Churchill Downs Breeder's Cup Friday November 2nd

[Kitan]

Race 5 (Juvenile Turf Sprint):
#12 Pocket Dynamo: Badly held up on the rail last time out, and although he may not have gotten to the winner (#8) that day, he was in need of the run having been off for a few months with a bit of an illness, which started in France. Wasn't a bad run that day either given his conditions and the fact he was the pacesetter. Just missed at Royal Ascot vs #7 and this race has been the target since then. Has won around a left-handed turn.
#10 So Perfect: Filly comes in with arguably the best form lines (Skitter Scatter, Advertise, Fairyland, The Mackem Bullet). Drops back to 5.5f but her gallop-out after going 5f at Royal Ascot was solid. Another that has won going counter-clockwise and can ignore her second career start where she was stuck on the rail and stumbled twice just over a furlong out.
#8 Sergei Prokofiev: Can him a mulligan on his August run as O'Brien's barn wasn't firing on all cylinders at that time. Hard to excuse his effort two back but he returned to form strongly last time out. Race shape looks to suit.
#2 Soldier's Call: Sure, he just missed in a G1 against older last time out, but he got a huge weight allowance and that was not a strong field, to say the least. Form lines before that are neither bad nor spectacular, but looks like he'll be used hard from the inside. Seems an overlay.

Race 6 (Juvenile Fillies Turf):
#2 The Mackem Bullet: Sire was a 6f sprinter but she's got some stamina on the bottom and has hit the line well in her last two, suggesting she wants a bit further, which has been reported as well by her jockeys. No disgrace in those two runs either, just missing twice to Fairyland. Has improved with every start and has tactical speed but has yet to face a wet track, although her sire was a G1 winner on soft going.
#6 Newspaperofrecord: Irish-bred has thrashed them in both of her starts on wet tracks. Pace doesn't seem strong and is the deserved favourite.
#14 East: Not drawn well but she has progressed well early in her career. More improvement to come and that makes her dangerous.
#5 La Pelosa: Race fell into her hands at Woodbine but she's drawn well to get a good trip again here.

Race 7 (Juvenile Fillies):
#3 Vibrance: Willing to take a shot and give her another chance as I don't think leading through 22 and change is her game. Was impressive in her win prior to that and had a nice spin over the surface a few days ago.
#10 Bellafina: Reeled off three straight impressive wins, particularly showing nice rating ability last time out. A similar stalking trip gives the fav a commanding chance but may be caught a bit wide and for that reason I'll put her second.
#4 Restless Rider: Can't fault much she has done performance wise, improving with every start. This is her home track and looks relatively good value.
#7 Jaywalk: Bred to handle the two-turn route and showed two back that she didn't need the lead. Faces the class test this time.

Race 8 (Juvenile Turf):
#5 Line of Duty: Has yet to run in the classiest events, but most of his runs are turning out to be key races. Has been on an upward path with each start and seems to constantly get into good positions. Dangerous if a Masar-type trip doesn't happen.
#14 Anthony Van Dyck: Nothing wrong with his runs behind some of the top 2yos in his last two. Just have to query whether he's at his best on wet ground. Connections won this race last year as well as from post 14 in 2015.
#6 Henley's Joy: Was quite impressed by his run in defeat, battling gamely between horses to only lose on the bob.
#8 Opry: Thought Castellano moved him too early last time out. Worth another shot at a price after being the fav.

Race 9 (Juvenile):
#9 Game Winner: Has the best form, has the best numbers, has a running style that suits the race. Deserved fav will be tough to beat.
#11 Code of Honor is SCR...
#2 Mr. Money: Nothing wrong with his 5f debut and got smacked around repeatedly crossing onto the main track in his second start. Got a great trip last time out but took his win well over the course and distance and seems a live bomb.
#6 Complexity: Obviously has quality, but hard to see him getting a loose lead going a pace that will see him there at the finish.
#12 Gunmetal Gray

$0.60 Pick Five
Race 5: 8, 10, 12
Race 6: 2, 6, 14
Race 7: 3, 4, 10
Race 8: 5, 14
Race 9: 2, 6, 9
$97.20

$0.60 Pick Four
Race 6: 2, 6, 14
Race 7: 3, 4, 7, 10
Race 8: 5, 6, 7, 8, 14
Race 9: 2, 6, 9
$108.00

Good luck!

[stonecutter]

Thanks...enjoyed write ups.

[moses]

Thanks Kitan. Good luck!