9/25: Parx (6th-13th); Churchill (10th; Cross Country P5)

[Kasept]

PHILADELPHIA PARX


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: PA-Plum Pretty, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Are we sure the wonderful (10/9-1-0) Chub Wagon wants to go this far.. Vulnerable late?

Most Likely: #1 Vault 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Chub Wagon 8-5 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #5 Trolley Ride 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Precious 9-2 5th


7th: Parx Dirt Mile, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 West Will Power 5-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Silver State 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Mind Control 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #7 Warrior's Charge 6-1 3rd


8th: Greenwood Cup (G3), 3+, 12f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Shooger Ray Too 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Sheer Flattery 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Moretti 2-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Sea Foam 8-1 8th


9th: Turf Monster (G3), 3+, 5f-T (Philly 5, P3, DD)

Terrific group..

Best Value: #4 Carotari 9-2 DH-6th
Next Best: #8 Caravel 9-5 DH-6th
Exotics Use: #5 Firecrow 7-2 4th
Super Add: #1 Beer Can Man 8-1 2nd


10th: Gallant Bob (G2), 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Jackie's Warrior 4-5 WON ($2.10)
Best Value: #4 Pickin' Time 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Beren 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Real Talk 5-1 3rd


11th: Cotillion (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Army Wife 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Always Carina 9-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Clairiere 9-5 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Leader of the Band 12-1 6th


P4 Grid:

8: 5-7 (A), 3-8 (B), - (C)
9: 4-8 (A), 1-5 (B), 9-12 (C)
10: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 5-6-8 (A), 1-4-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x1x3 = 12 x .50 = $6
Backup: 5-7 with 9-12 with 7 with 5-6-8 = 2x2x1x3 = 12 x .50 = $6


12th: Pennsylvania Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

ML was revised after Medina Spirit SCR but not with additional SCR of Keepmeinmind. These are my own guesses

Most Likely: #7 Hot Rod Charlie 6-5 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #8 Midnight Bourbon 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 American Revolution 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Speaker's Corner 9-2 6th


13th: PA-Alphabet Soup, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #1 You Must Chill 9-2 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #5 Papal Law 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Wait for It 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Prince of Rain 8-1 6th


Philly 5 Force Out Grid:

9: 4-8 (A), 1-5 (B), 9-12 (C)
10: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 5-6-8 (A), 1-4-9 (B), - (C)
12: 7-8 (A), - (B), 10 (C)
13: 1-5-7 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (9-12) + $9 (10) + $12 (3-7)


P4 Grid:

10: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-4-5-6-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 7-8 (A), - (B), 10 (C)
13: 1-5-7 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x2x5 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A's: 1x6x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $9 (10)

$1 Pick 4 (2/5/7-6/7-2/7/9-1/10) Paid $47.60 ($23.80 for .50)



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


10th: Harrods Creek, 3yo, 7f (DD)

Best Value: #3 Bob's Edge 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Wolfie's Dynaghost 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 He'smyhoneybadger 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Emerald Forest 7-2 5th


Cross Country P5 Grid:

PRX 10: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
PRX 11: 5-6-8 (A), - (B), 1-4-9 (C)
CD 10: 3-4-8 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
PRX 12: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
BEL 10: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x3x2x2 = $36 ($18 for .50)
.50 Backups: $18 (1-4-9) + $12 (1-5)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

PRX SCR/CHG'S