Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-28-2023, 03:59 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,110
Default 10/28: Aqueduct (4th-11th); Keeneland (8th-9th)

BELMONT AT AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 7f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 (POE) Big Bobby 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Magnolia Midnight 7-2 WON ($5.70)
Exotics Use: #5 Scilly Cay 8-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Sagamore Mischief 7-2 2nd


5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 More Than Vows 9-2 7th
Next Best: #6 You Look Cold 5-2 WON ($6.70)
Exotics Use: #1 Taming the Tigress 3-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Lady Milagro 8-1 4th


6th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Dontmesswithtess 3-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Miss Kristy 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Diamond Status 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Elle Est Forte 9-2 2nd


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-Outer (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Redistricting 6-5 WON ($2.90)
Next Best: #10 Capture the Flag 6-1 4th
Best Value: #8 My Imagination 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Quality G 8-1 2nd


8th: Mother Goose (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Xigera 6-5 WON ($4.10)
Best Value: #7 Defining Purpose 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Occult 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Undervalued Asset 8-1 6th


P5 Grid:

4: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 7-8 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C)
7: 5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-6-7 (A), 1-2-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups (A-A-C-A-A): 2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (1 in 4th)


P4 Grid:

5: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 7-8 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
7: 5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-5-6-7 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backups (A-A-A-C): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-2 in 8th)


9th: Awad, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

All so lightly raced that it's hard to know who moves forward. Blue Creek has experience and fitness going for him. Don't hold KY Downs tries against Move to Gold & British Sea. Euro import Innate and unknown quantity/fresh face..

Best Value: #4 Blue Creek 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Move to Gold 9-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Innate 9-2 4th
Super Add: #8 Spirit Prince 8-5 2nd


10th: Forty Niner (G2), 3+, 1m (DD)

Speed aplenty lined up.. Dr Ardito to get to them late? Price is square..

Best Value: #5 Dr Ardito 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Accretive 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Everso Mischievous 5-2 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #4 Film Star 3-1 4th


11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer

Best Value: #5 Wish List 8-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Karen's Broomstick 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Nyxed 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Riviere 5-1 8th


P5 Grid:

7: 5 (A), 10 (B), - (C)
8: 5-6-7 (A), 1-2-4 (B), - (C)
9: 3-4 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C)
10: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-C-A-A): 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-8 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

8: 5-6-7 (A), 4 (B), 1-2 (C)
9: 3-4 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
10: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (C-A-A-A): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-2 in 8th)



KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: Bryan Station (G3), 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Gigante 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Talk of the Nation 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Smokey Mandate 9-2 4th
Super Add: #10 Appraise 8-1 8th


9th: Fayette (G2), 3+, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #5 Twilight Blue 15-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Trademark 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Law Professor 8-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Il Miracolo 6-1 2nd


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 10-28-2023 at 04:50 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-28-2023, 10:45 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,110
Default

AQU SCR/CHG'S

KEE SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-28-2023, 01:18 PM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,760
Default

Every time I think it was the worst beat ever I get surprised in the future Quick Munny now the leader in the Clubhouse
__________________
Staged
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:43 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.