here are some other non-Baffert regressers: Unbridled Dramatic Gold Cigar Concern Skip Away Cat Thief Skywalker Golden Missile Volponi Pleasantly Perfect Dynever Fort Larned Flat Out Effinex Sunshine Forever St. Nicholas Abbey Fraise Chief Bearhart Buck’s Boy Quiet Resolve Better Talk Now Red Rocks Little Mike Point of Entry Midday Found Highland Reel Talismanic Shared Account Dancing Spree Amazombie Big Drama Cajun Beat Cardmania Precisionist Goodbye Halo Winning Colors
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