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8/7: Saratoga (Day 18; Whitney, Test, Derby)
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES 5th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD) High profile SAR day brings out the high profile 2yo's. Brigadier & Martini have advantage of starts, but firster Vodka Mardini out of GSW Hot City Girl and totes series of 5f drills that signal preparedness. Possibly record-breaker for Asmussen who enters the day tied for all time win tally.. Most Likely: #6 Vodka Mardini 8-1 7th Next Best: #2 Brigadier General 3-1 5th Best Value: #4 Martini'nmoonshine 15-1 9th Exotics Use: #8 Imminent Smoke 12-1 6th 6th: Lure-R, 4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Flavius 3-1 WON ($4.70) Best Value: #2 Delaware 9-2 5th Next Best: #3 Value Proposition 2-1 3rd Exotics Use: #11 Dreams of Tomorrow 8-1 4th 7th: Glens Falls (G2), F&M-4+, 12f-IT (P6, P3, DD) Three turner is devoid of speed which raises the question whether War Like Goddess will be left with too much to do. Sense that this isn't as open and shut as you might think with potential for someone to make a move that changes the dynamics. Orglandes is 2/2 with Irad Ortiz, closing both both times into slow paces. Needs to improve to win, but feels like a catalyst at the right price.. Most Likely: #3 War Like Goddess 8-5 WON ($3.70) Best Value: #4 Orglandes 10-1 6th Next Best: #6 Dalika 9-2 5th Exotics Use: #5 My Sister Nat 3-1 2nd 8th: Test (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD) A race that never disappoints with a perfect melange of 6-7f sprinters and routers turning back.. Best Value: #8 Bella Sofia 6-1: Upside yet & open air outside box.. WON ($10.40) Next Best: #7 Search Results 5-2: An Oaks neck from being unbeaten at 6f-1m-9f.. 3rd Exotics Use: #2 Souper Sensational 6-1: Repeat of last scores for Mrs. Weber.. 2nd Super Add: #4 Obligatory 4-1: Late runner qualifies to get any piece.. 5th 9th: Saratoga Derby (G1), 3yo, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Tough to argue against the invaders, including French Frankel import Soldier Rising who's been working steadily for North American debut in Clement barn and is underexposed.. Most Likely: #4 Cadillac 4-19th Best Value: #1 Soldier Rising 12-1 2nd Next Best: #6 Bolshoi Ballet 2-1 4th Exotics Use: #9 State of Rest 10-1 WON ($44.20) 10th: Whitney (G1), 4+, 9f (P3, DD) Tremendous quintet ~ all with 7 career wins ~ for this Handicap Division meet standard. Knicks Go has pace edge, yes, but note he comes back off Lasix, has reacted to big efforts previously, faces deepest set of foes yet and was bested by Silver State & By My Standards 60 days ago. Should be fascinating affair.. Most Likely: #4 Knicks Go 6-5 WON ($4.10) Best Value: #1 By My Standards 10-1 5th Next Best: #5 Maxfield 8-5 2nd All Stakes (Mandatory) P5 Grid: 6: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 3-4 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C) 8: 7-8 (A), 2-4-5 (B), - (C) 9: 1-4-6 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C) 10: 4 (A), - (B), 1-2-5 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x5x1 = 150 x .50 = $75 All A's: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backups: $18 (5-6) + $54 (1-2-5) $0.50 Pick-5 (1,3,5,6,8,10/3/8/9/4) Paid $438.25 x 2 = $876.50 11th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (DD) Risk Taking back here and receives 1st Lasix. 6-1? Sign me up.. Best Value: #3 Risk Taking 6-1 4th Next Best: #2 Superfecto 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Danny California 5-2 WON ($15.80) Super Add: #6 Air Attack 8-1 6th 12th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T Most Likely: #7 Time Limit 9-2 WON ($10.40) Best Value: #10 Bay Storm 6-1 5th Next Best: #3 Sussex Garden 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #6 Risky Mischief 7-2 2nd P5 Grid: 8: 7-8 (A), 2-4-5 (B), - (C) 9: 1-4-6 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C) 10: 4 (A), - (B), 1-2-5 (C) 11: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C) 12: 3-7-10 (A), - (B), 6-11 (C) Simple (A+B): 5x5x1x2x3 = 150 x .50 = $75 All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backups: $54 (1-2-5) + $12 (6-11) P4 Grid: 9: 1-4-6 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C) 10: 1-4 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C) 11: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C) 12: 3-7-10 (A), - (B), 6-9-11 (C) Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60 All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backups: $18 (6-11) Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-07-2021 at 07:37 PM. |
#2
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No love for Swiss Skydiver Steve?
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#3
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Tough for me to see her beating these.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#4
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In order to win, I think she’d have to send and hope Knicks Go doesn’t fire at all and then hold off the others. It’s possible. But I don’t love her chances, especially off lasix.
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#5
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Tremendous day Steve, great job on the All Stakes P5!
Let's keep it rolling. Congrats and thanks as always!! |
#6
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Nice job today Steve.
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#7
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The reason I asked Steve about SS is, he has #4 as an A & 1,2,5 as C's in a 5 horse field.
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#8
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Great opinions!!! Very close to sweeping the day.
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#9
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Nice picking Steve. That's back to back P5's.
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#10
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Awesome capping Steve
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#11
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THX Larry.. Fun afternoon. Hope all did well.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#12
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THX Gam.. Nice to have a day where things run mostly as you envision.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#13
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Thanks.. 'Sweeping' needed to include Danny California in the late P5, a miscue that left $3,500 on the table. Was disappointed, but would have had to be a B which made the main play $112.50 which exceeds the budget I prefer to maintain. Hope some people felt compelled to include him..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#14
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THX! Have hit 4 now averaging about $1,000 which goes a long way towards having a profitable season.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#15
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THX.. I made Soldier Rising the CapOTB 'Play of the Day' thinking that he would be the longest price of the Euro types and 14.60-1 was nice and he ran well.. But State of Rest at 21-1 was absolutely crazy. Tremendous job by Mike Beer who made him his Best Bet of the day.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#16
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Thx! Hope all got something.. Let's get some more today..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |