ok BC bettors help me out with this....

[wac]

How in the world do some of these horses win these races??? I cashed 3 tix all day and they were on both juvy horses place on octave w/p on street sense and the ex. but:
1)FM turf ok i told everyone in box the ob was a monster but satwa queen just didnt do much so i can live with that one ok to get beat by a great one
2)sprint- how in the hell does thors echo win that race? last out was a 116 which i think was one of his best ever how does he not bouce? was so frazzled about this race didn't even bet.
3)mile-miesque approval i saw this horse run at Keen and he just didnt look like he did much that day what did i miss?
4)Distaff- played spun sugar b/c i figured would be won by a horse close to lead but not on it round pond really good horse but her odds were pretty good so i figured a lot of people missed here. To add onto the suckiness of this race the tragedy with Pine Island really just put a real cloud over whole thing. Yes, i did say tragedy b/c i really think it is.
5)turf- not too upset with this as had red rocks in ex but scorpion/cacique didnt run a lick i really liked scorpion 2nd off layoff and appeard to be a good horse on paper with back class
6)classic- i thought invasor was sick and missed training was stunned to see 11 run by berni like that b4 race went off thought 6/5 was a gift on berni but bet prmium tap wp

My ? is if you picked some of these long shots what made you pick them? What part of there PP's made you go "yes, here is a good bet"

any help would be appreciated as i am realitively new to the game thnaks

[SCUDSBROTHER]

The question about the winner of the sprint is easily answered by the unfortunate bias favoring the inside on the dirt track today.As you can see,the top 2 posts came in regardless of moderate ability.

[intense]

I too am perplexed by some of todays winners but in certain races you need to look for value. That is how I think some of these people hit these races.

[letswastemoney]

Never bet the favorite. Never bet horses that don't have the right beyer figures..Just look for value around 5-1 to 30-1 and make sure they have a legitimate chance.

In the distaff you had the two favs pull up so that explains the long shot. But the Distaff you had 13 Grade I winners. Not shocked at all that Round Pound won. Especially being on the rail. The mile is what gets me. I cant figure that one out. Invasor only missed a few hours of training. He really wasnt sick to the point where he missed days of training. I thought the post would get him.