Saratoga Two A Day

[casp0555]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 33

Best bet: Race 12- #4 Mage
Longshot: Race 5- #3 English Conqueror

thanks Hossy, between you and Steve, that exacta just blew up the bank account

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by casp0555

thanks Hossy, between you and Steve, that exacta just blew up the bank account

Good to hear Billy. Glad someone was able to make some money on it because I wasn’t LOL

[Dahoss]

Day 34

Traveling so no time

Best bet: Race 3- #5 Jerry the Nipper
Longshot: Race 5- #6 Golden Rocket

[jms62]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Good to hear Billy. Glad someone was able to make some money on it because I wasn’t LOL

Best thing that happened to me yesterday was my mothers battery dying and having to go fetch her and get a new battery and replace it causing me to miss the opening legs of both late pick 5's.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 32

Best bet: Race 5- #3 Alternate Reality
Katie takes over for Jackie here and I think this one still has some upside. Was very game two back wearing down the leader who got away with an easy half. Throw out the Dwyer as he’s not in the class of those horses. As long as the field stays intact, should get pace to run in to and I think he will be coming beat of all late.

Longshot: Race 6- #5 Change of Command
I have a lot of thoughts about this race. I’ve heard rumblings that at least 4 of them can really run. I would love Air of Defiance if he was breaking from any other post than the rail. He’s a huge son of Quality Road and he outworked Slip Mahoney in the morning. I just think the rail will be his undoing here. They paid a lot of money for Wajda in March after he worked 10 flat while not being asked. I just didn’t like what I saw in the works I watched locally and want to give him one. Apollo Ten worked with strong debut winner Deterministic and held his own, but dam was all turf and best sibling to race was all turf as well. Fierceness might be a good one. Has looked fast and strong in the mornings and looks like the prototypical Pletcher good thing first out, but I’m going to take a shot with another one.

They paid over a million for Change of Command last fall at Keeneland. Dam was 0 for 3 in her career, but second dam won multiple stakes sprinting. He’s looked very good in the morning looking like he has much more run to give and I expect him to run very well. Im a little concerned that Shug has had such a tough meet but I think he has a good one here.

Neither did much running

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 33

Best bet: Race 12- #4 Mage
Longshot: Race 5- #3 English Conqueror

Mage was awful, English Conqueror got nipped on wire at 11-1 and paid $11.40 to place.

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 34

Traveling so no time

Best bet: Race 3- #5 Jerry the Nipper
Longshot: Race 5- #6 Golden Rocket

Neither did much running.

$272 wagered
$205 returned

[Dahoss]

Day 35

6 days left of what has been a long and challenging meet. More rain means off the turf today.

Best bet: Race 6- #5 First Deputy
You could go lots of different ways in this race. He got a race over the track and is going first off claim for Diprima who has had a slow meet but is crafty. Has handled wet tracks before. Should get some pace to run in to and I think he fits really well here.

Longshot: Race 8- #9 Pretti Xtreme
I have an issue with the contenders here, so I’ve landed on Pretti Xtreme. Movie Moxy was a vet scratch earlier and hasn’t run well here. Tough Street ran well last time but this is another step up. Signal From Noise was bad last time at 1/5 so why would I want her this time? Leave No Trace was bad last time and comes out of the worst BC Juvy Filly race ever. Olga Isabel has some upside but these are better horses and Tizzy in the Sky has upside but figures to get bet. I’ll take my shot with Pretti Xtreme who ran very well here last time. I don’t usually love horses moving away from Cox but Falcone has good numbers off the claim and this one has kept good company. Drawn outside other speed, hopefully Rosario doesn’t **** it up

[Dahoss]

Day 36

Best bet: Race 3- #4 Masterofthetunes
Longshot: Race 10- #2 Home for Christmas

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 35

6 days left of what has been a long and challenging meet. More rain means off the turf today.

Best bet: Race 6- #5 First Deputy
You could go lots of different ways in this race. He got a race over the track and is going first off claim for Diprima who has had a slow meet but is crafty. Has handled wet tracks before. Should get some pace to run in to and I think he fits really well here.

