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Old 07-21-2021, 02:32 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,666
Default 7/21: Saratoga (Day 5; 5th-10th)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Raffinity 3-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #5 Gallina 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Handle the Truth 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Live in Five 8-1 2nd


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Let's Be Clear 7-2 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #10 Take the Backroads 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 Next Tuesday 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Gabriela's Miracle 12-1 4th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Should this stay on the lawn, it poses the biggest challenge of the Pick-X sequences with murky pace scenario and a preponderance of contenders..

Best Value: #2 Fair Haired Boy 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Prefect 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Win d'Oro 6-1 4th
Super Add: #12 Gimme Some Mo 4-1 7th


8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Alphalfa 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Shiraz 5-1 WON ($13.00)
Exotics Use: #12 Fast Getaway 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 (POE) Discretionary Marq 9-2 5th


9th: OC/N3X, 3+, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #1 West Will Power 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Highest Honors 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Forza Di Oro 9-5 WON ($5.40)
Super Add: #7 American Dubai 10-1 4th


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-OFF/TURF

Most Likely: #3 Damilano 3rd
Next Best: #6 On Our Way Boyz 4th
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) Vancouver's Pride 9th/WON ($8.00)
Super Add: #2 Perfect Banker -


P6 Grid:

5: 7 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
6: 6-10 (A), - (B), 9 (C)
7: 2-9 (A), 10-12 (B), 5-11 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), - (B), 1-12 (C)
9: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x2x3x1 = $96
All A's: 1x2x2x2x3x1 = $24
Backups: $12 (9) + $24 (5-11) + $24 (1-12)


P5 Grid:

6: 6-10 (A), - (B), 9 (C)
7: 2-9-10 (A), 5-11-12 (B), - (C)
8: 4-6 (A), 1-12 (B), - (C)
9: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3 (A), - (B), 6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x4x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $12 (9) + $18 (6)


P4 Grid:

7: 2-9-10 (A), 5-11-12 (B), - (C)
8: 4-6 (A), 1-12 (B), - (C)
9: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3 (A), - (B), 6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x3x1 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x3x1 = $9 ($4.50 for .50)
Backups: $9 (6) ~ $4.50 for .50


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 07-21-2021 at 05:18 PM.
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