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Old 03-09-2024, 08:13 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,666
Default 3/9: Tampa Bay Downs (5th-12th)

TAMPA BAY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: Columbia, 3yo, 1m-T (All Stakes P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Fulmineo 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Move to Gold 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Two Ghosts 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Tok Tok 3-1 7th


8th: H'cap, F&M-4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Sterling Silver 8-5 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #3 Dream Concert 3-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Easy Come Easy Go 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Lady Radler 6-1 6th


9th: Hillsborough (G2), F&M-4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Star Fortress 7-2 5th
Best Value: #7 Elusive Princess 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Fluffy Socks 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Sparkle Blue 8-1 WON ($15.40)


10th: Florida Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Absolutely wild assembly of fillies. Mix and match prices and take a big swing..

Most Likely: #10 Weight the Risks 6-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Destiny Star 8-1 8th
Best Value: #1 Poolside With Slim 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Dynamic Pricing 7-2 7th


11th: Tampa Bay Derby (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Domestic Product 8-5 WON
Best Value: #10 Sturdy 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 No More Time 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Grand Mo the First 12-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

7: 3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
9: 7-8 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
10: 1-8-10-11 (A), 5-6-7-12 (B), - (C)
11: 5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x4x8x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x1x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (ACAAA): 2x1x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (3 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

8: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 7-8 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
10: 1-8-10-11 (A), 5-6-7-12 (B), - (C)
11: 5-10 (A), - (B), 7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x8x2 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A's: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (ACAAA): 2x2x4x1 = 16 x .50 = $8 (7 in 11th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (1,2,4,6/3/3,5/ALL) Paid $69.30 x 2 = $138.60



12th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

CANCELLED

Most Likely: #3 Notinamillionyears 5-2
Next Best: #2 Startup Mentality 7-5
Exotics Use: #9 Sirius Light 10-1
Super Add: #5 Where's Emma 12-1


P4 Grid:

9: 7-8 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
10: 1-8-10 (A), 5-6-11 (B), 7-12 (C)
11: 5-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: (CAAA) 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-3 in 9th); (ACAA) 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (7-12 in 10th)


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 03-10-2024 at 12:17 PM.
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