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#1
09-21-2023, 05:15 AM
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9/21: Aqueduct ($86k P6 C/O)
BELMONT AT AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES 4th: OC/C, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD) Maniacally difficult sequence. Even if logicals win, will pay handsomely given all the compelling necessary coverage.. Any of the 7 (SCR #1a) can win. And this is the first leg! Most Likely: #2 Kuramata 5-2 2nd Best Value: #3 Tut's Revenge 12-1 5th Next Best: #4 Duke of Hazzard 3-1 WON ($5.50) Exotics Use: #6 Winfromwithin 4-1 4th 5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer (P5, G/S, P3, DD) A dozen maidens that are thoroughly impossible to decipher. Look at Jane Lyon home bred Nyxed for instance, who is first time with Linda Rice after nearly a year away and a half to GSW & G1 placed Moon Over Miami. She's 12-1 making her 3yo debut. Can win. Use as many as you can afford.. Best Value: #5 Nyxed 12-1 4th-DQ'd to 11th Next Best: #6 Queen of the Mud 10-1 WON ($22.00) Exotics Use: #1 Madaket's Arrow 9-2 5th Super Add: #9 Isola 8-1 10th 6th: CLM, 3+m 1m (P4, P3, DD) Budget tix will likely lean on Six Percent, but there are a few others that wouldn't shock. Burgee runs races that fit, but do you trust Shivmangel 6 weeks after claim? Castellano 'sees fit to ride'. Forty Two Ace, Salto de Tigre and Durkin's Call are plausible too.. Most Likely: #4 Six Percent 3-1 7th Best Value: #7 Burgee 12-1 6th Next Best: #2b (POE) Forty Two Ace 8-1 8th/WON ($3.30) Exotics Use: #9 Just Call Ray 6-1 2nd 7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD) Some stakes types here and a Brant/Brown first North America in Francesco Clemente. Ribaudo's Daunt the horse to beat out of the Sword Dancer/Bowling Green tries upstate.. Most Likely: #4 Daunt 7-2 3rd Best Value: #2 Tide of the Sea 10-1 5th Next Best: #8 Francesco Clemente 8-5 4th Exotics Use: #1 Exact Estimate 4-1 WON ($5.20) 8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (DD) Best Value: #6 Radio Red 9-2 3rd Next Best: #5 Perfect Munnings 5-2 8th Exotics Use: #4 Mariachi 7-2 WON ($9.00) Super Add: #8 Big Engine 6-1 7th 9th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3+, 8.5f-Outer Most Likely: #11 Myles 5-1 9th Best Value: #4 Fast Study 10-1 6th Next Best: #12 Atlanta's Acuna 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #7 Utamaro 8-1 12th P6 Grid: 4: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 5-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 4 (A), 7 (B), - (C) 7: 4 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 5-6 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C) 9: 4-11-12 (A), - (B), 7-9-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x1x4x3 = $96 All A's: 2x2x1x1x2x3 = $24 Backup (A-A-A-A-A-C): 2x2x1x1x2x3 = $24 (7-9-10 in 9th) P5 Grid: 5: 5-6 (A), - (B), 1-9 (C) 6: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 4 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 5-6 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C) 9: 4-11-12 (A), 7-9-10 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x3x1x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (C-A-A-A-A): 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-6 in 5th) P4 Grid: 6: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 4 (A), - (B), 1-2-8 (C) 8: 5-6 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C) 9: 4-7-11-12 (A), 9-10 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x6 = 72 x .50 = $36 All A's: 2x1x2x4 = 24 x .50 = $12 Backup (A-C-A-A): 3x3x2x3 = 54 x .50 = $27 (1-2-8 in 7th) Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 09-21-2023 at 07:28 PM. 
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