Longshot: Race 8- #9 Pretti Xtreme
I have an issue with the contenders here, so I’ve landed on Pretti Xtreme. Movie Moxy was a vet scratch earlier and hasn’t run well here. Tough Street ran well last time but this is another step up. Signal From Noise was bad last time at 1/5 so why would I want her this time? Leave No Trace was bad last time and comes out of the worst BC Juvy Filly race ever. Olga Isabel has some upside but these are better horses and Tizzy in the Sky has upside but figures to get bet. I’ll take my shot with Pretti Xtreme who ran very well here last time. I don’t usually love horses moving away from Cox but Falcone has good numbers off the claim and this one has kept good company. Drawn outside other speed, hopefully Rosario doesn’t **** it up

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 36

Best bet: Race 3- #4 Masterofthetunes
Longshot: Race 10- #2 Home for Christmas

Strong start to the last few days of the meet lol.

$288 wagered
$205 returned

[Dahoss]

Day 37

Best bet: Race 1- #9 Vesture
Either going to be way right or way wrong with this one. I’ve really liked the way this home bred has looked in his morning works. He looks strong and he hasn’t been asked for anything indicating there s a lot more in the tank. He’s easily put away his stablemate Tammy Lynn who debuts tomorrow and that one worked a good 10 flat in Ocala in March. Vesture’s dam broke her maiden going 5 1/2 on turf here and Al Stall can win with he on debut.

Longshot- Race 4- #7 Lost Ark
I’m not going to go crazy trying to beat Carl Spackler, who is very good. But Carl does come back relatively quick and maybe if he’s not 100% he can be beat. I’ve liked the way Lost Ark has looked working with stablemates Wit and Far Bridge. He’s looked like he is handling turf well and seems to really be extending when he gets going late. Maybe he gets lucky and can get up late

[Dahoss]

Day 38

Best bet: Race 11- #8 Bright Future
Longshot: Race 10- #1 Danzigwiththestars

[Dahoss]

Day 39

Best bet: Race 6- #10 Scalable
Longshot: Race 4- #8 Bossmaminbossmoves

[Dahoss]

Day 40

Best bet: Race 10- #9 Valentine Candy
Longshot: Race 7-#5 Sals Dream Girl

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 37

Best bet: Race 1- #9 Vesture
Either going to be way right or way wrong with this one. I’ve really liked the way this home bred has looked in his morning works. He looks strong and he hasn’t been asked for anything indicating there s a lot more in the tank. He’s easily put away his stablemate Tammy Lynn who debuts tomorrow and that one worked a good 10 flat in Ocala in March. Vesture’s dam broke her maiden going 5 1/2 on turf here and Al Stall can win with he on debut.

Longshot- Race 4- #7 Lost Ark
I’m not going to go crazy trying to beat Carl Spackler, who is very good. But Carl does come back relatively quick and maybe if he’s not 100% he can be beat. I’ve liked the way Lost Ark has looked working with stablemates Wit and Far Bridge. He’s looked like he is handling turf well and seems to really be extending when he gets going late. Maybe he gets lucky and can get up late

Vesture got bet down to 6/5 somehow, attended a fast pace, looked like a drunken sailor down the lane and was off the board. Tried to get cute trying to beat Carl Spackler. Bad opinion

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 38

Best bet: Race 11- #8 Bright Future
Longshot: Race 10- #1 Danzigwiththestars

Bright Future gutted out a nice win paying $9.50 and $4.50. The Danzigwiththestars race was a funny one. Two need the lead types were rated and speed went 1-2 around the track.

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 39

Best bet: Race 6- #10 Scalable
Longshot: Race 4- #8 Bossmaminbossmoves

Scalable ran like he needed one. Bossmakinbossmoves ran a good 3rd at 21-1 but was no match for top two.

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 40

Best bet: Race 10- #9 Valentine Candy
Longshot: Race 7-#5 Sals Dream Girl

Valentine Candy was awful and Sals Dream Girl was asked for run early and attended fast pace and I figured would be coming off the pace. Closers ran 1-2

Meet totals
$320 wagered
$219 returned

Definitely not the kind of meet was hoping for. Weather made it very difficult. I’m someone that focuses a lot on turf racing and losing so many turf races was tough. I never got a feel for races out of the Wilson chute. My hope is that NYRA will not run so many races out of it going forward. All in all, my handicapping wasn’t good. I never got any momentum going and I think when you hit a few good races you start to see things better. Never had that. Saratoga is Saratoga. Will always be the absolute best to me.

[kp319]

I enjoyed seeing you put up your picks everyday. It takes some balls to put your opinions out there everyday. I don't know how guys like Serling do it all year. I myself had a losing meet but will be back at it at the Big A. Good Luck! KP

[Kasept]

Good work Hossy under irksome conditions..