11/28: Aqueduct (6th-10th); Churchill (X-C P5)

[Kasept]

AQUEDUCT/CHURCHILL DOWNS ~ X-C P5


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Rugged Union 5-2 6th
Next Best: #6 All Mo 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Subsidize 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Return the Ring 10-1 WON ($12.40)


AQUEDUCT 7th: Central Park, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Never Surprised 5-2 WON ($6.50)
Next Best: #10 Royne 5-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Catman 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Scarlett Sky 6-1 4th


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Center Aisle 3-5 3rd
Next Best: #1 Critical Value 5-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Glass Ceiling 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Undine 6-1 6th


AQUEDUCT 9th: Turf Championship, 3+, 6f-Outer Turf (DD)

Best Value: #4 True Valour 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Archidust 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Therapist 7-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Battle Station 12-1 7th


AQUEDUCT 10th: Long Island (G3), F&M-3+, 11f-T

Best Value: #6 English Affair 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Mutamakina 7-2 WON ($5.90)
Exotics Use: #11 Hungry Kitten 9-2 11th
Super Add: #1 Eliade 9-2 4th


P5 Grid:

6: 2-6 (A), - (B), 8 (C)
7: 8-10 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)
8: 8 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
9: 4-9-10 (A), - (B), 2-6-7 (C)
10: 4-6-11 (A), 1-3-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $9 (8) + $18 (5-9) + $18 (2-6-7) = $45


P4 Grid:

7: 8-10 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)
8: 1-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-9-10 (A), 2-6-7 (B), 3-8 (C)
10: 4-6-11 (A), 1-3-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x6x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (5-9) + $12 (3-8) = $30


CHURCHILL 8th: OC/N1X, 2yo-F, 8f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Minute Waltz 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #9 Spun d'Etat 6-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Army Wife 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Tiz Splendid News 5-1 4th


CHURCHILL 9th: Golden Rod (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Simply Ravishing figures tough here of course, but there are scenarios where a jump up or stretch out compicate the assignment for her. Coach (Cox) is 3 for 3; Farsighted must go 2 turns but keeps improving for Rusty Arnold; OH-bred Alexandria ran evenly when 3rd to Girl Daddy in the Pocahontas when asked to go a mile and subsequenty demolished buckeye babes at today's trip; Clairiere (Curlin/Cavorting) aced Downs debut at today's distance and is going to be overlooked..

Most Likely: #8 Simply Ravishing 1-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Coach 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Farsighted 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Clairiere 6-1 2nd


CHURCHILL 10th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Founder 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 King's Ovation 8-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Mandaloun 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Twirling Mamba 15-1 6th


CHURCHILL 11th: Kentucky Jockey Club (G2), 2yo, 8.5f (DD)

Best Value: #2 Swill 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 (POE) Sittin On Go 5-1 6th/2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Keepmeinmind 6-5 WON ($6.00)
Super Add: #7 King Fury 6-1 5th


CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid:

AQ 7: 8-10 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)
AQ 9: 4-9-10 (A), - (B), 2-6-7 (C)
AQ 10: 4-6-11 (A), 1-3-9 (B), - (C)
CD 9: 8 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
CD 11: 1-2 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x6x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (5-9) + $18 (2-6-7) + $18 (3) = $54


CHURCHILL 12th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Outasite 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Repo Rocks 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Runway Magic 4-1 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Laughing Boy 10-1 -
Hi-5 Play: #3 Vancouver Moon 10-1 4th


CHURCHILL LATE P5 Grid:

8: 2-4-9 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 8 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
10: 1-6 (A), 8-10 (B), - (C)
11: 1-2 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
12: 4-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $12 (5-6) + $18 (3) = $30


CHURCHILL LATE P4 Grid:

9: 8 (A), 3 (B), 4-6 (C)
10: 1-6-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-2 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
12: 4-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 1x4x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $24 (4-6)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

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