8/11: Saratoga ~ Day 24 (Derby, Fourstardave); Ellis Park (5th-10th)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Coquito 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Save Us Melania 3-1 WON ($4.10)
Exotics Use: #5 Bam Bam 5-2 7th
Super Add: #7 Negra Gata 6-1 8th


5th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (Late P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Cattani 2-1 9th
Best Value: #10 Mazzei 5-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Judge Rules 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Charming Jim 8-1 3rd


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Has the makings of a good group..

Best Value: #5 Table Flirt 4-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Trading Strategy 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Quickick 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Tejanita 5-1 6th


P4 Grid:

3: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 5-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 4-5 (A), 2-6-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


7th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f (Special P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Beach Boy Al 7-2 4th
Next Best: #7 Mister J T 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Nottoway 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Joking Way 8-1 3rd


8th: Mahony-L, 3yo, 5.5f-T (Special P4, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Mansa Musa 5-2 7th
Best Value: #2 Howard Wolowitz 12-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Works for Me 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Yellow Card 6-1 6th


9th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f

Best Value: #5 Anthracite 8-1 2nd ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #1 J J's Joker 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 That's Money 9-5 5th
Super Add: #4 Dad's Good Runner SCR'D


P5 Grid:

5: 2-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 4-5 (A), - (B), 2-6-7 (C)
7: 6-7 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
8: 7 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAAA): 3x3x2x1x3 = 54 x .50 = $27 (2-6-7 in 6th)


P4 Grid:

6: 4-5-6 (A), 2-7 (B), - (C)
7: 6-7 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
8: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


10th: Fourstardave (G1), 3+, 1m-Inner (DD)

BEAT BYK ~ Week 5: https://www.ntra.com/nhc/beatbyk/

Most Likely: #4 Carl Spackler 9-5 WON ($6.10)
Next Best: #7 More Than Looks 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Strong Quality 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Ottoman Fleet 8-5 3rd


11th: Saratoga Derby (G1), 3yo, 9.5f-T

SCR First World War (KY Downs) and Trikari (CNL)..

Most Likely: #6 Deterministic 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Fulmineo 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Legend of Time 5-2 2nd


P5 Grid:

7: 6-7 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
8: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4 (A), 7 (B), 1-6 (C)
11: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 2x2x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (1-6 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

8: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-7 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
11: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), 2-3-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-3-4 in 11th)



ELLIS PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: R. A. 'Cowboy' Jones, 3+, 1m (.20 P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Mr. Wireless 5-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Saudi Crown 7-5 WON ($3.36)
Exotics Use: #8 Injunction 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Prevalence 10-1 9th


6th: Ellis Park Derby, 3yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Who Dey 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Not This Boy 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Catalytic SCR
Exotics Use: #2 Most Wanted 7-2 WON ($8.06)


7th: ELP Juvenile, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Politically Correct 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Owen Almighty 9-5 WON ($3.34)
Best Value: #5 Mr. Squeaky Wheels 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Three Echoes 5-2 3rd


8th: ELP Debutante, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 American Women 3-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Rich City Girl 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Stilettos 4-1 WON ($6.10)
Exotics Use: #2 Mrs Worldwide 8-1 8th


9th: Audubon Oaks, 3yo-F, 7f (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Mink's Palace 6-1 4th4th
Next Best: #4 Tambo 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Tarifa 8-5 2nd
Super Add: #2 Fibber 7-2 WON ($7.56)


10th: Groupie Doll, F&M-3+, 1m (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Hidden Connection 9-2 6th
Next Best: #3 Taxed 2-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Fancy 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Musical Mischief 3-1 4th


P5 Grid:

6: 1-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
8: 3-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-6 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
10: 2-3 (A), - (B), 5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (5-7 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

7: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-6 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
10: 2-3 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

[Kasept]

ELP SCR/CHG'S

SAR SCR/CHG'S

[Kasept]

$107k P6 C/O WEDNESDAY

[jms62]

Carl Spackler is a special horse