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#1
02-06-2021, 07:41 AM
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2/6: Tampa Bay Downs (8th-12th); Aqueduct (7th-8th; X-C P5)
TAMPA BAY DOWNS ~ CROSS COUNTRY P5
POST-SCRATCHES 8th: Tampa Bay (G3), 4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5) Interesting group and countless price options, so try to be creative and aggressive. Armistice Day (10-1) can fire fresh and best turf tries contend.. Best Value: #11 Armistice Day 10-1 11th Next Best: #10 Fancy Liquor 3-1 6th Exotics Use: #2 Admission Office 6-1 3rd Super Add: #9 Sole Volante 15-1 9th AQUEDUCT 7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 7f (P3, DD) Cross Country P5 Starts Here.. On paper, Mabel Island way the filly to beat, but she's never won 2 in a row reacting negatively to every big effort. Most Likely: #2 Fair Lassie 7-2 3rd Best Value: #6 Ifihadachance 5-1 8th Next Best: #4 Mabel Island 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #3 Ellarella 7-2 6th TAMPA 9th: Suncoast, 3yo-F, 1m-40y (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #2 Feeling Mischief 9-2: SCR of the 2 faves makes her the one to catch, beat.. 5th Next Best: #9 Il Malocchio 10-1 3rd Best Value: #8 Be Sneaky 12-1 2nd Exotics Use: #10 Special Princess 8-1 4th AQUEDUCT 8th: Withers (G3), 3yo, 9f (DD) Best Value: #1 Shackqueenking 10-1: 9f will suit with best efforts coming around 2 turns.. 8th Next Best: #5 Risk Taking 5-2 WON ($5.80) Exotics Use: #2 Royal Number 6-1 4th Super Add: #3 Capo Kane 3-1 3rd TAMPA 10th: Endeavour (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #5 Counterparty Risk 5-2 WON ($3.80) Next Best: #6 New York Girl 4-1 2nd Best Value: #8 Iron of Reality 8-1 5th Exotics Use: #7 Kelsey's Cross 6-1 6th TAMPA 11th: Sam F. Davis (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5) Pairs from Pletcher & Mott merit plenty of respect, but note race has had only 1 successful fave ($5 McCraken in '17) in last 5 runnings with average winner in the 7-1 range. And as has been widely cited, Known Agenda won't be 6-1.. Best Value: #6 Runway Magic 8-1 7th Next Best: #3 Known Agenda 6-1 5th Exotics Use: #8 Nova Rags 4-1 2nd Super Add: #1 Hidden Stash 10-1 3rd CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid: AQU 7: 2-4-6 (A), 1-3-5-7 (B), - (C) TAM 9: 2 (A), - (B), 9 (C) AQU 8: 1-2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C) TAM 10: 5 (A), - (B), 3-6-7-8 (C) TAM 11: 3-6 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 7x1x4x1x4 = 112 x .50 = $56 All A's: 3x1x4x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 Backup: $12 (9) + $48 (3-6-7-8) 12th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 7f (Hi-5) Best Value: #7 Free Flayme 6-1 6th Next Best: #3 Indy Ride 5-1 WON-Up via DQ ($10.80) Exotics Use: #5 Shakem N Breakem 12-1 5th Super Add: #10 First Degree 4-1 4th P5 Grid: 8: 2-10-11 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C) 9: 2 (A), - (B), 9 (C) 10: 5-6-8 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C) 11: 3-6 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C) 12: 3-7 (A), - (B), 5-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 5x1x3x4x2 = 120 x .50 = $60 All A's: 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backups: $18 (9) + $12 (3-7) + $18 (5-10) P4 Grid: 9: 2-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 5-6-8 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C) 11: 3-6 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C) 12: 3-5-7 (A), 8-10 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60 All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup: $12 (3-7) Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 02-06-2021 at 07:10 PM. 
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#4
02-06-2021, 12:29 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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