1/26: Gulfstream (4th-12th)

[Kasept]

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


WEATHER NOW A FACTOR WITH RAIN ALREADY HITTING AND EXPECTED OFF/ON THROUGHOUT THE DAY


4th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Tripwire 12-1 DNF-Cardiac Incident
Next Best: #13 Ranger Up 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 High Amplitude 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Identifier 7-2 5th


5th: Ladies Turf Sprint, F&M-4+, 5f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Cherry Lodge WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #7 Razorback Lady 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Smiling Causeway 4th


6th: South Beach, F&M-4+, 7.5f-T/0' (P3, DD, Hi-5)

A number of notable surface switches/lawn returns going here including Everyonelovesjimmy (Jimmy Creed), Piedi Bianchi (Overanalyze) & Road to Victory (Quality Road). As discussed with Ian Wilkes this week, 'Jimmy' likely wanted grass all along, but was given every chance on the main as a 3yo. At 12-1, stands every chance to set pace or draft along inside if exterior pace players insist on the point..

Best Value: #4 Everyonelovesjimmy 12-1 11th
Next Best: #9 Dolce Lili 5-1 WON ($8.60)
Exotics Use: #7 Fizzy Friday 10-1 7th
Super Add: #12 Road to Victory 4-1 12th


7th: Hurricane Bertie (G3), F&M-4+, 7f (Rainbow 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Shamrock Rose, Dream Pauline & Blamed will take the money leaving us with overlays elsewhere. Ms Meshak is 'good now' and another step forward makes her competitive with these. Figures to stalk Blamed or sit behind duel if one develops between that one and Dream Pauline. Wet going a plus..

Best Value: #6 Ms Meshak 20-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Blamed 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Awestruck 6-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Shamrock Rose 2-1 4th


8th: La Prevoyante (G3), F&M-4+, 12f-T/0' (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

This feels chaotic with mares coming from all over. English Affair (8-1) started to get good last summer and peaked when earning G3 black type in Cardinal win. Sire English Channel gets improvement in his progeny as they reach maturity and they LOVE cut in the ground. Castellano gets the call. Sign me up..

Best Value: #3 English Affair 8-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Holy Helena 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Santa Monica 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Si Que Es Buena 6-1 WON ($17.00)


P4 Grid:

5: 4 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)
6: 4-9 (A), 7-12 (B), 1-14 (C)
7: 3-5-6 (A), 2-4-8 (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-9 (A), - (B), 5-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x6x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 1x2x3x3 = $18 ($9 for .50)


9th: Hooper (G3), 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Aztec Sense 7-2 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #8 Copper Town 6-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Unbridled Juan 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Breaking Lucky 9-2 2nd


10th: McKnight (G3), 4+, 12f-T/0' (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Canessar 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Soglio 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Zulu Alpha 4-1 WON ($6.60)
Super Add: #15 Sentry 20-1 8th


11th: Pegasus Turf Cup (G1), 4+, 9.5f-T/96' (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Delta Prince 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Bricks and Mortar 5-1 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Aerolithe 8-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Channel Maker 12-1 5th


12th: Pegasus Cup (G1), 3+, 9f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Accelerate 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #3 City of Light 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #6 Tom's d'Etat 20-1 9th
Exotics Use: #8 Gunnevara 8-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #4 Seeking the Soul 12-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

8: 1-3-9 (A), - (B), 5-7-8 (C)
9: 6-8 (A), 4-9 (B), 10 (C)
10: 7 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
11: 4-7-8 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-5-9 (C)
12: 3-5 (A), - (B), 4-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

9: 6-8 (A), 4-9 (B), 10 (C)
10: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), 12-14-15 (C)
11: 4-7-8 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-5-9 (C)
12: 3-5 (A), - (B), 4-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/1,4,11,13/7/3) Paid $83.20


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

Marty McGee, Gulfstream Park, 2019-01-26 - DRF Live

Early SCRATCHES on a miserably rainy @PegasusWorldCup Day @GulfstreamPark

For most of the last 30 days, the weather has been ideal here in South Florida. So what happens when Pegasus World Cup Day rolls around? Yup, pure misery.

It's been raining since the wee hours, and there's little sign of things letting up as the 12-race Pegasus card unfolds. The forecast calls for a 60-to-90-percent chance of rain alllllll day, with the high temperature reaching only 67.

First post is 11:30 a.m. ET, with the $7 million Pegasus Turf going at about 4:50 and the $9 million Pegasus at about 5:40. The two big races will be shown live on NBC (4:30-6). There are no early scratches in either race as of 9:45 a.m.

Making an educated guess that the main track will be sloppy and floated all day, and already the first 3 turf races of the card (R1, R3, R5) have been shifted to the main track; that leaves 4 stakes (South Beach, La Prevoyante, McKnight, Pegasus Turf) still on turf. There are scratches aplenty, but it's worth noting that the rematch between STORMY LIBERAL and WORLD OF TROUBLE, is still on, albeit at 5 furlongs in the soup in the GP Turf (not) Sprint (R3).

Here are the early SCR:

R1 (off turf): 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 10, 11, 15, 16

R3 (off turf): 2, 6

R5 (off turf): 2, 5, 10

R6 (still on turf as of 9:45): 13, 15, 16

R9: 1, 5

R10: 1, 11, 13

[Kasept]

GP SCR/CHG'S

Keep checking.. Trainers can pull out of stakes at will. Peter Miller, furious at boys race coming off, SCR'ing Stormy Liberal and the 2 in the Ladies..